FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA

The administered price of fuel has increased quite frequently since 1970. It has raised a concern on the survival ability of manufacturing firms that could be weakened by such policy. This research objective is for confirming whether the policy of increasing fuel price affects the survival of manufa...

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Main Author: Eko Atmadji
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Islam Indonesia 2014-03-01
Series:Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Online Access:https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/3171
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author Eko Atmadji
author_facet Eko Atmadji
author_sort Eko Atmadji
collection DOAJ
description The administered price of fuel has increased quite frequently since 1970. It has raised a concern on the survival ability of manufacturing firms that could be weakened by such policy. This research objective is for confirming whether the policy of increasing fuel price affects the survival of manufacturing firms in Indonesia. By using Instrumental Variable Probit Model, it demonstrates that increasing fuel price does not affect firms’ survival in the short-run, middle-run, as well as long-run. Nevertheless, the z-statistics increase when the period of estimation is expanded. It means that if the time span of sample observation is widened, the result might be different. Keywords: Fuel price, survival ability, instrumental variable probit model JEL classification numbers: H27, D22 Abstrak Harga bahan bakar minyak (BBM) selalu meningkat sejak 1970. Kenaikan harga ini telah menimbulkan kekhawatiran pada kemampuan kelangsungan hidup perusahaan manufaktur di Indonesia yang bisa dilemahkan oleh kebijakan tersebut. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan tujuan mengonfirmasi apakah kebijakan kenaikan harga BBM mempengaruhi kelangsungan hidup perusahaan industri manufaktur di Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan Instrumental Variable Probit Model, hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan harga BBM tidak mempengaruhi kelangsungan hidupperusahaan dalam jangka pendek, menengah, serta jangka panjang. Namun demikian, z-statistik meningkat ketika periode estimasi diperluas. Ini berarti bahwa jika rentang waktu pengamatan sampel melebar, hasilnya mungkin akan berbeda. Kata kunci: Harga BBM, kemampuan bertahan hidup, instrumental variable probit model JEL classification numbers: H27, D22
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spelling doaj.art-0068cd77d9b9473caba057ff5478cbbf2022-12-22T03:04:36ZengUniversitas Islam IndonesiaEconomic Journal of Emerging Markets2086-31282502-180X2014-03-014110.20885/ejem.v4i1.3171FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIAEko AtmadjiThe administered price of fuel has increased quite frequently since 1970. It has raised a concern on the survival ability of manufacturing firms that could be weakened by such policy. This research objective is for confirming whether the policy of increasing fuel price affects the survival of manufacturing firms in Indonesia. By using Instrumental Variable Probit Model, it demonstrates that increasing fuel price does not affect firms’ survival in the short-run, middle-run, as well as long-run. Nevertheless, the z-statistics increase when the period of estimation is expanded. It means that if the time span of sample observation is widened, the result might be different. Keywords: Fuel price, survival ability, instrumental variable probit model JEL classification numbers: H27, D22 Abstrak Harga bahan bakar minyak (BBM) selalu meningkat sejak 1970. Kenaikan harga ini telah menimbulkan kekhawatiran pada kemampuan kelangsungan hidup perusahaan manufaktur di Indonesia yang bisa dilemahkan oleh kebijakan tersebut. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan tujuan mengonfirmasi apakah kebijakan kenaikan harga BBM mempengaruhi kelangsungan hidup perusahaan industri manufaktur di Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan Instrumental Variable Probit Model, hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan harga BBM tidak mempengaruhi kelangsungan hidupperusahaan dalam jangka pendek, menengah, serta jangka panjang. Namun demikian, z-statistik meningkat ketika periode estimasi diperluas. Ini berarti bahwa jika rentang waktu pengamatan sampel melebar, hasilnya mungkin akan berbeda. Kata kunci: Harga BBM, kemampuan bertahan hidup, instrumental variable probit model JEL classification numbers: H27, D22 https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/3171
spellingShingle Eko Atmadji
FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
title FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA
title_full FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA
title_fullStr FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA
title_full_unstemmed FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA
title_short FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA
title_sort fuel price increase and manufacturing firms survival in indonesia
url https://jurnal.uii.ac.id/JEP/article/view/3171
work_keys_str_mv AT ekoatmadji fuelpriceincreaseandmanufacturingfirmssurvivalinindonesia