Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measures

<p>Adapting densely populated deltas to the combined impacts of climate change and socioeconomic developments presents a major challenge for their sustainable development in the 21st century. Decisions for the adaptations require an overview of cost and benefits and the number of stakeholders...

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Main Authors: M. W. Straatsma, J. M. Fliervoet, J. A. H. Kabout, F. Baart, M. G. Kleinhans
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-06-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/19/1167/2019/nhess-19-1167-2019.pdf
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author M. W. Straatsma
J. M. Fliervoet
J. A. H. Kabout
F. Baart
M. G. Kleinhans
author_facet M. W. Straatsma
J. M. Fliervoet
J. A. H. Kabout
F. Baart
M. G. Kleinhans
author_sort M. W. Straatsma
collection DOAJ
description <p>Adapting densely populated deltas to the combined impacts of climate change and socioeconomic developments presents a major challenge for their sustainable development in the 21st century. Decisions for the adaptations require an overview of cost and benefits and the number of stakeholders involved, which can be used in stakeholder discussions. Therefore, we quantified the trade-offs of common measures to compensate for an increase in discharge and sea level rise on the basis of relevant, but inexhaustive, quantitative variables. We modeled the largest delta distributary of the Rhine River with adaptation scenarios driven by (1) the choice of seven measures, (2) the areas owned by the two largest stakeholders (LS) versus all stakeholders (AS) based on a priori stakeholder preferences, and (3) the ecological or hydraulic design principle. We evaluated measures by their efficiency in flood hazard reduction, potential biodiversity, number of stakeholders as a proxy for governance complexity, and measure implementation cost. We found that only floodplain lowering over the whole study area can offset the altered hydrodynamic boundary conditions; for all other measures, additional dike raising is required. LS areas comprise low hanging fruits for water level lowering due to the governance simplicity and hydraulic efficiency. Natural management of meadows (AS), after roughness smoothing and floodplain lowering, represents the optimum combination between potential biodiversity and flood hazard lowering, as it combines a high potential biodiversity with a relatively low hydrodynamic roughness. With this concept, we step up to a multidisciplinary, quantitative multi-parametric, and multi-objective optimization and support the negotiations among stakeholders in the decision-making process.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-0139e6b0c9d9463fa3c8c9683ff197c82022-12-21T19:26:58ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812019-06-01191167118710.5194/nhess-19-1167-2019Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measuresM. W. Straatsma0J. M. Fliervoet1J. A. H. Kabout2F. Baart3M. G. Kleinhans4Faculty of Geosciences, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80115, 3508 TC, Utrecht, the NetherlandsFaculty of Science, Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, Radboud University, P.O. Box 9010, 6500 GL, Nijmegen, the NetherlandsArcadis Nederland B.V., Department Rivers, Coast and Sea, P.O. Box 220, 3800 AE, Amersfoort, the NetherlandsDeltares, Department Marine and Coastal Systems, P.O. Box 177, 2600 MH, Delft, the NetherlandsFaculty of Geosciences, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, P.O. Box 80115, 3508 TC, Utrecht, the Netherlands<p>Adapting densely populated deltas to the combined impacts of climate change and socioeconomic developments presents a major challenge for their sustainable development in the 21st century. Decisions for the adaptations require an overview of cost and benefits and the number of stakeholders involved, which can be used in stakeholder discussions. Therefore, we quantified the trade-offs of common measures to compensate for an increase in discharge and sea level rise on the basis of relevant, but inexhaustive, quantitative variables. We modeled the largest delta distributary of the Rhine River with adaptation scenarios driven by (1) the choice of seven measures, (2) the areas owned by the two largest stakeholders (LS) versus all stakeholders (AS) based on a priori stakeholder preferences, and (3) the ecological or hydraulic design principle. We evaluated measures by their efficiency in flood hazard reduction, potential biodiversity, number of stakeholders as a proxy for governance complexity, and measure implementation cost. We found that only floodplain lowering over the whole study area can offset the altered hydrodynamic boundary conditions; for all other measures, additional dike raising is required. LS areas comprise low hanging fruits for water level lowering due to the governance simplicity and hydraulic efficiency. Natural management of meadows (AS), after roughness smoothing and floodplain lowering, represents the optimum combination between potential biodiversity and flood hazard lowering, as it combines a high potential biodiversity with a relatively low hydrodynamic roughness. With this concept, we step up to a multidisciplinary, quantitative multi-parametric, and multi-objective optimization and support the negotiations among stakeholders in the decision-making process.</p>https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/19/1167/2019/nhess-19-1167-2019.pdf
spellingShingle M. W. Straatsma
J. M. Fliervoet
J. A. H. Kabout
F. Baart
M. G. Kleinhans
Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measures
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
title Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measures
title_full Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measures
title_fullStr Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measures
title_full_unstemmed Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measures
title_short Towards multi-objective optimization of large-scale fluvial landscaping measures
title_sort towards multi objective optimization of large scale fluvial landscaping measures
url https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/19/1167/2019/nhess-19-1167-2019.pdf
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