Predicting Rapid Intensification Events Following Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Western North Pacific Based on ECMWF Ensemble Warm Core Evolutions

Predicting Rapid Intensification Events Following Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Western North Pacific Based on ECMWF Ensemble Warm Core Evolutions

When the environmental conditions over the western North Pacific are favorable for tropical cyclone formation, a rapid intensification event will frequently follow formation. In this extension of our combined three-stage 7-day Weighted Analog Intensity Pacific prediction technique, the European Cent...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Russell L. Elsberry, Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Wei-Chia Chin, Timothy P. Marchok
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-06-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
tropical cyclone intensity forecasts
rapid intensification
ensemble model predictions
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/7/847

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