Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix Theory

Seismo-ionospheric coupling is a field of great interest and is currently subject to rigorous study; using both ground and satellite data and many phenomenological features, the ionospheric precursors of earthquakes were identified. In this work, we present methods to study the stochastic properties...

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Main Authors: Leontýna Břizová, Jan Kříž, Filip Studnička, Jan Šlégr
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-07-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/10/7/413
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author Leontýna Břizová
Jan Kříž
Filip Studnička
Jan Šlégr
author_facet Leontýna Břizová
Jan Kříž
Filip Studnička
Jan Šlégr
author_sort Leontýna Břizová
collection DOAJ
description Seismo-ionospheric coupling is a field of great interest and is currently subject to rigorous study; using both ground and satellite data and many phenomenological features, the ionospheric precursors of earthquakes were identified. In this work, we present methods to study the stochastic properties of the lower ionosphere, derived from the data obtained with very low frequency (VLF) receivers at frequencies in the range of 19.6 to 37.5 kHz. Two main approaches are described: auto-correlation and random matrix theory treatments of amplitude time series data. It is shown that before shallow earthquakes with magnitudes greater than four, there are measurable changes that can be used in earthquake prediction. Although the exact form of the causal chain that leads to these changes are currently subject to diligent study, we believe that the investigations described herein are worth adding to the repertoire of ionospheric precursors.
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spelling doaj.art-014f7e6776ca4113ac8628ba8ad829a12022-12-21T20:02:51ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332019-07-0110741310.3390/atmos10070413atmos10070413Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix TheoryLeontýna Břizová0Jan Kříž1Filip Studnička2Jan Šlégr3Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Hradec Králové, Rokitanského 62, 500 03 Hradec Králové, Czech RepublicDepartment of Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Hradec Králové, Rokitanského 62, 500 03 Hradec Králové, Czech RepublicDepartment of Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Hradec Králové, Rokitanského 62, 500 03 Hradec Králové, Czech RepublicDepartment of Physics, Faculty of Science, University of Hradec Králové, Rokitanského 62, 500 03 Hradec Králové, Czech RepublicSeismo-ionospheric coupling is a field of great interest and is currently subject to rigorous study; using both ground and satellite data and many phenomenological features, the ionospheric precursors of earthquakes were identified. In this work, we present methods to study the stochastic properties of the lower ionosphere, derived from the data obtained with very low frequency (VLF) receivers at frequencies in the range of 19.6 to 37.5 kHz. Two main approaches are described: auto-correlation and random matrix theory treatments of amplitude time series data. It is shown that before shallow earthquakes with magnitudes greater than four, there are measurable changes that can be used in earthquake prediction. Although the exact form of the causal chain that leads to these changes are currently subject to diligent study, we believe that the investigations described herein are worth adding to the repertoire of ionospheric precursors.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/10/7/413ionospheric precursorsstochastic propertieslower ionosphere
spellingShingle Leontýna Břizová
Jan Kříž
Filip Studnička
Jan Šlégr
Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix Theory
Atmosphere
ionospheric precursors
stochastic properties
lower ionosphere
title Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix Theory
title_full Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix Theory
title_fullStr Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix Theory
title_full_unstemmed Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix Theory
title_short Methods for the Evaluation of the Stochastic Properties of the Ionosphere for Earthquake Prediction—Random Matrix Theory
title_sort methods for the evaluation of the stochastic properties of the ionosphere for earthquake prediction random matrix theory
topic ionospheric precursors
stochastic properties
lower ionosphere
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/10/7/413
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AT jankriz methodsfortheevaluationofthestochasticpropertiesoftheionosphereforearthquakepredictionrandommatrixtheory
AT filipstudnicka methodsfortheevaluationofthestochasticpropertiesoftheionosphereforearthquakepredictionrandommatrixtheory
AT janslegr methodsfortheevaluationofthestochasticpropertiesoftheionosphereforearthquakepredictionrandommatrixtheory