Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase Tournament

Perverse incentives are ubiquitous in different economic settings. In sports, they often take the form of temptation to deliberately lose matches (the phenomenon known as tanking or sandbagging). In practice, there were even such pathological situations as when a soccer team intentionally scored an...

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Main Author: Waldemar Stronka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-08-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/3/66
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author Waldemar Stronka
author_facet Waldemar Stronka
author_sort Waldemar Stronka
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description Perverse incentives are ubiquitous in different economic settings. In sports, they often take the form of temptation to deliberately lose matches (the phenomenon known as tanking or sandbagging). In practice, there were even such pathological situations as when a soccer team intentionally scored an own goal. We show how and when the temptation is generated by the current pair matching method, the one applied after the first phase of many popular tournaments, including the most prestigious soccer championships. If the organizers of important sporting contests do not introduce any organizational innovations, they risk serious match-fixing scandals. We introduce an alternative procedure and show that its practical implementation could radically mitigate the risk. We perform a comparative analysis of the methods. We analyze the format “Winners and Runners-up Advancing from Two Adjacent Groups”, particularly its FIFA World Cup variant. In order to quantify the benefits of switching from the current method to the proposed one, we refer to simulation results. The expected decrease in temptation probability is about 83% and could be even about 90% if we additionally implement the suggested scheduling innovation.
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spelling doaj.art-00f7ccd81ccc4b9481e3196bb9c212272023-11-20T10:24:49ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992020-08-01836610.3390/economies8030066Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase TournamentWaldemar Stronka0Department of Operations Research, Poznań University of Economics and Business, Al. Niepodległości 10, 61-875 Poznań, PolandPerverse incentives are ubiquitous in different economic settings. In sports, they often take the form of temptation to deliberately lose matches (the phenomenon known as tanking or sandbagging). In practice, there were even such pathological situations as when a soccer team intentionally scored an own goal. We show how and when the temptation is generated by the current pair matching method, the one applied after the first phase of many popular tournaments, including the most prestigious soccer championships. If the organizers of important sporting contests do not introduce any organizational innovations, they risk serious match-fixing scandals. We introduce an alternative procedure and show that its practical implementation could radically mitigate the risk. We perform a comparative analysis of the methods. We analyze the format “Winners and Runners-up Advancing from Two Adjacent Groups”, particularly its FIFA World Cup variant. In order to quantify the benefits of switching from the current method to the proposed one, we refer to simulation results. The expected decrease in temptation probability is about 83% and could be even about 90% if we additionally implement the suggested scheduling innovation.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/3/66perverse incentivestankingsandbaggingtournament designOR in sports
spellingShingle Waldemar Stronka
Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase Tournament
Economies
perverse incentives
tanking
sandbagging
tournament design
OR in sports
title Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase Tournament
title_full Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase Tournament
title_fullStr Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase Tournament
title_full_unstemmed Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase Tournament
title_short Anti-Tanking Pair Matching before an Elimination Phase of a Two-Phase Tournament
title_sort anti tanking pair matching before an elimination phase of a two phase tournament
topic perverse incentives
tanking
sandbagging
tournament design
OR in sports
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/8/3/66
work_keys_str_mv AT waldemarstronka antitankingpairmatchingbeforeaneliminationphaseofatwophasetournament