Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
Using the Seoul National University Earth System Model Version 0 (SEM0) and Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1), we analyzed the impacts of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the genesis of tropical cyclones (TG). SEM0 is known to simulate ENSO, MJO...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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IOP Publishing
2020-01-01
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Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7466 |
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author | Jihoon Shin Sungsu Park |
author_facet | Jihoon Shin Sungsu Park |
author_sort | Jihoon Shin |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Using the Seoul National University Earth System Model Version 0 (SEM0) and Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1), we analyzed the impacts of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the genesis of tropical cyclones (TG). SEM0 is known to simulate ENSO, MJO, and TG reasonably well, all of which are difficult to simulate with general circulation models (GCMs). Observational analysis revealed that both ENSO and MJO have substantial impacts on global TG and that the impact of ENSO (MJO) on regional TG varies in a complex manner depending on the phase of MJO (ENSO). Both GCMs underestimate the observed TG over the North Atlantic and have relatively poor performance for simulating the TG anomalies associated with ENSO compared to simulating those associated with MJO. Overall, SEM0 shows much better performance than CESM1 in terms of reproducing the observed impacts of MJO and combined impacts of ENSO and MJO on TG. Therefore, SEM0 can serve as a useful tool for studying the interactions among them to improve the forecasting of tropical cyclones. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:52:25Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-005d306c39c6485cacf94b5501f5891d |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1748-9326 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:52:25Z |
publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
publisher | IOP Publishing |
record_format | Article |
series | Environmental Research Letters |
spelling | doaj.art-005d306c39c6485cacf94b5501f5891d2023-08-09T15:03:46ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-0115303404610.1088/1748-9326/ab7466Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observationsJihoon Shin0Sungsu Park1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9260-4412School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University , Seoul, Republic of KoreaSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University , Seoul, Republic of KoreaUsing the Seoul National University Earth System Model Version 0 (SEM0) and Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1), we analyzed the impacts of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the genesis of tropical cyclones (TG). SEM0 is known to simulate ENSO, MJO, and TG reasonably well, all of which are difficult to simulate with general circulation models (GCMs). Observational analysis revealed that both ENSO and MJO have substantial impacts on global TG and that the impact of ENSO (MJO) on regional TG varies in a complex manner depending on the phase of MJO (ENSO). Both GCMs underestimate the observed TG over the North Atlantic and have relatively poor performance for simulating the TG anomalies associated with ENSO compared to simulating those associated with MJO. Overall, SEM0 shows much better performance than CESM1 in terms of reproducing the observed impacts of MJO and combined impacts of ENSO and MJO on TG. Therefore, SEM0 can serve as a useful tool for studying the interactions among them to improve the forecasting of tropical cyclones.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7466tropical cyloneMJOENSOgeneral circulation model |
spellingShingle | Jihoon Shin Sungsu Park Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations Environmental Research Letters tropical cylone MJO ENSO general circulation model |
title | Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations |
title_full | Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations |
title_fullStr | Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations |
title_full_unstemmed | Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations |
title_short | Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations |
title_sort | impacts of enso and madden julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations |
topic | tropical cylone MJO ENSO general circulation model |
url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7466 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT jihoonshin impactsofensoandmaddenjulianoscillationonthegenesisoftropicalcyclonessimulatedbygeneralcirculationmodelsandcomparedtoobservations AT sungsupark impactsofensoandmaddenjulianoscillationonthegenesisoftropicalcyclonessimulatedbygeneralcirculationmodelsandcomparedtoobservations |