MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study

Abstract Background More than 40% of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), who have favorable prognosis and may benefit from an organ-preservation strategy. Our study aims to develop an...

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Main Authors: Yunsong Liu, Yi Wang, Xin Wang, Liyan Xue, Huan Zhang, Zeliang Ma, Heping Deng, Zhaoyang Yang, Xujie Sun, Yu Men, Feng Ye, Kuo Men, Jianjun Qin, Nan Bi, Qifeng Wang, Zhouguang Hui
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2024-01-01
Series:Cancer Imaging
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-024-00659-x
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author Yunsong Liu
Yi Wang
Xin Wang
Liyan Xue
Huan Zhang
Zeliang Ma
Heping Deng
Zhaoyang Yang
Xujie Sun
Yu Men
Feng Ye
Kuo Men
Jianjun Qin
Nan Bi
Qifeng Wang
Zhouguang Hui
author_facet Yunsong Liu
Yi Wang
Xin Wang
Liyan Xue
Huan Zhang
Zeliang Ma
Heping Deng
Zhaoyang Yang
Xujie Sun
Yu Men
Feng Ye
Kuo Men
Jianjun Qin
Nan Bi
Qifeng Wang
Zhouguang Hui
author_sort Yunsong Liu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background More than 40% of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), who have favorable prognosis and may benefit from an organ-preservation strategy. Our study aims to develop and validate a machine learning model based on MR radiomics to accurately predict the pCR of ESCC patients after nCRT. Methods In this retrospective multicenter study, eligible patients with ESCC who underwent baseline MR (T2-weighted imaging) and nCRT plus surgery were enrolled between September 2014 and September 2022 at institution 1 (training set) and between December 2017 and August 2021 at institution 2 (testing set). Models were constructed using machine learning algorithms based on clinical factors and MR radiomics to predict pCR after nCRT. The area under the curve (AUC) and cutoff analysis were used to evaluate model performance. Results A total of 155 patients were enrolled in this study, 82 in the training set and 73 in the testing set. The radiomics model was constructed based on two radiomics features, achieving AUCs of 0.968 (95%CI 0.933–0.992) in the training set and 0.885 (95%CI 0.800-0.958) in the testing set. The cutoff analysis resulted in an accuracy of 82.2% (95%CI 72.6-90.4%), a sensitivity of 75.0% (95%CI 58.3-91.7%), and a specificity of 85.7% (95%CI 75.5-96.0%) in the testing set. Conclusion A machine learning model based on MR radiomics was developed and validated to accurately predict pCR after nCRT in patients with ESCC.
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spelling doaj.art-01fa257243134a42a87c7feb8f659c5b2024-03-05T16:41:05ZengBMCCancer Imaging1470-73302024-01-0124111010.1186/s40644-024-00659-xMR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter studyYunsong Liu0Yi Wang1Xin Wang2Liyan Xue3Huan Zhang4Zeliang Ma5Heping Deng6Zhaoyang Yang7Xujie Sun8Yu Men9Feng Ye10Kuo Men11Jianjun Qin12Nan Bi13Qifeng Wang14Zhouguang Hui15Department of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Pathology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of Pathology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Pathology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of VIP Medical Services & Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Radiation Oncology Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Sichuan Cancer Hospital & Institute, Sichuan Cancer Center, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaDepartment of VIP Medical Services & Radiation Oncology, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, National Cancer Center, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeAbstract Background More than 40% of patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), who have favorable prognosis and may benefit from an organ-preservation strategy. Our study aims to develop and validate a machine learning model based on MR radiomics to accurately predict the pCR of ESCC patients after nCRT. Methods In this retrospective multicenter study, eligible patients with ESCC who underwent baseline MR (T2-weighted imaging) and nCRT plus surgery were enrolled between September 2014 and September 2022 at institution 1 (training set) and between December 2017 and August 2021 at institution 2 (testing set). Models were constructed using machine learning algorithms based on clinical factors and MR radiomics to predict pCR after nCRT. The area under the curve (AUC) and cutoff analysis were used to evaluate model performance. Results A total of 155 patients were enrolled in this study, 82 in the training set and 73 in the testing set. The radiomics model was constructed based on two radiomics features, achieving AUCs of 0.968 (95%CI 0.933–0.992) in the training set and 0.885 (95%CI 0.800-0.958) in the testing set. The cutoff analysis resulted in an accuracy of 82.2% (95%CI 72.6-90.4%), a sensitivity of 75.0% (95%CI 58.3-91.7%), and a specificity of 85.7% (95%CI 75.5-96.0%) in the testing set. Conclusion A machine learning model based on MR radiomics was developed and validated to accurately predict pCR after nCRT in patients with ESCC.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-024-00659-xEsophageal neoplasmsMagnetic resonanceTreatment outcomeNeoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
spellingShingle Yunsong Liu
Yi Wang
Xin Wang
Liyan Xue
Huan Zhang
Zeliang Ma
Heping Deng
Zhaoyang Yang
Xujie Sun
Yu Men
Feng Ye
Kuo Men
Jianjun Qin
Nan Bi
Qifeng Wang
Zhouguang Hui
MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study
Cancer Imaging
Esophageal neoplasms
Magnetic resonance
Treatment outcome
Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
title MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study
title_full MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study
title_fullStr MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study
title_full_unstemmed MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study
title_short MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study
title_sort mr radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy a multicenter study
topic Esophageal neoplasms
Magnetic resonance
Treatment outcome
Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-024-00659-x
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