Comparison of machine learning methods for estimating case fatality ratios: an Ebola outbreak simulation study par Forna, A, Dorigatti, I, Nouvellet, P, Donnelly, CA

Case fatality ratio estimates for the 2013 – 2016 West African Ebola epidemic: application of boosted regression trees for imputation par Forna, A, Nouvellet, P, Dorigatti, I, Donnelly, C

Risk of yellow fever virus importation into the United States from Brazil, outbreak years 2016–2017 and 2017–2018 par Dorigatti, I, Stephanie, M, Donnelly, C, Garske, T, Bowden, S, Grills, A

Modelling virus and antibody dynamics during dengue virus infection suggests a role for antibody in virus clearance par Clapham, H, Quyen, T, Kien, D, Dorigatti, I, Simmons, C, Ferguson, N

A comparative analysis of statistical methods to estimate the reproduction number in emerging epidemics with implications for the current COVID-19 pandemic par O'Driscoll, M, Harry, C, Donnelly, CA, Cori, A, Dorigatti, I

Risk predictors of progression to severe disease during the febrile phase of dengue: A systematic review and meta-analysis par Sangkaew, S, Ming, D, Boonyasiri, A, Honeyford, K, Kalayanarooj, S, Yacoub, S, Dorigatti, I, Holmes, A

Environmental suitability for lymphatic filariasis in Nigeria par Eneanya, O, Cano, J, Dorigatti, I, Anagbogu, I, Okoronkwo, C, Garske, T, Donnelly, C

Enhancing risk prediction of progression to severe disease during the febrile phase of dengue: a systematic review and meta-analysis par Sangkaew, S, Ming, D, Boonyasiri, A, Honeyford, K, Kalayanarooj, S, Yacoub, S, Dorigatti, I, Holmes, AH

Refined efficacy estimates of the Sanofi Pasteur dengue vaccine CYD-TDV using machine learning par Dorigatti, I, Donnelly, C, Laydon, D, Small, R, Jackson, N, Coudeville, L, Ferguson, N

epiflows: an R package for risk assessment of travel-related spread of disease. par Moraga, P, Dorigatti, I, Kamvar, ZN, Piatkowski, P, Toikkanen, SE, Nagraj, VP, Donnelly, CA, Jombart, T

Temperature and population density influence SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the absence of nonpharmaceutical interventions par Smith, TP, Flaxman, S, Gallinat, AS, Kinosian, SP, Stemkovski, M, Unwin, HJT, Watson, OJ, Whittaker, C, Cattarino, L, Dorigatti, I, Tristem, M, Pearse, WD

Key data for outbreak evaluation: building on the Ebola experience par Cori, A, Donnelly, C, Dorigatti, I, Ferguson, N, Fraser, C, Garske, T, Jombart, T, Nedjati-Gilani, G, Nouvellet, P, Riley, S, Van Kerkhove, M, Mills, H, Blake, I

A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence par Nouvellet, P, Cori, A, Garske, T, Blake, I, Dorigatti, I, Hinsley, W, Jombart, T, Mills, H, Nedjati-Gilani, G, Kerkhove, V, Fraser, C, Donnelly, C, Ferguson, N, Riley, S

A simulation-based method to inform serosurvey designs for estimating the force of infection using existing blood samples par Vicco, A, McCormack, CP, Pedrique, B, Amuasi, JH, Afum-Adjei Awuah, A, Obirikorang, C, Struck, NS, Lorenz, E, May, J, Ribeiro, I, Neelika Malavige, G, Donnelly, CA, Dorigatti, I

Heterogeneities in the case fatality ratio in the West African Ebola outbreak 2013-2016. par Garske, T, Cori, A, Ariyarajah, A, Blake, I, Dorigatti, I, Eckmanns, T, Fraser, C, Hinsley, W, Jombart, T, Mills, H, Nedjati-Gilani, G, Newton, E, Nouvellet, P, Perkins, D, Riley, S, Schumacher, D, Shah, A, Van Kerkhove, M, Dye, C, Ferguson, N, Donnelly, C

