Index option returns and systemic equity risk

In an environment characterized by stochastic variances and correlations, we demonstrate through construction of the equilibrium index option value from constituent components, that the generalized PDE identifies the stochastic elements differentially affecting index option prices relative to prices...

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Main Authors: Weiping Li, Tim Krehbiel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2018-12-01
Series:Journal of Finance and Data Science
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405918818300357
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author Weiping Li
Tim Krehbiel
author_facet Weiping Li
Tim Krehbiel
author_sort Weiping Li
collection DOAJ
description In an environment characterized by stochastic variances and correlations, we demonstrate through construction of the equilibrium index option value from constituent components, that the generalized PDE identifies the stochastic elements differentially affecting index option prices relative to prices of aggregated constituent stock options. A unified treatment of the generalized partial differential system for index and constituent stock options in Theorem 1 illustrates that nonlinear interactive terms emanating from stochastic correlation affect index option price and return essentially different from contributions to the aggregated risks of the constituent stock options. Our study contributes to the growing evidence of priced correlation risk in markets for index and constituent stock options.Theorem 1 illustrates the pricing differential, while Proposition 1 illustrates that the pricing differential produces a quantifiable metric of the measure of the nonlinear interactive terms. The quantifiable metric is constructed from the difference between the model free implied variance of the index and a weighted aggregate of the model free implied variances of the constituent stocks. Proposition 2 identifies that index variance risk premium includes additional significant contributions from the nonlinear interactive risks not present in the aggregated returns of the constituent stocks. The nonlinear interactive risks produce a wedge between the instantaneous expected excess index and aggregated stock option returns. Keywords: Stochastic correlation, Stock index option, Expected excess option return, Risk premium, System of PDE, Systematic equity risk, JEL classification: G13
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spelling doaj.art-02aa83b528aa490d9e26fd0133002ba62024-04-17T03:07:44ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Journal of Finance and Data Science2405-91882018-12-0144273298Index option returns and systemic equity riskWeiping Li0Tim Krehbiel1Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, Sichuan Providence, 610031, PR China; Oklahoma State University, College of Arts and Sciences, Stillwater, OK 74078, USADepartment of Finance, Oklahoma State University, Spears School of Business, Stillwater, OK 74078, USA; Corresponding author. Fax: +405 744 5180.In an environment characterized by stochastic variances and correlations, we demonstrate through construction of the equilibrium index option value from constituent components, that the generalized PDE identifies the stochastic elements differentially affecting index option prices relative to prices of aggregated constituent stock options. A unified treatment of the generalized partial differential system for index and constituent stock options in Theorem 1 illustrates that nonlinear interactive terms emanating from stochastic correlation affect index option price and return essentially different from contributions to the aggregated risks of the constituent stock options. Our study contributes to the growing evidence of priced correlation risk in markets for index and constituent stock options.Theorem 1 illustrates the pricing differential, while Proposition 1 illustrates that the pricing differential produces a quantifiable metric of the measure of the nonlinear interactive terms. The quantifiable metric is constructed from the difference between the model free implied variance of the index and a weighted aggregate of the model free implied variances of the constituent stocks. Proposition 2 identifies that index variance risk premium includes additional significant contributions from the nonlinear interactive risks not present in the aggregated returns of the constituent stocks. The nonlinear interactive risks produce a wedge between the instantaneous expected excess index and aggregated stock option returns. Keywords: Stochastic correlation, Stock index option, Expected excess option return, Risk premium, System of PDE, Systematic equity risk, JEL classification: G13http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405918818300357
spellingShingle Weiping Li
Tim Krehbiel
Index option returns and systemic equity risk
Journal of Finance and Data Science
title Index option returns and systemic equity risk
title_full Index option returns and systemic equity risk
title_fullStr Index option returns and systemic equity risk
title_full_unstemmed Index option returns and systemic equity risk
title_short Index option returns and systemic equity risk
title_sort index option returns and systemic equity risk
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405918818300357
work_keys_str_mv AT weipingli indexoptionreturnsandsystemicequityrisk
AT timkrehbiel indexoptionreturnsandsystemicequityrisk