Targeted validation: validating clinical prediction models in their intended population and setting by Matthew Sperrin, Richard D. Riley, Gary S. Collins, Glen P. Martin

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A decision-analytical perspective on incorporating multiple outcomes in the production of clinical prediction models: defining a taxonomy of risk estimands by Glen P. Martin, Alexander Pate, Siân Bladon, Matthew Sperrin, Richard D. Riley

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Simulation-based power calculations for planning a two-stage individual participant data meta-analysis by Joie Ensor, Danielle L. Burke, Kym I. E. Snell, Karla Hemming, Richard D. Riley

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Clinical prediction models and the multiverse of madness by Richard D. Riley, Alexander Pate, Paula Dhiman, Lucinda Archer, Glen P. Martin, Gary S. Collins

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Sample size requirements are not being considered in studies developing prediction models for binary outcomes: a systematic review by Paula Dhiman, Jie Ma, Cathy Qi, Garrett Bullock, Jamie C Sergeant, Richard D Riley, Gary S Collins

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Bayesian network meta-analysis methods for combining individual participant data and aggregate data from single arm trials and randomised controlled trials by Janharpreet Singh, Sandro Gsteiger, Lorna Wheaton, Richard D. Riley, Keith R. Abrams, Clare L. Gillies, Sylwia Bujkiewicz

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Predictors of outcome in sciatica patients following an epidural steroid injection: the POiSE prospective observational cohort study protocol by Richard D Riley, Nadine E Foster, Andrea Cherrington, Siobhan Stynes, Kym IE Snell, Kika Konstantinou, Noor Daud, Raymond Ostelo, John O'Dowd

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Monitoring for 5-aminosalicylate nephrotoxicity in adults with inflammatory bowel disease: prognostic model development and validation using data from the Clinical Practice Researc... by Abhishek Abhishek, Richard D Riley, Christian D Mallen, Guruprasad P Aithal, Georgina Nakafero, Matthew J Grainge, Maarten W Taal, Tim Card, Matthew D Stevenson

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The Value of Clinical Prediction Models in General Practice: A Qualitative Study Exploring the Perspectives of People With Lived Experience of Depression and General Practitioners by Andrew S. Moriarty, Joanne Castleton, Dean McMillan, Richard D. Riley, Kym I. E. Snell, Lucinda Archer, Lewis W. Paton, Simon Gilbody, Carolyn A. Chew‐Graham

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Community-based complex interventions to sustain independence in older people, stratified by frailty: a protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis by Ram Bajpai, Andrew Clegg, Joie Ensor, John R F Gladman, Anne Forster, Ridha Ramiz, Thomas F Crocker, Richard D. Riley, Natalie Lam, Magda Jordão, Eleftheria Patetsini

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Development and validation of a clinical prediction rule for development of diabetic foot ulceration: an analysis of data from five cohort studies by David Weller, Francesca M Chappell, Richard D Riley, Angela Martin, Matilde Monteiro-Soares, Margaret Horne, Graham P Leese, Fay Crawford, Andrew J M Boulton, Caroline Abbott, Aristidis Veves

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Association between pregnancy-related complications and development of type 2 diabetes and hypertension in women: an umbrella review by Steven Wambua, Megha Singh, Kelvin Okoth, Kym I. E. Snell, Richard D. Riley, Christopher Yau, Shakila Thangaratinam, Krishnarajah Nirantharakumar, Francesca L. Crowe, on behalf of the MuM-PreDiCT Group

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Protocol for a systematic review on the methodological and reporting quality of prediction model studies using machine learning techniques by Gary S Collins, Richard D Riley, Johanna A A G Damen, Lotty Hooft, Ram Bajpai, Jie Ma, Constanza L Andaur Navarro, Toshihiko Takada, Steven W J Nijman, Paula Dhiman, Karel GM Moons

