Simulations for designing and interpreting intervention trials in infectious diseases by Halloran, ME, Auranen, K, Baird, S, Brookmeyer, R, Cooper, BS, DeGruttola, V, Hughes, JP, Lessler, J, Lofgren, ET, Longini, IM, Onnela, J-P, Özler, B, Vespignani, A, Vynnycky, E, Lipsitch, M