Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis

Study Region: Poyang Lake, the largest freshwater lake in China, has been experiencing persistent shrinkage in recent years. Study Focus: The Poyang Lake Hydraulic Project (PLHP) was proposed to improve water resource and environment carrying capacity, its hydrological effects remain under investiga...

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Main Authors: Zixuan Wang, Yang Xiao, Taotao Zhang, Chen Xu, Ran Gu, Jiaming Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300280X
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author Zixuan Wang
Yang Xiao
Taotao Zhang
Chen Xu
Ran Gu
Jiaming Liu
author_facet Zixuan Wang
Yang Xiao
Taotao Zhang
Chen Xu
Ran Gu
Jiaming Liu
author_sort Zixuan Wang
collection DOAJ
description Study Region: Poyang Lake, the largest freshwater lake in China, has been experiencing persistent shrinkage in recent years. Study Focus: The Poyang Lake Hydraulic Project (PLHP) was proposed to improve water resource and environment carrying capacity, its hydrological effects remain under investigation. This study combined a hydrodynamic model with geostatistical connectivity analysis, to quantify the influence of the PLHP on surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: The PLHP enlarges inundated areas most in the recession period (September-November), accounting for 85% of the total increase throughout the operating period (September-March), and enhances the interconnection probability within these inundated regions. Statistical analysis reveals that the Connectivity Function (CF) in low connectivity conditions (CF <0.4) can be significantly increased by 0.1–0.9, primarily in areas with lower topographies. While for the saucer-shaped sub-lakes, the PLHP can rarely extend the connecting processes between the main lake and sub-lakes in low-water-level conditions below 13 m, which is the lowest threshold height of most sub-lakes. Moreover, most isolated sub-lakes have merged into the main lake when the water level is higher than 14 m, thus the PLHP is no longer effective in this condition. Therefore, the enhancement effect of the PLHP on the connectivity of sub-lakes is restricted in both high- and low-water-level years, and is most pronounced in the medium-water-level year.
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spelling doaj.art-028a3fb80fe743ce975f7bef572c87b92023-12-15T07:24:22ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182023-12-0150101593Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysisZixuan Wang0Yang Xiao1Taotao Zhang2Chen Xu3Ran Gu4Jiaming Liu5National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaNational Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; Key Laboratory of Hydrologic-Cycle and Hydrodynamic-System of Ministry of Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Suzhou University of Science and Technology, Suzhou, China; Yangtze Institute for Conservation and Development, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; Corresponding author at: National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing, China.School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Suzhou University of Science and Technology, Suzhou, ChinaSchool of Geography Science and Geomatics Engineering, Suzhou University of Science and Technology, Suzhou, ChinaNational Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaNational Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Hohai University, Nanjing, China; College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, ChinaStudy Region: Poyang Lake, the largest freshwater lake in China, has been experiencing persistent shrinkage in recent years. Study Focus: The Poyang Lake Hydraulic Project (PLHP) was proposed to improve water resource and environment carrying capacity, its hydrological effects remain under investigation. This study combined a hydrodynamic model with geostatistical connectivity analysis, to quantify the influence of the PLHP on surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake. New Hydrological Insights for the Region: The PLHP enlarges inundated areas most in the recession period (September-November), accounting for 85% of the total increase throughout the operating period (September-March), and enhances the interconnection probability within these inundated regions. Statistical analysis reveals that the Connectivity Function (CF) in low connectivity conditions (CF <0.4) can be significantly increased by 0.1–0.9, primarily in areas with lower topographies. While for the saucer-shaped sub-lakes, the PLHP can rarely extend the connecting processes between the main lake and sub-lakes in low-water-level conditions below 13 m, which is the lowest threshold height of most sub-lakes. Moreover, most isolated sub-lakes have merged into the main lake when the water level is higher than 14 m, thus the PLHP is no longer effective in this condition. Therefore, the enhancement effect of the PLHP on the connectivity of sub-lakes is restricted in both high- and low-water-level years, and is most pronounced in the medium-water-level year.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300280XPoyang Lake floodplainPoyang Lake Hydraulic ProjectSurface water connectivityHydrodynamic modelGeostatistical connectivity analysis
spellingShingle Zixuan Wang
Yang Xiao
Taotao Zhang
Chen Xu
Ran Gu
Jiaming Liu
Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Poyang Lake floodplain
Poyang Lake Hydraulic Project
Surface water connectivity
Hydrodynamic model
Geostatistical connectivity analysis
title Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis
title_full Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis
title_fullStr Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis
title_full_unstemmed Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis
title_short Effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in Poyang Lake floodplain system, China: Numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis
title_sort effects of a proposed hydraulic project on the surface water connectivity in poyang lake floodplain system china numerical simulation and geostatistical analysis
topic Poyang Lake floodplain
Poyang Lake Hydraulic Project
Surface water connectivity
Hydrodynamic model
Geostatistical connectivity analysis
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221458182300280X
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