Application of bias correction in climate prediction

The issue of climate change and its effects on many aspects of the environment become more challenges for society. The emission and concentration of carbon dioxide and greenhouse gases give impact to the increase in temperature, and thus leading to global warming. It is important and desirable to an...

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Main Author: Zuraida, Hasbullah
Format: Undergraduates Project Papers
Language:English
Published: 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/21012/1/30.Application%20of%20bias%20correction%20in%20climate%20prediction.pdf
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author Zuraida, Hasbullah
author_facet Zuraida, Hasbullah
author_sort Zuraida, Hasbullah
collection UMP
description The issue of climate change and its effects on many aspects of the environment become more challenges for society. The emission and concentration of carbon dioxide and greenhouse gases give impact to the increase in temperature, and thus leading to global warming. It is important and desirable to analyze and predict the changes of climatic variables especially for rainfall. However, the accuracy in the climate simulation is becomes significant to ensure the reliability of the projection results. Thus, the bias correction (BC) methods were suggested to imply to treat the gaps between observed and simulated results. This study is focus on analysis the prediction patterns of rainfall in Lubuk Paku and Temerloh in Pahang state based on the historical rainfall. The rainfall pattern can be estimate the future climate change, general circulation models (GCMs) are applied. Therefore, Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) is applied in order to convert the coarse spatial resolution of the GCMs output into a fine resolution. However, there are biases in SDSM result and GCMs result. Therefore, two bias correction methods which are Linear Scaling (LS) and Local Intensity Scaling (LOCI) are applied to reduce the bias of those model and the performance of those methods are being compared.
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spelling UMPir210122023-04-11T03:45:52Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/21012/ Application of bias correction in climate prediction Zuraida, Hasbullah TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering The issue of climate change and its effects on many aspects of the environment become more challenges for society. The emission and concentration of carbon dioxide and greenhouse gases give impact to the increase in temperature, and thus leading to global warming. It is important and desirable to analyze and predict the changes of climatic variables especially for rainfall. However, the accuracy in the climate simulation is becomes significant to ensure the reliability of the projection results. Thus, the bias correction (BC) methods were suggested to imply to treat the gaps between observed and simulated results. This study is focus on analysis the prediction patterns of rainfall in Lubuk Paku and Temerloh in Pahang state based on the historical rainfall. The rainfall pattern can be estimate the future climate change, general circulation models (GCMs) are applied. Therefore, Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) is applied in order to convert the coarse spatial resolution of the GCMs output into a fine resolution. However, there are biases in SDSM result and GCMs result. Therefore, two bias correction methods which are Linear Scaling (LS) and Local Intensity Scaling (LOCI) are applied to reduce the bias of those model and the performance of those methods are being compared. 2017-06 Undergraduates Project Papers NonPeerReviewed pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/21012/1/30.Application%20of%20bias%20correction%20in%20climate%20prediction.pdf Zuraida, Hasbullah (2017) Application of bias correction in climate prediction. Faculty of Civil Engineering and Earth Resources, Universiti Malaysia Pahang.
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
Zuraida, Hasbullah
Application of bias correction in climate prediction
title Application of bias correction in climate prediction
title_full Application of bias correction in climate prediction
title_fullStr Application of bias correction in climate prediction
title_full_unstemmed Application of bias correction in climate prediction
title_short Application of bias correction in climate prediction
title_sort application of bias correction in climate prediction
topic TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/21012/1/30.Application%20of%20bias%20correction%20in%20climate%20prediction.pdf
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