Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations

Using the Seoul National University Earth System Model Version 0 (SEM0) and Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1), we analyzed the impacts of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the genesis of tropical cyclones (TG). SEM0 is known to simulate ENSO, MJO...

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Main Authors: Jihoon Shin, Sungsu Park
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7466
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author Jihoon Shin
Sungsu Park
author_facet Jihoon Shin
Sungsu Park
author_sort Jihoon Shin
collection DOAJ
description Using the Seoul National University Earth System Model Version 0 (SEM0) and Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1), we analyzed the impacts of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the genesis of tropical cyclones (TG). SEM0 is known to simulate ENSO, MJO, and TG reasonably well, all of which are difficult to simulate with general circulation models (GCMs). Observational analysis revealed that both ENSO and MJO have substantial impacts on global TG and that the impact of ENSO (MJO) on regional TG varies in a complex manner depending on the phase of MJO (ENSO). Both GCMs underestimate the observed TG over the North Atlantic and have relatively poor performance for simulating the TG anomalies associated with ENSO compared to simulating those associated with MJO. Overall, SEM0 shows much better performance than CESM1 in terms of reproducing the observed impacts of MJO and combined impacts of ENSO and MJO on TG. Therefore, SEM0 can serve as a useful tool for studying the interactions among them to improve the forecasting of tropical cyclones.
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spelling doaj.art-005d306c39c6485cacf94b5501f5891d2023-08-09T15:03:46ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-0115303404610.1088/1748-9326/ab7466Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observationsJihoon Shin0Sungsu Park1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9260-4412School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University , Seoul, Republic of KoreaSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University , Seoul, Republic of KoreaUsing the Seoul National University Earth System Model Version 0 (SEM0) and Community Earth System Model version 1 (CESM1), we analyzed the impacts of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the genesis of tropical cyclones (TG). SEM0 is known to simulate ENSO, MJO, and TG reasonably well, all of which are difficult to simulate with general circulation models (GCMs). Observational analysis revealed that both ENSO and MJO have substantial impacts on global TG and that the impact of ENSO (MJO) on regional TG varies in a complex manner depending on the phase of MJO (ENSO). Both GCMs underestimate the observed TG over the North Atlantic and have relatively poor performance for simulating the TG anomalies associated with ENSO compared to simulating those associated with MJO. Overall, SEM0 shows much better performance than CESM1 in terms of reproducing the observed impacts of MJO and combined impacts of ENSO and MJO on TG. Therefore, SEM0 can serve as a useful tool for studying the interactions among them to improve the forecasting of tropical cyclones.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7466tropical cyloneMJOENSOgeneral circulation model
spellingShingle Jihoon Shin
Sungsu Park
Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
Environmental Research Letters
tropical cylone
MJO
ENSO
general circulation model
title Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
title_full Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
title_fullStr Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
title_short Impacts of ENSO and Madden–Julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
title_sort impacts of enso and madden julian oscillation on the genesis of tropical cyclones simulated by general circulation models and compared to observations
topic tropical cylone
MJO
ENSO
general circulation model
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7466
work_keys_str_mv AT jihoonshin impactsofensoandmaddenjulianoscillationonthegenesisoftropicalcyclonessimulatedbygeneralcirculationmodelsandcomparedtoobservations
AT sungsupark impactsofensoandmaddenjulianoscillationonthegenesisoftropicalcyclonessimulatedbygeneralcirculationmodelsandcomparedtoobservations