MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study
Abstract Background More than 40% of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), who have favorable prognosis and may benefit from an organ-preservation strategy. Our study aims to develop an...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Language: | English |
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BMC
2024-01-01
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Series: | Cancer Imaging |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-024-00659-x |
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author | Yunsong Liu Yi Wang Xin Wang Liyan Xue Huan Zhang Zeliang Ma Heping Deng Zhaoyang Yang Xujie Sun Yu Men Feng Ye Kuo Men Jianjun Qin Nan Bi Qifeng Wang Zhouguang Hui |
author_facet | Yunsong Liu Yi Wang Xin Wang Liyan Xue Huan Zhang Zeliang Ma Heping Deng Zhaoyang Yang Xujie Sun Yu Men Feng Ye Kuo Men Jianjun Qin Nan Bi Qifeng Wang Zhouguang Hui |
author_sort | Yunsong Liu |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Abstract Background More than 40% of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), who have favorable prognosis and may benefit from an organ-preservation strategy. Our study aims to develop and validate a machine learning model based on MR radiomics to accurately predict the pCR of ESCC patients after nCRT. Methods In this retrospective multicenter study, eligible patients with ESCC who underwent baseline MR (T2-weighted imaging) and nCRT plus surgery were enrolled between September 2014 and September 2022 at institution 1 (training set) and between December 2017 and August 2021 at institution 2 (testing set). Models were constructed using machine learning algorithms based on clinical factors and MR radiomics to predict pCR after nCRT. The area under the curve (AUC) and cutoff analysis were used to evaluate model performance. Results A total of 155 patients were enrolled in this study, 82 in the training set and 73 in the testing set. The radiomics model was constructed based on two radiomics features, achieving AUCs of 0.968 (95%CI 0.933–0.992) in the training set and 0.885 (95%CI 0.800-0.958) in the testing set. The cutoff analysis resulted in an accuracy of 82.2% (95%CI 72.6-90.4%), a sensitivity of 75.0% (95%CI 58.3-91.7%), and a specificity of 85.7% (95%CI 75.5-96.0%) in the testing set. Conclusion A machine learning model based on MR radiomics was developed and validated to accurately predict pCR after nCRT in patients with ESCC. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-07T15:26:23Z |
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institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1470-7330 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-07T15:26:23Z |
publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
publisher | BMC |
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series | Cancer Imaging |
spelling | doaj.art-01fa257243134a42a87c7feb8f659c5b2024-03-05T16:41:05ZengBMCCancer Imaging1470-73302024-01-0124111010.1186/s40644-024-00659-xMR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter studyYunsong Liu0Yi Wang1Xin Wang2Liyan Xue3Huan Zhang4Zeliang Ma5Heping Deng6Zhaoyang Yang7Xujie Sun8Yu Men9Feng Ye10Kuo Men11Jianjun Qin12Nan Bi13Qifeng Wang14Zhouguang Hui15Department of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Pathology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of Pathology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Pathology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of VIP Medical Services & Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of VIP Medical Services & Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeAbstract Background More than 40% of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), who have favorable prognosis and may benefit from an organ-preservation strategy. Our study aims to develop and validate a machine learning model based on MR radiomics to accurately predict the pCR of ESCC patients after nCRT. Methods In this retrospective multicenter study, eligible patients with ESCC who underwent baseline MR (T2-weighted imaging) and nCRT plus surgery were enrolled between September 2014 and September 2022 at institution 1 (training set) and between December 2017 and August 2021 at institution 2 (testing set). Models were constructed using machine learning algorithms based on clinical factors and MR radiomics to predict pCR after nCRT. The area under the curve (AUC) and cutoff analysis were used to evaluate model performance. Results A total of 155 patients were enrolled in this study, 82 in the training set and 73 in the testing set. The radiomics model was constructed based on two radiomics features, achieving AUCs of 0.968 (95%CI 0.933–0.992) in the training set and 0.885 (95%CI 0.800-0.958) in the testing set. The cutoff analysis resulted in an accuracy of 82.2% (95%CI 72.6-90.4%), a sensitivity of 75.0% (95%CI 58.3-91.7%), and a specificity of 85.7% (95%CI 75.5-96.0%) in the testing set. Conclusion A machine learning model based on MR radiomics was developed and validated to accurately predict pCR after nCRT in patients with ESCC.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-024-00659-xEsophageal neoplasmsMagnetic resonanceTreatment outcomeNeoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy |
spellingShingle | Yunsong Liu Yi Wang Xin Wang Liyan Xue Huan Zhang Zeliang Ma Heping Deng Zhaoyang Yang Xujie Sun Yu Men Feng Ye Kuo Men Jianjun Qin Nan Bi Qifeng Wang Zhouguang Hui MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study Cancer Imaging Esophageal neoplasms Magnetic resonance Treatment outcome Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy |
title | MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study |
title_full | MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study |
title_fullStr | MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study |
title_full_unstemmed | MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study |
title_short | MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study |
title_sort | mr radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy a multicenter study |
topic | Esophageal neoplasms Magnetic resonance Treatment outcome Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy |
url | https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-024-00659-x |
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