When should lockdown be implemented? Devising cost-effective strategies for managing epidemics amid vaccine uncertainty by Doyle, NJ, Cumming, F, Thompson, RN, Tildesley, MJ

Quantifying infectious disease epidemic risks: A practical approach for seasonal pathogens by Kaye, AR, Guzzetta, G, Tildesley, MJ, Thompson, RN

Developments in statistical inference when assessing spatiotemporal disease clustering with the tau statistic by Pollington, TM, Tildesley, MJ, Hollingsworth, TD, Chapman, LAC

The effect of notification window length on the epidemiological impact of COVID-19 contact tracing mobile applications by Leng, T, Hill, EM, Keeling, MJ, Tildesley, MJ, Thompson, RN

Assessing the impact of lateral flow testing strategies on within-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and absences: a modelling study. by Leng, T, Hill, EM, Thompson, RN, Tildesley, MJ, Keeling, MJ, Dyson, L

The impact of natural climate variability on the global distribution of Aedes aegypti: a mathematical modelling study by Kaye, AR, Obolski, U, Sun, L, Hart, WS, Hurrell, JW, Tildesley, MJ, Thompson, RN

Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools by Leng, T, Hill, EM, Holmes, A, Southall, E, Thompson, RN, Tildesley, MJ, Keeling, MJ, Dyson, L

Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics by Dyson, L, Hill, EM, Moore, S, Curran-Sebastian, J, Tildesley, MJ, Lythgoe, KA, House, T, Pellis, L, Keeling, MJ

Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number by Keeling, MJ, Dyson, L, Guyver-Fletcher, G, Holmes, A, Semple, MG, Tildesley, MJ, Hill, EM, Horby, P

Optimal health and economic impact of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures prior and post vaccination in England: a mathematical modelling study by Tildesley, MJ, Vassall, A, Riley, S, Jit, M, Sandmann, F, Hill, EM, Thompson, RN, Atkins, BD, Edmunds, J, Dyson, L, Keeling, MJ

Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics by Kretzschmar, ME, Ashby, B, Fearon, E, Overton, CE, Panovska-Griffiths, J, Pellis, L, Quaife, M, Rozhnova, G, Scarabel, F, Stage, HB, Swallow, B, Thompson, RN, Tildesley, MJ, Villela, D

Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies by Thompson, RN, Hollingsworth, TD, Isham, V, Arribas-Bel, D, Ashby, B, Britton, T, Challoner, P, Chappell, LHK, Clapham, H, Cunniffe, NJ, Dawid, AP, Donnelly, CA, Eggo, R, Funk, S, Gilbert, N, Glendinning, P, Gog, JR, Hart, WS, Heesterbeek, H, House, T, Keeling, M, Kiss, IZ, Kretzschmar, M, Lloyd, AL, McBryde, ES, McCaw, JM, McKinley, TJ, Miller, JC, Morris, M, ONeill, PD, Parag, KV, Pearson, CAB, Pellis, L, Pulliam, JRC, Ross, JV, Tomba, GS, Silverman, BW, Struchiner, CJ, Tildesley, MJ, Trapman, P, Webb, CR, Mollison, D, Restif, O