Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis

This study assesses the effectiveness of road network pavement maintenance using Markov Chain analysis based on historical costs and road roughness progression data. The analysis is based on a database developed by the State of Victoria, Australia, consisting of 2197 road sections. The analysis meas...

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Main Authors: Mandiartha, Putu, Duffield, Colin F., Thompson, Russell G., Wigan, Marcus R.
Format: Article
Published: Taylor & Francis 2016
Subjects:
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author Mandiartha, Putu
Duffield, Colin F.
Thompson, Russell G.
Wigan, Marcus R.
author_facet Mandiartha, Putu
Duffield, Colin F.
Thompson, Russell G.
Wigan, Marcus R.
author_sort Mandiartha, Putu
collection UMP
description This study assesses the effectiveness of road network pavement maintenance using Markov Chain analysis based on historical costs and road roughness progression data. The analysis is based on a database developed by the State of Victoria, Australia, consisting of 2197 road sections. The analysis measures maintenance effectiveness using the criterion of whether road sections remain in the same condition state or move to the next worst state based on a predefined roughness value. Principal inputs for the stochastic models, such as the development of transition probability matrices and associated cost functions, are discussed. Results show that, within the current budget envelope and when undertaking only routine maintenance, the probability of road sections remaining in the same condition state, which is a determinant of maintenance effectiveness, exhibits a declining tendency from good to worst condition states. This finding prompts the discussion on when to begin intervention using high types of maintenance together with their respective higher expenditure levels. The method discussed in this paper, provides tool for road authorities to select the appropriate maintenance action for each condition state of pavements based on the comparison analysis of the results of Markov Chain for different types of maintenance actions.
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spelling UMPir138102018-05-21T02:06:09Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/13810/ Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis Mandiartha, Putu Duffield, Colin F. Thompson, Russell G. Wigan, Marcus R. TE Highway engineering. Roads and pavements This study assesses the effectiveness of road network pavement maintenance using Markov Chain analysis based on historical costs and road roughness progression data. The analysis is based on a database developed by the State of Victoria, Australia, consisting of 2197 road sections. The analysis measures maintenance effectiveness using the criterion of whether road sections remain in the same condition state or move to the next worst state based on a predefined roughness value. Principal inputs for the stochastic models, such as the development of transition probability matrices and associated cost functions, are discussed. Results show that, within the current budget envelope and when undertaking only routine maintenance, the probability of road sections remaining in the same condition state, which is a determinant of maintenance effectiveness, exhibits a declining tendency from good to worst condition states. This finding prompts the discussion on when to begin intervention using high types of maintenance together with their respective higher expenditure levels. The method discussed in this paper, provides tool for road authorities to select the appropriate maintenance action for each condition state of pavements based on the comparison analysis of the results of Markov Chain for different types of maintenance actions. Taylor & Francis 2016-07-28 Article PeerReviewed Mandiartha, Putu and Duffield, Colin F. and Thompson, Russell G. and Wigan, Marcus R. (2016) Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. pp. 1-11. ISSN 1573-2479. (Published) http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2016.1212901 DOI: 10.1080/15732479.2016.1212901
spellingShingle TE Highway engineering. Roads and pavements
Mandiartha, Putu
Duffield, Colin F.
Thompson, Russell G.
Wigan, Marcus R.
Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis
title Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis
title_full Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis
title_fullStr Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis
title_short Measuring Pavement Maintenance Effectiveness using Markov Chains Analysis
title_sort measuring pavement maintenance effectiveness using markov chains analysis
topic TE Highway engineering. Roads and pavements
work_keys_str_mv AT mandiarthaputu measuringpavementmaintenanceeffectivenessusingmarkovchainsanalysis
AT duffieldcolinf measuringpavementmaintenanceeffectivenessusingmarkovchainsanalysis
AT thompsonrussellg measuringpavementmaintenanceeffectivenessusingmarkovchainsanalysis
AT wiganmarcusr measuringpavementmaintenanceeffectivenessusingmarkovchainsanalysis