Adaptive estimation for epidemic renewal and phylogenetic skyline models ανά Parag, KV, Donnelly, C

Host behaviour driven by awareness of infection risk amplifies the chance of superspreading events ανά Parag, KV, Thompson, RN

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers? ανά Parag, KV, Thompson, RN, Donnelly, CA

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers? ανά Parag, KV, Thompson, RN, Donnelly, CA

Authors’ reply to the discussion of ‘Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?’ by Parag et al. in Session 1 of the Royal Statistical Society’s Special... ανά Parag, KV, Thompson, RN, Donnelly, CA

Jointly inferring the dynamics of population size and sampling intensity from molecular sequences ανά Parag, KV, du Plessis, L, Pybus, OG

A Bayesian nonparametric method for detecting rapid changes in disease transmission ανά Creswell, R, Robinson, M, Gavaghan, D, Parag, KV, Lei, CL, Lambert, B

A Bayesian nonparametric method for detecting rapid changes in disease transmission ανά Creswell, R, Robinson, M, Gavaghan, D, Parag, KV, Lei, CL, Lambert, B

Seasonal dynamics of the wild rodent faecal virome ανά Raghwani, J, François, S, Faust, CL, Nguyen, D, Marsh, K, Raulo, A, Hill, SC, Parag, KV, Knowles, SCL, Simmonds, P, Pybus, OG

Scale-free dynamics of COVID-19 in a Brazilian city ανά Policarpo, JMP, Ramos, AAGF, Dye, C, Faria, NR, Leal, FE, Moraes, OJS, Parag, KV, Peixoto, PS, Buss, L, Sabino, EC, Nascimento, VH, Deppman, A

Tracking the emergence of disparities in the subnational spread of COVID-19 in Brazil using an online application for real-time data visualisation: a longitudinal analysis ανά Mee, P, Alexander, N, Mayaud, P, González, FDJC, Abbott, S, De Souza Santos, AA, Acosta, AL, Parag, KV, Pereira, RHM, Prete, CA, Sabino, EC, Faria, NR, Brady, OJ

Genomic epidemiology of early SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics, Gujarat, India ανά Raghwani, J, du Plessis, L, McCrone, JT, Hill, SC, Parag, KV, Thézé, J, Kumar, D, Puvar, A, Pandit, R, Pybus, OG, Fournié, G, Joshi, M, Joshi, C

Retrospective evaluation of real-time estimates of global COVID-19 transmission trends and mortality forecasts ανά Bhatia, S, Parag, KV, Wardle, J, Nash, RK, Imai, N, Van Elsland, SL, Lassmann, B, Brownstein, JS, Desai, A, Herringer, M, Sewalk, K, Loeb, SC, Ramatowski, J, Cuomo-Dannenburg, G, Jauneikaite, E, Unwin, HJT, Riley, S, Ferguson, N, Donnelly, C, Cori, A, Nouvellet, P

Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence ανά Sabino, EC, Buss, LF, Carvalho, MPS, Prete, CA, Crispim, MAE, Fraiji, NA, Pereira, RHM, Parag, KV, da Silva Peixoto, P, Kraemer, MUG, Oikawa, MK, Salomon, T, Cucunuba, ZM, Castro, MC, de Souza Santos, AA, Nascimento, VH, Pereira, HS, Ferguson, NM, Pybus, OG, Kucharski, A, Busch, MP, Dye, C, Faria, NR

Spatiotemporal invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 emergence ανά Kraemer, MUG, Hill, V, Ruis, C, Dellicour, S, Bajaj, S, McCrone, JT, Baele, G, Parag, KV, Lindstroem Battle, A, Guttierrez, B, Jackson, B, Colquhoun, R, O'Toole, A, Klein, B, Vespignani, A, CoG-UK consortium, Volz, E, Faria, NR, Aanensen, D, Loman, NJ, Du Plessis, L, Cauchemez, S, Rambaut, A, Scarpino, SV, Pybus, O

Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic ανά Buss, LF, Prete, CA, Abrahim, CMM, Mendrone, A, Salomon, T, de Almeida-Neto, C, França, RFO, Belotti, MC, Carvalho, MPSS, Costa, AG, Crispim, MAE, Ferreira, SC, Fraiji, NA, Gurzenda, S, Whittaker, C, Kamaura, LT, Takecian, PL, da Silva Peixoto, P, Oikawa, MK, Nishiya, AS, Rocha, V, Salles, NA, de Souza Santos, AA, da Silva, MA, Custer, B, Parag, KV, Barral-Netto, M, Kraemer, MUG, Pereira, RHM, Pybus, OG, Busch, MP, Castro, MC, Dye, C, Nascimento, VH, Faria, NR, Sabino, EC

Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies ανά Thompson, RN, Hollingsworth, TD, Isham, V, Arribas-Bel, D, Ashby, B, Britton, T, Challoner, P, Chappell, LHK, Clapham, H, Cunniffe, NJ, Dawid, AP, Donnelly, CA, Eggo, R, Funk, S, Gilbert, N, Glendinning, P, Gog, JR, Hart, WS, Heesterbeek, H, House, T, Keeling, M, Kiss, IZ, Kretzschmar, M, Lloyd, AL, McBryde, ES, McCaw, JM, McKinley, TJ, Miller, JC, Morris, M, ONeill, PD, Parag, KV, Pearson, CAB, Pellis, L, Pulliam, JRC, Ross, JV, Tomba, GS, Silverman, BW, Struchiner, CJ, Tildesley, MJ, Trapman, P, Webb, CR, Mollison, D, Restif, O

Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil ανά de Souza, WM, Buss, LF, Candido, DDS, Carrera, J-P, Li, S, Zarebski, AE, Pereira, RHM, Prete, CA, de Souza-Santos, AA, Parag, KV, Belotti, MCTD, Vincenti-Gonzalez, MF, Messina, J, da Silva Sales, FC, Andrade, PDS, Nascimento, VH, Ghilardi, F, Abade, L, Gutierrez, B, Kraemer, MUG, Braga, CKV, Aguiar, RS, Alexander, N, Mayaud, P, Brady, OJ, Marcilio, I, Gouveia, N, Li, G, Tami, A, de Oliveira, SB, Porto, VBG, Ganem, F, de Almeida, WAF, Fantinato, FFST, Macário, EM, de Oliveira, WK, Nogueira, ML, Pybus, OG, Wu, C-H, Croda, J, Sabino, EC, Faria, NR