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Risk of bias of prognostic models developed using machine learning: a systematic review in oncology by Paula Dhiman, Jie Ma, Constanza L. Andaur Navarro, Benjamin Speich, Garrett Bullock, Johanna A. A. Damen, Lotty Hooft, Shona Kirtley, Richard D. Riley, Ben Van Calster, Karel G. M. Moons, Gary S. Collins

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Risk-stratified monitoring for thiopurine toxicity in immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: prognostic model development, validation, and, health economic evaluationResearch in co... by Georgina Nakafero, Tim Card, Matthew J. Grainge, Hywel C. Williams, Maarten W. Taal, Guruprasad P. Aithal, Christopher P. Fox, Christian D. Mallen, Danielle A. van der Windt, Matthew D. Stevenson, Richard D. Riley, Abhishek Abhishek

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Development and validation of a prognostic model to predict relapse in adults with remitted depression in primary care: secondary analysis of pooled individual participant data fro... by Simon Gilbody, Dean McMillan, Bob Phillips, Kym I E Snell, Richard D Riley, David A Richards, Jaime Delgadillo, Shehzad Ali, Chris Salisbury, Lewis W Paton, Lucinda Archer, Peter A Coventry, Andrew S Moriarty, Joshua E J Buckman, Nick Meader, Carolyn A Chew Graham

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Community-based complex interventions to sustain independence in older people, stratified by frailty: a systematic review and network meta-analysis by Thomas Frederick Crocker, Natalie Lam, Joie Ensor, Magda Jordão, Ram Bajpai, Matthew Bond, Anne Forster, Richard D Riley, Deirdre Andre, Caroline Brundle, Alison Ellwood, John Green, Matthew Hale, Jessica Morgan, Eleftheria Patetsini, Matthew Prescott, Ridha Ramiz, Oliver Todd, Rebecca Walford, John Gladman, Andrew Clegg

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Maternal and child outcomes for pregnant women with pre-existing multiple long-term conditions: protocol for an observational study in the UK by Christopher Yau, Catherine Nelson-Piercy, Krishnarajah Nirantharakumar, Richard D Riley, Anuradhaa Subramanian, Peter Brocklehurst, Sinead Brophy, Maria Loane, Helen Dolk, Shakila Thangaratinam, Muhammad Usman, Dermot O’Reilly, Jingya Wang, Colin McCowan, Louise Locock, Holly Hope, Francesca Crowe, Siang Ing Lee, Rachel Plachcinski, Utkarsh Agrawal, Amaya Azcoaga-Lorenzo, Gillian Santorelli, Beck Taylor, Mairead Black, Adeniyi Francis Fagbamigbe, Christine Damase-Michel, Ngawai Moss, Katherine Phillips, Kelly-Ann Eastwood, Astha Anand, Jonathan Ian Kennedy, Kathryn Mary Abel, Lisa Kent, Steven Wambua, Sharon McCann, Megha Singh, Mohamed Mhereeg, Neil Cockburn, Sudasing Pathirannehelage Buddhika Hemali Sudasinghe, Zoe Vowles, Charles Gadd, Stephanie Hanley, Natalia Hong

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Development and validation of prediction models for fetal growth restriction and birthweight: an individual participant data meta-analysis by John Allotey, Lucinda Archer, Dyuti Coomar, Kym IE Snell, Melanie Smuk, Lucy Oakey, Sadia Haqnawaz, Ana Pilar Betrán, Lucy C Chappell, Wessel Ganzevoort, Sanne Gordijn, Asma Khalil, Ben W Mol, Rachel K Morris, Jenny Myers, Aris T Papageorghiou, Basky Thilaganathan, Fabricio Da Silva Costa, Fabio Facchinetti, Arri Coomarasamy, Akihide Ohkuchi, Anne Eskild, Javier Arenas Ramírez, Alberto Galindo, Ignacio Herraiz, Federico Prefumo, Shigeru Saito, Line Sletner, Jose Guilherme Cecatti, Rinat Gabbay-Benziv, Francois Goffinet, Ahmet A Baschat, Renato T Souza, Fionnuala Mone, Diane Farrar, Seppo Heinonen, Kjell Å Salvesen, Luc JM Smits, Sohinee Bhattacharya, Chie Nagata, Satoru Takeda, Marleen MHJ van Gelder, Dewi Anggraini, SeonAe Yeo, Jane West, Javier Zamora, Hema Mistry, Richard D Riley, Shakila Thangaratinam

