An expert judgment model to predict early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. by Thomas McAndrew, Nicholas G Reich

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Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format. by Johannes Bracher, Evan L Ray, Tilmann Gneiting, Nicholas G Reich

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Optimizing Disease Outbreak Forecast Ensembles by Spencer J. Fox, Minsu Kim, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Nicholas G. Reich, Evan L. Ray

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Assessing the utility of COVID-19 case reports as a leading indicator for hospitalization forecasting in the United States by Nicholas G. Reich, Yijin Wang, Meagan Burns, Rosa Ergas, Estee Y. Cramer, Evan L. Ray

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Serological surveys to estimate cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in adults (Sero-MAss study), Massachusetts, July–August 2020: a mail-based cross-sectional study by Andrew A Lover, Teah Snyder, Johanna Ravenhurst, Estee Y Cramer, Nicholas G Reich, Laura Balzer, Dominique Alfandari

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Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand. by Nicholas G Reich, Stephen A Lauer, Krzysztof Sakrejda, Sopon Iamsirithaworn, Soawapak Hinjoy, Paphanij Suangtho, Suthanun Suthachana, Hannah E Clapham, Henrik Salje, Derek A T Cummings, Justin Lessler

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Correction: Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines. by Simon Pollett, Michael A Johansson, Nicholas G Reich, David Brett-Major, Sara Y Del Valle, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Rachel Lowe, Travis Porco, Irina Maljkovic Berry, Alina Deshpande, Moritz U G Kraemer, David L Blazes, Wirichada Pan-Ngum, Alessandro Vespigiani, Suzanne E Mate, Sheetal P Silal, Sasikiran Kandula, Rachel Sippy, Talia M Quandelacy, Jeffrey J Morgan, Jacob Ball, Lindsay C Morton, Benjamin M Althouse, Julie Pavlin, Wilbert van Panhuis, Steven Riley, Matthew Biggerstaff, Cecile Viboud, Oliver Brady, Caitlin Rivers

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Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines. by Simon Pollett, Michael A Johansson, Nicholas G Reich, David Brett-Major, Sara Y Del Valle, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Rachel Lowe, Travis Porco, Irina Maljkovic Berry, Alina Deshpande, Moritz U G Kraemer, David L Blazes, Wirichada Pan-Ngum, Alessandro Vespigiani, Suzanne E Mate, Sheetal P Silal, Sasikiran Kandula, Rachel Sippy, Talia M Quandelacy, Jeffrey J Morgan, Jacob Ball, Lindsay C Morton, Benjamin M Althouse, Julie Pavlin, Wilbert van Panhuis, Steven Riley, Matthew Biggerstaff, Cecile Viboud, Oliver Brady, Caitlin Rivers

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Infectious disease surveillance needs for the United States: lessons from Covid-19 by Marc Lipsitch, Marc Lipsitch, Mary T. Bassett, John S. Brownstein, Paul Elliott, David Eyre, M. Kate Grabowski, James A. Hay, Michael A. Johansson, Stephen M. Kissler, Daniel B. Larremore, Daniel B. Larremore, Jennifer E. Layden, Justin Lessler, Ruth Lynfield, Duncan MacCannell, Lawrence C. Madoff, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Lauren A. Meyers, Sylvia K. Ofori, Celia Quinn, Ana I. Bento, Nicholas G. Reich, Steven Riley, Roni Rosenfeld, Matthew H. Samore, Rangarajan Sampath, Rachel B. Slayton, David L. Swerdlow, Shaun Truelove, Jay K. Varma, Yonatan H. Grad

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Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model... by Rebecca K. Borchering, Luke C. Mullany, Emily Howerton, Matteo Chinazzi, Claire P. Smith, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G. Reich, Lucie Contamin, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, J. Espino, Harry Hochheiser, Kaitlin Lovett, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Juan Dent Hulse, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C. Lee, Alison L. Hill, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean-Claude Thill, Marta Galanti, Teresa Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Guido España, Sean Cavany, Sean Moore, Alex Perkins, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Katriona Shea, Shaun A. Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Cécile Viboud, Justin Lessler

