Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia
The interference of climate circulation and continuous rising of surface temperature every year has caused the atmosphere composition change which gives serious impact to water resource management. Pahang is among of the affected states by El Nino that hit Malaysia in recent years which led to water...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Conference or Workshop Item |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2017
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| Online Access: | http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/19596/1/fkasa-nadrah-Assessment%20of%20the%20Potential%20Occurrence%20of%20Dry%20Period%20in%20the%20Long%20Term1.pdf |
| _version_ | 1825811823737176064 |
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| author | Ahmad Saifuddin, Othman Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat |
| author_facet | Ahmad Saifuddin, Othman Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat |
| author_sort | Ahmad Saifuddin, Othman |
| collection | UMP |
| description | The interference of climate circulation and continuous rising of surface temperature every year has caused the atmosphere composition change which gives serious impact to water resource management. Pahang is among of the affected states by El Nino that hit Malaysia in recent years which led to water depletion at several water plants. Based on the current situation, this study focuses on 1) simulate the average rain pattern using statistical downscaling; 2) identify the severity index and dry duration occurrence in the catchment area. Predicting potential changes in the climate events is important to evaluate the level of climate change in the critical region. Therefore, the integration of Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) and Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) have been conducted to study the potential occurrence of the dry period due to climate change for year 2020s and year 2050s. The results reveal that the dry condition is high during the mid-year. The lowest SPI value is estimated to reach -2.2 which can be classified as extreme. The potential dry period is expected to increase 2.5% and 3.3% in 2020 and 2050, respectively. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-06T12:20:03Z |
| format | Conference or Workshop Item |
| id | UMPir19596 |
| institution | Universiti Malaysia Pahang |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-06T12:20:03Z |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| record_format | dspace |
| spelling | UMPir195962018-05-16T02:32:27Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/19596/ Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia Ahmad Saifuddin, Othman Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) The interference of climate circulation and continuous rising of surface temperature every year has caused the atmosphere composition change which gives serious impact to water resource management. Pahang is among of the affected states by El Nino that hit Malaysia in recent years which led to water depletion at several water plants. Based on the current situation, this study focuses on 1) simulate the average rain pattern using statistical downscaling; 2) identify the severity index and dry duration occurrence in the catchment area. Predicting potential changes in the climate events is important to evaluate the level of climate change in the critical region. Therefore, the integration of Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) and Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) have been conducted to study the potential occurrence of the dry period due to climate change for year 2020s and year 2050s. The results reveal that the dry condition is high during the mid-year. The lowest SPI value is estimated to reach -2.2 which can be classified as extreme. The potential dry period is expected to increase 2.5% and 3.3% in 2020 and 2050, respectively. 2017 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/19596/1/fkasa-nadrah-Assessment%20of%20the%20Potential%20Occurrence%20of%20Dry%20Period%20in%20the%20Long%20Term1.pdf Ahmad Saifuddin, Othman and Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat (2017) Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia. In: Malaysian Technical Universities Conference on Engineering and Technology (MUCET 2017) , 6-7 December 2017 , Penang, Malaysia. pp. 1-6.. (Unpublished) (Unpublished) |
| spellingShingle | TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Ahmad Saifuddin, Othman Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia |
| title | Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia |
| title_full | Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia |
| title_fullStr | Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia |
| title_short | Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia |
| title_sort | assessment of the potential occurrence of dry period in the long term for pahang state malaysia |
| topic | TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) |
| url | http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/19596/1/fkasa-nadrah-Assessment%20of%20the%20Potential%20Occurrence%20of%20Dry%20Period%20in%20the%20Long%20Term1.pdf |
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