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Development and validation of a prognostic model to predict birth weight: individual participant data meta-analysis by François Goffinet, Paul T Seed, Jørn Olsen, Renato T Souza, Louise C Kenny, José Guilherme Cecatti, Ben W Mol, Jane E Norman, Jun Zhang, Ana Pilar Betran, Kym I E Snell, Richard D Riley, Seppo Heinonen, Anne Eskild, Fionnuala M McAuliffe, Mark Brown, Henk Groen, Alice Rumbold, Kerstin Klipstein-Grobusch, Line Sletner, Anne Karen Jenum, Fionnuala Mone, Hema Mistry, Eric A P Steegers, Shigeru Saito, Arri Coomarasamy, Fabio Facchinetti, Lucilla Poston, Shakila Thangaratinam, SeonAe Yeo, Joyce L Browne, Eva Pajkrt, Wessel Ganzevoort, Kjell Salvesen, Helena Teede, Lucy Chappell, Maria Makrides, Guillermo Carroli, Javier Zamora, Pisake Lumbiganon, Asma Khalil, John Kingdom, Gustaaf Dekker, Robert Gibson, Lionel Carbillon, John Allotey, Dyuti Coomar, Jane West, Marleen Temmerman, Satoru Takeda, Federico Prefumo, Hannele Laivuori, Sohinee Bhattacharya, Sander M J van Kuijk, Lucinda Archer, Jenny Myers, Lisa M Askie, Sergio Ferrazzani, Melanie Smuk, Caroline A Crowther, Francesc Figueras, Lill Trogstad, Maureen Macleod, Claire T Roberts, François Audibert, Ary I Savitri, Lesley McCowan, Wendy S Meschino, Diane Farrar, Yves Giguère, Tianhua Huang, Hans Wolf, Tiziana Frusca, Silvia Salvi, Patrizia Vergani, Chie Nagata, George Daskalakis, Olav Lapaire, Enrico Ferrazzi, Baskaran Thilaganathan, Christopher Redman, Agustin Conde-Agudelo, Nelly Zavaleta, Josje Langenveld, Karlijn C Vollebregt, Jacques Massé, Francesca Crovetto, Mariana Widmer, Ignacio Herraiz, Alberto Galindo, Jean-Claude Forest, Stefan Verlohren, Luc Smits, Edouard Lecarpentier, Per Minor Magnus, Alex Kwong, Akihide Ohkuchi, Fabricio Da Silva Costa, Athena P Souka, Rinat Gabbay-Benziv, Evan Sequeira, Rachel Katherine Morris, Ahmet A Baschat, Dewi Anggraini, Marleen van Gelder, Sadia Haqnawaz, Cuno SPM Uiterwaal, Annetine C Staff, Louise Bjoerkholt Andersen, Elisa Llurba Olive, Javier Arenas Ramírez, Peter A Zimmerman, Catherine Riddell, Joris van de Post, Sebastián E Illanes, Claudia Holzman, Pia M Villa, Luxmi Velauthar, Miriam van Oostwaard, Christina A Vinter, Camilla Haavaldsen, Inge Eisensee, Ernesto A Figueiró-Filho, Jacob A Lykke, Alfred Mbah, Gordon G S Smith, Read Salim, Annemarijne Adank, Rebecca E Allen, Jan Stener Jørgensen, Anthony O Odibo, Bassam G Haddad, Emily C Kleinrouweler, Ragnhild Bergene Skråstad, Kajantie Eero, Athanasios Pilalis, Lee Ann Hawkins

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