Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms

This paper presents a comparative study which involved five hybrid meta-heuristic methods to predict the weather five days in advance. The identified meta-heuristic methods namely Moth-flame Optimization (MFO), Cuckoo Search algorithm (CSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Firefly Algorithm (FA) and Di...

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Main Authors: Zuriani, Mustaffa, M. H., Sulaiman, Rohidin, Dede, Ernawan, Ferda, Shahreen, Kasim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Indonesian Society for Knowledge and Human Development 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30076/1/4968-15300-1-PB.pdf
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author Zuriani, Mustaffa
M. H., Sulaiman
Rohidin, Dede
Ernawan, Ferda
Shahreen, Kasim
author_facet Zuriani, Mustaffa
M. H., Sulaiman
Rohidin, Dede
Ernawan, Ferda
Shahreen, Kasim
author_sort Zuriani, Mustaffa
collection UMP
description This paper presents a comparative study which involved five hybrid meta-heuristic methods to predict the weather five days in advance. The identified meta-heuristic methods namely Moth-flame Optimization (MFO), Cuckoo Search algorithm (CSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Firefly Algorithm (FA) and Differential Evolution (DE) are individually hybridized with a well-known machine learning technique namely Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM). For experimental purposes, a total of 6 independent inputs are considered which were collected based on daily weather data. The efficiency of the MFO-LSSVM, CS-LSSVM, ABC-LSSVM, FA-LSSVM, and DE-LSSVM was quantitatively analyzed based on Theil’s U and Root Mean Square Percentage Error. Overall, the experimental results demonstrate a good rival among the identified methods. However, the superiority goes to FA-LSSVM which was able to record lower error rates in prediction. The proposed prediction model could benefit many parties in continuity planning daily activities.
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spelling UMPir300762021-10-25T04:17:08Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30076/ Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms Zuriani, Mustaffa M. H., Sulaiman Rohidin, Dede Ernawan, Ferda Shahreen, Kasim QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science This paper presents a comparative study which involved five hybrid meta-heuristic methods to predict the weather five days in advance. The identified meta-heuristic methods namely Moth-flame Optimization (MFO), Cuckoo Search algorithm (CSA), Artificial Bee Colony (ABC), Firefly Algorithm (FA) and Differential Evolution (DE) are individually hybridized with a well-known machine learning technique namely Least Squares Support Vector Machines (LS-SVM). For experimental purposes, a total of 6 independent inputs are considered which were collected based on daily weather data. The efficiency of the MFO-LSSVM, CS-LSSVM, ABC-LSSVM, FA-LSSVM, and DE-LSSVM was quantitatively analyzed based on Theil’s U and Root Mean Square Percentage Error. Overall, the experimental results demonstrate a good rival among the identified methods. However, the superiority goes to FA-LSSVM which was able to record lower error rates in prediction. The proposed prediction model could benefit many parties in continuity planning daily activities. Indonesian Society for Knowledge and Human Development 2018 Article PeerReviewed pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30076/1/4968-15300-1-PB.pdf Zuriani, Mustaffa and M. H., Sulaiman and Rohidin, Dede and Ernawan, Ferda and Shahreen, Kasim (2018) Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms. International Journal on Advanced Science, Engineering and Information Technology, 8 (5). pp. 1919-1925. ISSN 2088-5334. (Published) https://doi.org/10.18517/ijaseit.8.5.4968 https://doi.org/10.18517/ijaseit.8.5.4968
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Zuriani, Mustaffa
M. H., Sulaiman
Rohidin, Dede
Ernawan, Ferda
Shahreen, Kasim
Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms
title Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms
title_full Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms
title_fullStr Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms
title_full_unstemmed Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms
title_short Time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta-heuristic algorithms
title_sort time series predictive analysis based on hybridization of meta heuristic algorithms
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/30076/1/4968-15300-1-PB.pdf
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