Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, China

This study attempts to investigate the effects of global climate change (via temperature and rainfall) on cereal production in Sichuan over the 1978–2018 period, whether agricultural credit combining with technical progress (i.e., mechanical farming rate) mitigate the effect of climate change. The p...

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Main Authors: Wensong He, Wei Chen, Abbas Ali Chandio, Bangzheng Zhang, Yuansheng Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-02-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/336
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author Wensong He
Wei Chen
Abbas Ali Chandio
Bangzheng Zhang
Yuansheng Jiang
author_facet Wensong He
Wei Chen
Abbas Ali Chandio
Bangzheng Zhang
Yuansheng Jiang
author_sort Wensong He
collection DOAJ
description This study attempts to investigate the effects of global climate change (via temperature and rainfall) on cereal production in Sichuan over the 1978–2018 period, whether agricultural credit combining with technical progress (i.e., mechanical farming rate) mitigate the effect of climate change. The present study empirically analyzed the short-term and long-term interrelation among all the considered variables by using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The results of the ARDL bounds testing revealed that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the variables. The findings showed that temperature significantly negatively affected cereal production, while rainfall significantly contributed to cereal production in the context of Sichuan province, China. Agricultural credit, especially in the long run, significantly improved cereal production, implying that agricultural credit is used to invest in climate mitigation technologies in cereal production. Findings further indicated that the mechanical farming rate significantly enhanced cereal production, indicating that technical progress has been playing a vital role. This study suggests that the policymakers should formulate more comprehensive agricultural policies to meet the financial needs of the agricultural sector and increase support for production technology.
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spelling doaj.art-02560752356d419cab3d9bb1aa2b043e2023-11-23T18:46:02ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332022-02-0113233610.3390/atmos13020336Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, ChinaWensong He0Wei Chen1Abbas Ali Chandio2Bangzheng Zhang3Yuansheng Jiang4College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, ChinaCollege of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, ChinaCollege of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, ChinaCollege of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, ChinaCollege of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, ChinaThis study attempts to investigate the effects of global climate change (via temperature and rainfall) on cereal production in Sichuan over the 1978–2018 period, whether agricultural credit combining with technical progress (i.e., mechanical farming rate) mitigate the effect of climate change. The present study empirically analyzed the short-term and long-term interrelation among all the considered variables by using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The results of the ARDL bounds testing revealed that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the variables. The findings showed that temperature significantly negatively affected cereal production, while rainfall significantly contributed to cereal production in the context of Sichuan province, China. Agricultural credit, especially in the long run, significantly improved cereal production, implying that agricultural credit is used to invest in climate mitigation technologies in cereal production. Findings further indicated that the mechanical farming rate significantly enhanced cereal production, indicating that technical progress has been playing a vital role. This study suggests that the policymakers should formulate more comprehensive agricultural policies to meet the financial needs of the agricultural sector and increase support for production technology.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/336climate changeagricultural credittechnical progresscereal productionARDL modelSichuan province
spellingShingle Wensong He
Wei Chen
Abbas Ali Chandio
Bangzheng Zhang
Yuansheng Jiang
Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
Atmosphere
climate change
agricultural credit
technical progress
cereal production
ARDL model
Sichuan province
title Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
title_full Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
title_fullStr Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
title_full_unstemmed Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
title_short Does Agricultural Credit Mitigate the Effect of Climate Change on Cereal Production? Evidence from Sichuan Province, China
title_sort does agricultural credit mitigate the effect of climate change on cereal production evidence from sichuan province china
topic climate change
agricultural credit
technical progress
cereal production
ARDL model
Sichuan province
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/2/336
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