Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations – are they unseen or unrealistic? Bằng Kelder, T, Wanders, N, van der Wiel, K, Marjoribanks, TI, Slater, LJ, Wilby, RL, Prudhomme, C

Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited Bằng Otto, F, van Oldenborgh, G, van der Wiel, K, Philip, S, Kew, S, Uhe, P, Cullen, H

Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa Bằng Kew, S, Philip, S, Hauser, M, Hobbins, M, Wanders, N, van Oldenborgh, GJ, van der Wiel, K, Veldkamp, T, Kimutai, J, Funk, C, Otto, FE

Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017 Bằng van Oldenborgh, G, van der Wiel, K, Sebastian, A, Singh, R, Arrighi, J, Otto, F, Haustein, K, Li, S, Vecchi, G, Cullen, H

A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses Bằng Philip, S, Kew, S, van Oldenborgh, GJ, Otto, F, Vautard, R, van der Wiel, K, King, A, Lott, F, Arrighi, J, Singh, R, van Aalst, M

How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather Bằng Kelder, T, Heinrich, D, Klok, L, Thompson, V, Goulart, HMD, Hawkins, E, Slater, LJ, Suarez-Gutierrez, L, Wilby, RL, Coughlan de Perez, E, Stephens, EM, Burt, S, van den Hurk, B, de Vries, H, van der Wiel, K, Schipper, ELF, Carmona Baéz, A, van Bueren, E, Fischer, EM