Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime Industry
The maritime industry is trying to utilize new technology for enhancing its competitiveness to overcome today’s severe economic situation, and some interact effects, or potentially emergent effects, will emerge during the introduction of these technologies. In this study, various simulations that re...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2022-02-01
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| Series: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/2/263 |
| _version_ | 1797478944313704448 |
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| author | Kazuo Hiekata Zhinan Zhao |
| author_facet | Kazuo Hiekata Zhinan Zhao |
| author_sort | Kazuo Hiekata |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The maritime industry is trying to utilize new technology for enhancing its competitiveness to overcome today’s severe economic situation, and some interact effects, or potentially emergent effects, will emerge during the introduction of these technologies. In this study, various simulations that relate to marine logistics and shipping were performed. By contrast, a detailed method that can reproduce emergent effects is required to some extent. This study utilized a Monte Carlo simulation for uncertainties, such as market and failure uncertainties. To evaluate and explore the emergent effect correctly and accurately when multiple technologies are introduced, an evaluation methodology was developed, which can evaluate the interact effect from the perspective of profit improvement and CO<sub>2</sub> reduction during the transportation period. As a case study, decision making for introducing 28 technology combinations to the maritime industry was conducted, and the utility of the proposed methodology was assessed. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T21:38:49Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-0016b690a5d54a6e99199d875239810a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2077-1312 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T21:38:49Z |
| publishDate | 2022-02-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
| spelling | doaj.art-0016b690a5d54a6e99199d875239810a2023-11-23T20:36:08ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122022-02-0110226310.3390/jmse10020263Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime IndustryKazuo Hiekata0Zhinan Zhao1Graduate School of Frontier Science, The University of Tokyo, Kashiwa 277-0882, JapanSimplex Inc., 19F Toranomon Hills Mori Tower, Tokyo 105-6319, JapanThe maritime industry is trying to utilize new technology for enhancing its competitiveness to overcome today’s severe economic situation, and some interact effects, or potentially emergent effects, will emerge during the introduction of these technologies. In this study, various simulations that relate to marine logistics and shipping were performed. By contrast, a detailed method that can reproduce emergent effects is required to some extent. This study utilized a Monte Carlo simulation for uncertainties, such as market and failure uncertainties. To evaluate and explore the emergent effect correctly and accurately when multiple technologies are introduced, an evaluation methodology was developed, which can evaluate the interact effect from the perspective of profit improvement and CO<sub>2</sub> reduction during the transportation period. As a case study, decision making for introducing 28 technology combinations to the maritime industry was conducted, and the utility of the proposed methodology was assessed.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/2/263emergent effectstechnology introductionmaritime industrydecision-making support system |
| spellingShingle | Kazuo Hiekata Zhinan Zhao Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime Industry Journal of Marine Science and Engineering emergent effects technology introduction maritime industry decision-making support system |
| title | Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime Industry |
| title_full | Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime Industry |
| title_fullStr | Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime Industry |
| title_full_unstemmed | Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime Industry |
| title_short | Decision Support System for Technology Deployment Considering Emergent Behaviors in the Maritime Industry |
| title_sort | decision support system for technology deployment considering emergent behaviors in the maritime industry |
| topic | emergent effects technology introduction maritime industry decision-making support system |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/10/2/263 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT kazuohiekata decisionsupportsystemfortechnologydeploymentconsideringemergentbehaviorsinthemaritimeindustry AT zhinanzhao decisionsupportsystemfortechnologydeploymentconsideringemergentbehaviorsinthemaritimeindustry |