The long-term safety, public health impact, and cost-effectiveness of routine vaccination with a recombinant, live-attenuated dengue vaccine (Dengvaxia): A model comparison study par Flasche, S, Jit, M, Rodríguez-Barraquer, I, Coudeville, L, Recker, M, Koelle, K, Milne, G, Hladish, TJ, Perkins, TA, Cummings, DAT, Dorigatti, I, Laydon, DJ, España, G, Kelso, J, Longini, I, Lourenco, J, Pearson, CAB, Reiner, RC, Mier-Y-Terán-Romero, L, Vannice, K, Ferguson, N

Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis par Verity, R, Okell, LC, Dorigatti, I, Winskill, P, Whittaker, C, Imai, N, Cuomo-Dannenburg, G, Thompson, H, Walker, PGT, Fu, H, Dighe, A, Griffin, JT, Baguelin, M, Bhatia, S, Boonyasiri, A, Cori, A, Cucunubá, Z, FitzJohn, R, Gaythorpe, K, Green, W, Hamlet, A, Hinsley, W, Laydon, D, Nedjati-Gilani, G, Riley, S, van Elsland, S, Volz, E, Wang, H, Wang, Y, Xi, X, Donnelly, CA, Ghani, AC, Ferguson, NM

SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics and transmission from community-wide serological testing in the Italian municipality of Vo’ par Dorigatti, I, Lavezzo, E, Manuto, L, Ciavarella, C, Pacenti, M, Boldrin, C, Cattai, M, Saluzzo, F, Franchin, E, Del Vecchio, C, Caldart, F, Castelli, G, Nicoletti, M, Nieddu, E, Salvadoretti, E, Labella, B, Fava, L, Guglielmo, S, Fascina, M, Grazioli, M, Alvisi, G, Vanuzzo, MC, Zupo, T, Calandrin, R, Lisi, V, Rossi, L, Castagliuolo, I, Merigliano, S, Unwin, HJT, Plebani, M, Padoan, A, Brazzale, AR, Toppo, S, Ferguson, NM, Donnelly, CA, Crisanti, A

Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission par Nouvellet, P, Bhatia, S, Cori, A, Ainslie, K, Baguelin, M, Bhatt, S, Boonyasiri, A, Brazeau, N, Cattarino, L, Cooper, L, Coupland, H, Cucunuba, Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg, G, Dighe, A, Djaafara, B, Dorigatti, I, Eales, O, van Elsland, S, Nascimento, F, Fitzjohn, R, Gaythorpe, K, Geidelberg, L, Green, W, Hamlet, A, Hauck, K, Hinsley, W, Imai, N, Jeffrey, B, Knock, E, Laydon, D, Lees, J, Mangal, T, Mellan, T, Nedjati-Gilani, G, Parag, K, Pons-Salort, M, Ragonnet-Cronin, M, Riley, S, Unwin, HJT, Verity, R, Vollmer, M, Volz, E, Walker, P, Walters, C, Wang, H, Watson, OJ, Whittaker, C, Whittles, L, Xi, X, Ferguson, NM, Donnelly, CA

Exposure patterns driving Ebola transmission in West Africa: A retrospective observational study. par International Ebola Response Team, Agua-Agum, J, Ariyarajah, A, Aylward, B, Bawo, L, Bilivogui, P, Blake, I, Brennan, R, Cawthorne, A, Cleary, E, Clement, P, Conteh, R, Cori, A, Dafae, F, Dahl, B, Dangou, J, Diallo, B, Donnelly, C, Dorigatti, I, Dye, C, Eckmanns, T, Fallah, M, Ferguson, N, Fiebig, L, Fraser, C, Garske, T, Gonzalez, L, Hamblion, E, Hamid, N, Hersey, S, Hinsley, W, Jambei, A, Jombart, T, Kargbo, D, Keita, S, Kinzer, M, George, F, Godefroy, B, Gutierrez, G, Kannangarage, N, Mills, H, Moller, T, Meijers, S, Mohamed, Y, Morgan, O, Nedjati-Gilani, G, Newton, E, Nouvellet, P, Nyenswah, T, Perea, W, Perkins, D, Riley, S, Rodier, G, Rondy, M, Sagrado, M, Savulescu, C, Schafer, I, Schumacher, D, Seyler, T, Shah, A, Van Kerkhove, M, Wesseh, C, Yoti, Z