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Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty by Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C. Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G. Reich, Samantha Bents, Rebecca K. Borchering, Sung-mok Jung, Sara L. Loo, Claire P. Smith, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, J. Espino, Willem G. van Panhuis, Harry Hochheiser, Marta Galanti, Teresa Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Joshua Kaminsky, Juan Dent Hulse, Elizabeth C. Lee, Clifton D. McKee, Alison Hill, Dean Karlen, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Erik T. Rosenstrom, Julie S. Ivy, Maria E. Mayorga, Julie L. Swann, Guido España, Sean Cavany, Sean Moore, Alex Perkins, Thomas Hladish, Alexander Pillai, Kok Ben Toh, Ira Longini, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean-Claude Thill, Anass Bouchnita, Kaiming Bi, Michael Lachmann, Spencer J. Fox, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Betsy L. Cadwell, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Shaun Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Katriona Shea, Cécile Viboud, Justin Lessler

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Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021. by Velma K Lopez, Estee Y Cramer, Robert Pagano, John M Drake, Eamon B O'Dea, Madeline Adee, Turgay Ayer, Jagpreet Chhatwal, Ozden O Dalgic, Mary A Ladd, Benjamin P Linas, Peter P Mueller, Jade Xiao, Johannes Bracher, Alvaro J Castro Rivadeneira, Aaron Gerding, Tilmann Gneiting, Yuxin Huang, Dasuni Jayawardena, Abdul H Kanji, Khoa Le, Anja Mühlemann, Jarad Niemi, Evan L Ray, Ariane Stark, Yijin Wang, Nutcha Wattanachit, Martha W Zorn, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Teresa K Yamana, Samuel R Tarasewicz, Daniel J Wilson, Sid Baccam, Heidi Gurung, Steve Stage, Brad Suchoski, Lei Gao, Zhiling Gu, Myungjin Kim, Xinyi Li, Guannan Wang, Lily Wang, Yueying Wang, Shan Yu, Lauren Gardner, Sonia Jindal, Maximilian Marshall, Kristen Nixon, Juan Dent, Alison L Hill, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C Lee, Joseph C Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Claire P Smith, Shaun Truelove, Matt Kinsey, Luke C Mullany, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Lauren Shin, Katharine Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Dean Karlen, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Isaac Michaud, Dave Osthus, Jiang Bian, Wei Cao, Zhifeng Gao, Juan Lavista Ferres, Chaozhuo Li, Tie-Yan Liu, Xing Xie, Shun Zhang, Shun Zheng, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Xinyue Xiong, Robert Walraven, Jinghui Chen, Quanquan Gu, Lingxiao Wang, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Difan Zou, Graham Casey Gibson, Daniel Sheldon, Ajitesh Srivastava, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Gursharn Kaur, Bryan Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Akhil Sai Peddireddy, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Lijing Wang, Pragati V Prasad, Jo W Walker, Alexander E Webber, Rachel B Slayton, Matthew Biggerstaff, Nicholas G Reich, Michael A Johansson

