Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams

Current formulas for calculating scour depth below of a free over fall are mostly deterministic in nature and do not adequately consider the uncertainties of various scouring parameters. A reliability-based assessment of scour, taking into account uncertainties of parameters and coefficients involve...

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Main Authors: Chuanqi Li, Wei Wang, Shuai Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2012-12-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/14/12/2578
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author Chuanqi Li
Wei Wang
Shuai Wang
author_facet Chuanqi Li
Wei Wang
Shuai Wang
author_sort Chuanqi Li
collection DOAJ
description Current formulas for calculating scour depth below of a free over fall are mostly deterministic in nature and do not adequately consider the uncertainties of various scouring parameters. A reliability-based assessment of scour, taking into account uncertainties of parameters and coefficients involved, should be performed. This paper studies the reliability of a dam foundation under the threat of scour. A model for calculating the reliability of scour and estimating the probability of failure of the dam foundation subjected to scour is presented. The Maximum Entropy Method is applied to construct the probability density function (PDF) of the performance function subject to the moment constraints. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is applied for uncertainty analysis. An example is considered, and there liability of its scour is computed, the influence of various random variables on the probability failure is analyzed.
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spelling doaj.art-02578d7410e04aae94735911a648b0aa2022-12-22T03:19:12ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002012-12-0114122578258810.3390/e14122578Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below DamsChuanqi LiWei WangShuai WangCurrent formulas for calculating scour depth below of a free over fall are mostly deterministic in nature and do not adequately consider the uncertainties of various scouring parameters. A reliability-based assessment of scour, taking into account uncertainties of parameters and coefficients involved, should be performed. This paper studies the reliability of a dam foundation under the threat of scour. A model for calculating the reliability of scour and estimating the probability of failure of the dam foundation subjected to scour is presented. The Maximum Entropy Method is applied to construct the probability density function (PDF) of the performance function subject to the moment constraints. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is applied for uncertainty analysis. An example is considered, and there liability of its scour is computed, the influence of various random variables on the probability failure is analyzed.http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/14/12/2578free over fall jetscourreliability analysismaximum entropy methodMonte Carlo simulation
spellingShingle Chuanqi Li
Wei Wang
Shuai Wang
Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams
Entropy
free over fall jet
scour
reliability analysis
maximum entropy method
Monte Carlo simulation
title Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams
title_full Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams
title_fullStr Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams
title_full_unstemmed Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams
title_short Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams
title_sort reliability analysis of free jet scour below dams
topic free over fall jet
scour
reliability analysis
maximum entropy method
Monte Carlo simulation
url http://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/14/12/2578
work_keys_str_mv AT chuanqili reliabilityanalysisoffreejetscourbelowdams
AT weiwang reliabilityanalysisoffreejetscourbelowdams
AT shuaiwang reliabilityanalysisoffreejetscourbelowdams