Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea
Hurricanes are complex systems that carry large amounts of energy. Their impact often produces natural disasters involving the loss of human lives and materials, such as infrastructure, valued at billions of US dollars. However, not everything about hurricanes is negative, as hurricanes are the m...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2018-04-01
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| Series: | Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics |
| Online Access: | https://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/25/291/2018/npg-25-291-2018.pdf |
| _version_ | 1811241558580658176 |
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| author | B. Rojo-Garibaldi D. A. Salas-de-León M. A. Monreal-Gómez N. L. Sánchez-Santillán D. Salas-Monreal |
| author_facet | B. Rojo-Garibaldi D. A. Salas-de-León M. A. Monreal-Gómez N. L. Sánchez-Santillán D. Salas-Monreal |
| author_sort | B. Rojo-Garibaldi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Hurricanes are complex systems that carry large amounts of energy. Their
impact often produces natural disasters involving the loss of human lives and
materials, such as infrastructure, valued at billions of US dollars. However,
not everything about hurricanes is negative, as hurricanes are the main
source of rainwater for the regions where they develop. This study shows a
nonlinear analysis of the time series of the occurrence of hurricanes in the
Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea obtained from 1749 to 2012. The
construction of the hurricane time series was carried out based on the
hurricane database of the North Atlantic basin hurricane database (HURDAT)
and the published historical information. The hurricane time series provides
a unique historical record on information about ocean–atmosphere
interactions. The Lyapunov exponent indicated that the system presented
chaotic dynamics, and the spectral analysis and nonlinear analyses of the
time series of the hurricanes showed chaotic edge behavior. One possible
explanation for this chaotic edge is the individual chaotic behavior of
hurricanes, either by category or individually regardless of their category
and their behavior on a regular basis. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:37:57Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-01a527f6409446658abca96ab0eb60e9 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1023-5809 1607-7946 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T13:37:57Z |
| publishDate | 2018-04-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics |
| spelling | doaj.art-01a527f6409446658abca96ab0eb60e92022-12-22T03:30:56ZengCopernicus PublicationsNonlinear Processes in Geophysics1023-58091607-79462018-04-012529130010.5194/npg-25-291-2018Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean SeaB. Rojo-Garibaldi0D. A. Salas-de-León1M. A. Monreal-Gómez2N. L. Sánchez-Santillán3D. Salas-Monreal4Posgrado en Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Av. Universidad 3000, Col. Copilco, Del. Coyoacan, Cd. Mx. 04510, MexicoInstituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Av. Universidad 3000, Col. Copilco, Del. Coyoacan, Cd. Mx. 04510, MexicoInstituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico, Av. Universidad 3000, Col. Copilco, Del. Coyoacan, Cd. Mx. 04510, MexicoDepartamento El Hombre y su Ambiente, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, Calz. del Hueso 1100, Del. Coyoacán, Villa Quietud, Cd. Mx. 04960, MexicoInstituto de Ciencias Marinas y Pesquerías, Universidad Veracruzana, Hidalgo No. 617, Col. Río Jamapa, C.P. 94290 Boca del Rio, Veracruz, MexicoHurricanes are complex systems that carry large amounts of energy. Their impact often produces natural disasters involving the loss of human lives and materials, such as infrastructure, valued at billions of US dollars. However, not everything about hurricanes is negative, as hurricanes are the main source of rainwater for the regions where they develop. This study shows a nonlinear analysis of the time series of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea obtained from 1749 to 2012. The construction of the hurricane time series was carried out based on the hurricane database of the North Atlantic basin hurricane database (HURDAT) and the published historical information. The hurricane time series provides a unique historical record on information about ocean–atmosphere interactions. The Lyapunov exponent indicated that the system presented chaotic dynamics, and the spectral analysis and nonlinear analyses of the time series of the hurricanes showed chaotic edge behavior. One possible explanation for this chaotic edge is the individual chaotic behavior of hurricanes, either by category or individually regardless of their category and their behavior on a regular basis.https://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/25/291/2018/npg-25-291-2018.pdf |
| spellingShingle | B. Rojo-Garibaldi D. A. Salas-de-León M. A. Monreal-Gómez N. L. Sánchez-Santillán D. Salas-Monreal Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics |
| title | Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea |
| title_full | Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea |
| title_fullStr | Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea |
| title_full_unstemmed | Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea |
| title_short | Nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea |
| title_sort | nonlinear analysis of the occurrence of hurricanes in the gulf of mexico and the caribbean sea |
| url | https://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/25/291/2018/npg-25-291-2018.pdf |
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