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Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations by Katharine Sherratt, Hugo Gruson, Rok Grah, Helen Johnson, Rene Niehus, Bastian Prasse, Frank Sandmann, Jannik Deuschel, Daniel Wolffram, Sam Abbott, Alexander Ullrich, Graham Gibson, Evan L Ray, Nicholas G Reich, Daniel Sheldon, Yijin Wang, Nutcha Wattanachit, Lijing Wang, Jan Trnka, Guillaume Obozinski, Tao Sun, Dorina Thanou, Loic Pottier, Ekaterina Krymova, Jan H Meinke, Maria Vittoria Barbarossa, Neele Leithauser, Jan Mohring, Johanna Schneider, Jaroslaw Wlazlo, Jan Fuhrmann, Berit Lange, Isti Rodiah, Prasith Baccam, Heidi Gurung, Steven Stage, Bradley Suchoski, Jozef Budzinski, Robert Walraven, Inmaculada Villanueva, Vit Tucek, Martin Smid, Milan Zajicek, Cesar Perez Alvarez, Borja Reina, Nikos I Bosse, Sophie R Meakin, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Isaac Michaud, Dave Osthus, Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro, Antonello Maruotti, Veronika Eclerova, Andrea Kraus, David Kraus, Lenka Pribylova, Bertsimas Dimitris, Michael Lingzhi Li, Soni Saksham, Jonas Dehning, Sebastian Mohr, Viola Priesemann, Grzegorz Redlarski, Benjamin Bejar, Giovanni Ardenghi, Nicola Parolini, Giovanni Ziarelli, Wolfgang Bock, Stefan Heyder, Thomas Hotz, David E Singh, Miguel Guzman-Merino, Jose L Aznarte, David Morina, Sergio Alonso, Enric Alvarez, Daniel Lopez, Clara Prats, Jan Pablo Burgard, Arne Rodloff, Tom Zimmermann, Alexander Kuhlmann, Janez Zibert, Fulvia Pennoni, Fabio Divino, Marti Catala, Gianfranco Lovison, Paolo Giudici, Barbara Tarantino, Francesco Bartolucci, Giovanna Jona Lasinio, Marco Mingione, Alessio Farcomeni, Ajitesh Srivastava, Pablo Montero-Manso, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Bryan Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Rafal P Bartczuk, Filip Dreger, Anna Gambin, Krzysztof Gogolewski, Magdalena Gruziel-Slomka, Bartosz Krupa, Antoni Moszyński, Karol Niedzielewski, Jedrzej Nowosielski, Maciej Radwan, Franciszek Rakowski, Marcin Semeniuk, Ewa Szczurek, Jakub Zielinski, Jan Kisielewski, Barbara Pabjan, Kirsten Holger, Yuri Kheifetz, Markus Scholz, Biecek Przemyslaw, Marcin Bodych, Maciej Filinski, Radoslaw Idzikowski, Tyll Krueger, Tomasz Ozanski, Johannes Bracher, Sebastian Funk

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Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations by Sarabeth M. Mathis, Alexander E. Webber, Tomás M. León, Erin L. Murray, Monica Sun, Lauren A. White, Logan C. Brooks, Alden Green, Addison J. Hu, Roni Rosenfeld, Dmitry Shemetov, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Daniel J. McDonald, Sasikiran Kandula, Sen Pei, Rami Yaari, Teresa K. Yamana, Jeffrey Shaman, Pulak Agarwal, Srikar Balusu, Gautham Gururajan, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B. Aditya Prakash, Rishi Raman, Zhiyuan Zhao, Alexander Rodríguez, Akilan Meiyappan, Shalina Omar, Prasith Baccam, Heidi L. Gurung, Brad T. Suchoski, Steve A. Stage, Marco Ajelli, Allisandra G. Kummer, Maria Litvinova, Paulo C. Ventura, Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi, Erica Carcelen, Alison L. Hill, Sara L. Loo, Clifton D. McKee, Koji Sato, Claire Smith, Shaun Truelove, Sung-mok Jung, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Thomas McAndrew, Wenxuan Ye, Nikos Bosse, William S. Hlavacek, Yen Ting Lin, Abhishek Mallela, Graham C. Gibson, Ye Chen, Shelby M. Lamm, Jaechoul Lee, Richard G. Posner, Amanda C. Perofsky, Cécile Viboud, Leonardo Clemente, Fred Lu, Austin G. Meyer, Mauricio Santillana, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Xinyue Xiong, Michal Ben-Nun, Pete Riley, James Turtle, Chis Hulme-Lowe, Shakeel Jessa, V. P. Nagraj, Stephen D. Turner, Desiree Williams, Avranil Basu, John M. Drake, Spencer J. Fox, Ehsan Suez, Monica G. Cojocaru, Edward W. Thommes, Estee Y. Cramer, Aaron Gerding, Ariane Stark, Evan L. Ray, Nicholas G. Reich, Li Shandross, Nutcha Wattanachit, Yijin Wang, Martha W. Zorn, Majd Al Aawar, Ajitesh Srivastava, Lauren A. Meyers, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Gursharn Kaur, Bryan L. Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Patrick Butler, Andrew Farabow, Naren Ramakrishnan, Nikhil Muralidhar, Carrie Reed, Matthew Biggerstaff, Rebecca K. Borchering

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