A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of Consumers

Negawatt trading is expected to improve energy efficiency via the prediction of peak demands and power-saving requests. However, the amount of power saved by consumers is not stable. The accurate prediction of demands and making appropriate requests with respect to power saving are difficult obstacl...

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Main Authors: Koichi Takai, Yuto Tamura, Norihiko Shinomiya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/3/1072
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author Koichi Takai
Yuto Tamura
Norihiko Shinomiya
author_facet Koichi Takai
Yuto Tamura
Norihiko Shinomiya
author_sort Koichi Takai
collection DOAJ
description Negawatt trading is expected to improve energy efficiency via the prediction of peak demands and power-saving requests. However, the amount of power saved by consumers is not stable. The accurate prediction of demands and making appropriate requests with respect to power saving are difficult obstacles that need to be overcome in order to attain useful negawatt trading processes. To increase the accuracy of predictions and requests, earlier research suggests some methods or linear problems. On the other hand, the investigation of factors that affect consumption is important for correcting the current instability. In this research study, weather changes including temperature, time passing, and the consciousness of consumers are considered as important factors against electricity demands. In this paper, we propose a behavioral model of consumers using weather data. By using this behavioral model, the effectiveness of the suggested methods in earlier research for improving negawatt trading and the uncertainty of negawatts caused by weather changes is investigated.
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spelling doaj.art-02b96dcd1cd14e1197883444d93379c32023-11-16T16:32:13ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732023-01-01163107210.3390/en16031072A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of ConsumersKoichi Takai0Yuto Tamura1Norihiko Shinomiya2Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Soka University, 1-236 Tangi-machi, Hachioji-shi 192-8577, JapanGraduate School of Science and Engineering, Soka University, 1-236 Tangi-machi, Hachioji-shi 192-8577, JapanGraduate School of Science and Engineering, Soka University, 1-236 Tangi-machi, Hachioji-shi 192-8577, JapanNegawatt trading is expected to improve energy efficiency via the prediction of peak demands and power-saving requests. However, the amount of power saved by consumers is not stable. The accurate prediction of demands and making appropriate requests with respect to power saving are difficult obstacles that need to be overcome in order to attain useful negawatt trading processes. To increase the accuracy of predictions and requests, earlier research suggests some methods or linear problems. On the other hand, the investigation of factors that affect consumption is important for correcting the current instability. In this research study, weather changes including temperature, time passing, and the consciousness of consumers are considered as important factors against electricity demands. In this paper, we propose a behavioral model of consumers using weather data. By using this behavioral model, the effectiveness of the suggested methods in earlier research for improving negawatt trading and the uncertainty of negawatts caused by weather changes is investigated.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/3/1072negawattdemand responseweather changesinstability
spellingShingle Koichi Takai
Yuto Tamura
Norihiko Shinomiya
A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of Consumers
Energies
negawatt
demand response
weather changes
instability
title A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of Consumers
title_full A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of Consumers
title_fullStr A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of Consumers
title_full_unstemmed A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of Consumers
title_short A Method for Reducing the Instability of Negawatts Considering Changes in the Behavior of Consumers
title_sort method for reducing the instability of negawatts considering changes in the behavior of consumers
topic negawatt
demand response
weather changes
instability
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/3/1072
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