Adaptive estimation for epidemic renewal and phylogenetic skyline models by Parag, KV, Donnelly, C

Host behaviour driven by awareness of infection risk amplifies the chance of superspreading events by Parag, KV, Thompson, RN

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers? by Parag, KV, Thompson, RN, Donnelly, CA

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers? by Parag, KV, Thompson, RN, Donnelly, CA

Authors’ reply to the discussion of ‘Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?’ by Parag et al. in Session 1 of the Royal Statistical Society’s Special... by Parag, KV, Thompson, RN, Donnelly, CA

Jointly inferring the dynamics of population size and sampling intensity from molecular sequences by Parag, KV, du Plessis, L, Pybus, OG

A Bayesian nonparametric method for detecting rapid changes in disease transmission by Creswell, R, Robinson, M, Gavaghan, D, Parag, KV, Lei, CL, Lambert, B

A Bayesian nonparametric method for detecting rapid changes in disease transmission by Creswell, R, Robinson, M, Gavaghan, D, Parag, KV, Lei, CL, Lambert, B

Seasonal dynamics of the wild rodent faecal virome by Raghwani, J, François, S, Faust, CL, Nguyen, D, Marsh, K, Raulo, A, Hill, SC, Parag, KV, Knowles, SCL, Simmonds, P, Pybus, OG

Scale-free dynamics of COVID-19 in a Brazilian city by Policarpo, JMP, Ramos, AAGF, Dye, C, Faria, NR, Leal, FE, Moraes, OJS, Parag, KV, Peixoto, PS, Buss, L, Sabino, EC, Nascimento, VH, Deppman, A

Tracking the emergence of disparities in the subnational spread of COVID-19 in Brazil using an online application for real-time data visualisation: a longitudinal analysis by Mee, P, Alexander, N, Mayaud, P, González, FDJC, Abbott, S, De Souza Santos, AA, Acosta, AL, Parag, KV, Pereira, RHM, Prete, CA, Sabino, EC, Faria, NR, Brady, OJ

Genomic epidemiology of early SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics, Gujarat, India by Raghwani, J, du Plessis, L, McCrone, JT, Hill, SC, Parag, KV, Thézé, J, Kumar, D, Puvar, A, Pandit, R, Pybus, OG, Fournié, G, Joshi, M, Joshi, C

Retrospective evaluation of real-time estimates of global COVID-19 transmission trends and mortality forecasts by Bhatia, S, Parag, KV, Wardle, J, Nash, RK, Imai, N, Van Elsland, SL, Lassmann, B, Brownstein, JS, Desai, A, Herringer, M, Sewalk, K, Loeb, SC, Ramatowski, J, Cuomo-Dannenburg, G, Jauneikaite, E, Unwin, HJT, Riley, S, Ferguson, N, Donnelly, C, Cori, A, Nouvellet, P

Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence by Sabino, EC, Buss, LF, Carvalho, MPS, Prete, CA, Crispim, MAE, Fraiji, NA, Pereira, RHM, Parag, KV, da Silva Peixoto, P, Kraemer, MUG, Oikawa, MK, Salomon, T, Cucunuba, ZM, Castro, MC, de Souza Santos, AA, Nascimento, VH, Pereira, HS, Ferguson, NM, Pybus, OG, Kucharski, A, Busch, MP, Dye, C, Faria, NR

Spatiotemporal invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 emergence by Kraemer, MUG, Hill, V, Ruis, C, Dellicour, S, Bajaj, S, McCrone, JT, Baele, G, Parag, KV, Lindstroem Battle, A, Guttierrez, B, Jackson, B, Colquhoun, R, O'Toole, A, Klein, B, Vespignani, A, CoG-UK consortium, Volz, E, Faria, NR, Aanensen, D, Loman, NJ, Du Plessis, L, Cauchemez, S, Rambaut, A, Scarpino, SV, Pybus, O

Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic by Buss, LF, Prete, CA, Abrahim, CMM, Mendrone, A, Salomon, T, de Almeida-Neto, C, França, RFO, Belotti, MC, Carvalho, MPSS, Costa, AG, Crispim, MAE, Ferreira, SC, Fraiji, NA, Gurzenda, S, Whittaker, C, Kamaura, LT, Takecian, PL, da Silva Peixoto, P, Oikawa, MK, Nishiya, AS, Rocha, V, Salles, NA, de Souza Santos, AA, da Silva, MA, Custer, B, Parag, KV, Barral-Netto, M, Kraemer, MUG, Pereira, RHM, Pybus, OG, Busch, MP, Castro, MC, Dye, C, Nascimento, VH, Faria, NR, Sabino, EC

Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies by Thompson, RN, Hollingsworth, TD, Isham, V, Arribas-Bel, D, Ashby, B, Britton, T, Challoner, P, Chappell, LHK, Clapham, H, Cunniffe, NJ, Dawid, AP, Donnelly, CA, Eggo, R, Funk, S, Gilbert, N, Glendinning, P, Gog, JR, Hart, WS, Heesterbeek, H, House, T, Keeling, M, Kiss, IZ, Kretzschmar, M, Lloyd, AL, McBryde, ES, McCaw, JM, McKinley, TJ, Miller, JC, Morris, M, ONeill, PD, Parag, KV, Pearson, CAB, Pellis, L, Pulliam, JRC, Ross, JV, Tomba, GS, Silverman, BW, Struchiner, CJ, Tildesley, MJ, Trapman, P, Webb, CR, Mollison, D, Restif, O

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil by de Souza, WM, Buss, LF, Candido, DDS, Carrera, J-P, Li, S, Zarebski, AE, Pereira, RHM, Prete, CA, de Souza-Santos, AA, Parag, KV, Belotti, MCTD, Vincenti-Gonzalez, MF, Messina, J, da Silva Sales, FC, Andrade, PDS, Nascimento, VH, Ghilardi, F, Abade, L, Gutierrez, B, Kraemer, MUG, Braga, CKV, Aguiar, RS, Alexander, N, Mayaud, P, Brady, OJ, Marcilio, I, Gouveia, N, Li, G, Tami, A, de Oliveira, SB, Porto, VBG, Ganem, F, de Almeida, WAF, Fantinato, FFST, Macário, EM, de Oliveira, WK, Nogueira, ML, Pybus, OG, Wu, C-H, Croda, J, Sabino, EC, Faria, NR