Techniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies /

Delphi method The Delphi method is a very popular technique used in Futures Studies. It was developed by Gordon and Helmer in 1953 at RAND. It can be defined as a method for structuring a group communication process, so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to...

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Үндсэн зохиолч: Maness, Juana, author 648114
Формат: software, multimedia
Хэл сонгох:eng
Хэвлэсэн: Delhi, India : The English Press, 2012
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Онлайн хандалт:http://repository.library.utm.my/id/eprint/3700
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author Maness, Juana, author 648114
author_facet Maness, Juana, author 648114
author_sort Maness, Juana, author 648114
collection OCEAN
description Delphi method The Delphi method is a very popular technique used in Futures Studies. It was developed by Gordon and Helmer in 1953 at RAND. It can be defined as a method for structuring a group communication process, so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with a complex problem. It uses the iterative, independent questioning of a panel of experts to assess the timing, probability, significance and implications of factors, trends and events in the relation to the problem being considered. Panelists are not brought together but individually questioned in rounds. After the initial round, the panelists are given lists of anonymous answers from other panelists which they can use to refine their own views. Studies employing Delphi method tend to be difficult to perform. The application of the Delphi method requires a great deal of attention to the selection of participating experts and the questionnaires have to be scrupulously prepared and tested in advance.
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spelling KOHA-OAI-TEST:5953512023-11-15T07:03:27ZTechniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies / Maness, Juana, author 648114 software, multimedia Electronic books 631902 Delhi, India : The English Press,2012©2012engDelphi method The Delphi method is a very popular technique used in Futures Studies. It was developed by Gordon and Helmer in 1953 at RAND. It can be defined as a method for structuring a group communication process, so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with a complex problem. It uses the iterative, independent questioning of a panel of experts to assess the timing, probability, significance and implications of factors, trends and events in the relation to the problem being considered. Panelists are not brought together but individually questioned in rounds. After the initial round, the panelists are given lists of anonymous answers from other panelists which they can use to refine their own views. Studies employing Delphi method tend to be difficult to perform. The application of the Delphi method requires a great deal of attention to the selection of participating experts and the questionnaires have to be scrupulously prepared and tested in advance.Delphi method The Delphi method is a very popular technique used in Futures Studies. It was developed by Gordon and Helmer in 1953 at RAND. It can be defined as a method for structuring a group communication process, so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with a complex problem. It uses the iterative, independent questioning of a panel of experts to assess the timing, probability, significance and implications of factors, trends and events in the relation to the problem being considered. Panelists are not brought together but individually questioned in rounds. After the initial round, the panelists are given lists of anonymous answers from other panelists which they can use to refine their own views. Studies employing Delphi method tend to be difficult to perform. The application of the Delphi method requires a great deal of attention to the selection of participating experts and the questionnaires have to be scrupulously prepared and tested in advance.Forecastinghttp://repository.library.utm.my/id/eprint/3700URN:ISBN:9788132347224Remote access restricted to users with a valid UTM ID via VPN.
spellingShingle Forecasting
Maness, Juana, author 648114
Techniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies /
title Techniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies /
title_full Techniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies /
title_fullStr Techniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies /
title_full_unstemmed Techniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies /
title_short Techniques, Methods & Applications in Futures Studies /
title_sort techniques methods applications in futures studies
topic Forecasting
url http://repository.library.utm.my/id/eprint/3700
work_keys_str_mv AT manessjuanaauthor648114 techniquesmethodsapplicationsinfuturesstudies