Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of Ukraine
The state and strategic scenarios to recover the sustainable development of air transport in Ukraine in the post-war period are studied. Research is fulfilled with the scientific justification of quantitative indicators and macro-indicators of maintaining the trajectory of sustainable development in...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Institute for International Cooperation Development
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Virtual Economics |
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| Online Access: | https://www.virtual-economics.eu/index.php/VE/article/view/196/109 |
| _version_ | 1797683242020634624 |
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| author | Yurii Kharazishvili Aleksy Kwilinski Dmytro Bugayko Mariia Hryhorak Veronika Butorina Iryna Yashchyshyna |
| author_facet | Yurii Kharazishvili Aleksy Kwilinski Dmytro Bugayko Mariia Hryhorak Veronika Butorina Iryna Yashchyshyna |
| author_sort | Yurii Kharazishvili |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The state and strategic scenarios to recover the sustainable development of air transport in Ukraine in the post-war period are studied. Research is fulfilled with the scientific justification of quantitative indicators and macro-indicators of maintaining the trajectory of sustainable development in the medium-term perspective. The starting point of strategizing is the concept of sustainable development in the safety dimension as a management construct that contains a general systemic view of the ways to transfer from the current state of the management object to the desired one and includes the stages of identification and strategizing. Identification involves an integral convolution with dynamic weighting coefficients and a formalized justification of the limits of safe existence. A new methodology is used for strategizing, which, unlike classical forecasting methods (the past determines the future), uses the principle "the future is determined by the trajectory into the future" and is based on the method of adaptive regulation from the management theory. According to the defined methodology, three strategic recovery scenarios were developed with the annual rates of growth of real aviation transport: realistic – 4.5%; optimistic – 7.2% and the scenario of entering the optimal zone of the EU countries – 10.4%. The resulting dynamics of components, indicators and macro indicators is, in fact, a strategic plan for the post-war recovery of the economy and entering the path of sustainable development. Threats are identified and institutional measures are proposed for airlines and national systems of airports and airfields, air navigation services, aviation industry, aviation education and science of Ukraine. The strategic orientations of the environmentalization of air transport of Ukraine in the post-war period and the strategic priorities of the recovery of the air transport infrastructure were formulated, and the necessity to pursue a course towards carbon neutrality was proved. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T00:11:42Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-00df8aee62614879b684c6ed88efbb73 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2657-4047 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T00:11:42Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | Institute for International Cooperation Development |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Virtual Economics |
| spelling | doaj.art-00df8aee62614879b684c6ed88efbb732023-09-15T22:37:24ZengInstitute for International Cooperation DevelopmentVirtual Economics2657-40472022-11-015373010.34021/ve.2022.05.03(1)Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of UkraineYurii Kharazishvili0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3787-1323Aleksy Kwilinski1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6318-4001Dmytro Bugayko2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3240-2501Mariia Hryhorak3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5023-8602Veronika Butorina4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6657-5718Iryna Yashchyshyna5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9107-7980The National Institute of Strategic Studies, Kyiv, UkraineDepartment of Management, Faculty of Applied Sciences, WSB University, Dabrowa Gornicza, PolandNational Aviation University, Kyiv, UkraineV. M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Kyiv, UkraineKamianets-Podilskyi Ivan Ohiienko National University, Kamianets-Podilskyi, UkraineKamianets-Podilskyi Ivan Ohiienko National University, Kamianets-Podilskyi, UkraineThe state and strategic scenarios to recover the sustainable development of air transport in Ukraine in the post-war period are studied. Research is fulfilled with the scientific justification of quantitative indicators and macro-indicators of maintaining the trajectory of sustainable development in the medium-term perspective. The starting point of strategizing is the concept of sustainable development in the safety dimension as a management construct that contains a general systemic view of the ways to transfer from the current state of the management object to the desired one and includes the stages of identification and strategizing. Identification involves an integral convolution with dynamic weighting coefficients and a formalized justification of the limits of safe existence. A new methodology is used for strategizing, which, unlike classical forecasting methods (the past determines the future), uses the principle "the future is determined by the trajectory into the future" and is based on the method of adaptive regulation from the management theory. According to the defined methodology, three strategic recovery scenarios were developed with the annual rates of growth of real aviation transport: realistic – 4.5%; optimistic – 7.2% and the scenario of entering the optimal zone of the EU countries – 10.4%. The resulting dynamics of components, indicators and macro indicators is, in fact, a strategic plan for the post-war recovery of the economy and entering the path of sustainable development. Threats are identified and institutional measures are proposed for airlines and national systems of airports and airfields, air navigation services, aviation industry, aviation education and science of Ukraine. The strategic orientations of the environmentalization of air transport of Ukraine in the post-war period and the strategic priorities of the recovery of the air transport infrastructure were formulated, and the necessity to pursue a course towards carbon neutrality was proved.https://www.virtual-economics.eu/index.php/VE/article/view/196/109aviation transportsustainable developmentsecurity dimensionstrategic managementenvironmental strategy |
| spellingShingle | Yurii Kharazishvili Aleksy Kwilinski Dmytro Bugayko Mariia Hryhorak Veronika Butorina Iryna Yashchyshyna Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of Ukraine Virtual Economics aviation transport sustainable development security dimension strategic management environmental strategy |
| title | Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of Ukraine |
| title_full | Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of Ukraine |
| title_fullStr | Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of Ukraine |
| title_full_unstemmed | Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of Ukraine |
| title_short | Strategic Scenarios of the Post-War Recovery of the Aviation Transport Sustainable Development: The Case of Ukraine |
| title_sort | strategic scenarios of the post war recovery of the aviation transport sustainable development the case of ukraine |
| topic | aviation transport sustainable development security dimension strategic management environmental strategy |
| url | https://www.virtual-economics.eu/index.php/VE/article/view/196/109 |
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