Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South Korea
A new government report on climate change shows that global emissions of greenhouse gases have increased to very high levels despite various policies to reduce climate change. Building energy accounts for 40% of the world’s energy consumption and accounts for 33% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissi...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2020-10-01
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| Series: | Energies |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/20/5514 |
| _version_ | 1797550287964078080 |
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| author | Seo-Hoon Kim SungJin Lee Seol-Yee Han Jong-Hun Kim |
| author_facet | Seo-Hoon Kim SungJin Lee Seol-Yee Han Jong-Hun Kim |
| author_sort | Seo-Hoon Kim |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A new government report on climate change shows that global emissions of greenhouse gases have increased to very high levels despite various policies to reduce climate change. Building energy accounts for 40% of the world’s energy consumption and accounts for 33% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions. This study applied the LEAP (Long-range energy alternatives planning) model and Bass diffusion method for predicting the total energy consumption and GHG (Greenhouse Gas) emissions from the residential and commercial building sector of Sejong City in South Korea. Then, using the Bass diffusion model, three scenarios were analyzed (REST: Renewable energy supply target, BES: Building energy saving, BEP: Building energy policy) for GHG reduction. The GHG emissions for Sejong City for 2015–2030 were analyzed, and the past and future GHG emissions of the city were predicted in a Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario. In the REST scenario, the GHG emissions would attain a 24.5% reduction and, in the BES scenario, the GHG emissions would attain 12.81% reduction by 2030. Finally, the BEP scenario shows the potential for a 19.81% GHG reduction. These results could be used to guide the planning and development of the new city. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T15:27:10Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-02ed832c81f9446fa106eb15c9676f39 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1996-1073 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T15:27:10Z |
| publishDate | 2020-10-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Energies |
| spelling | doaj.art-02ed832c81f9446fa106eb15c9676f392023-11-20T17:55:54ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732020-10-011320551410.3390/en13205514Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South KoreaSeo-Hoon Kim0SungJin Lee1Seol-Yee Han2Jong-Hun Kim3Energy ICT Convergence Research Department, Korea Institute of Energy Research, 152, Gajeong-ro Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 34129, KoreaEnergy ICT Convergence Research Department, Korea Institute of Energy Research, 152, Gajeong-ro Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 34129, KoreaEnergy ICT Convergence Research Department, Korea Institute of Energy Research, 152, Gajeong-ro Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 34129, KoreaEnergy ICT Convergence Research Department, Korea Institute of Energy Research, 152, Gajeong-ro Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 34129, KoreaA new government report on climate change shows that global emissions of greenhouse gases have increased to very high levels despite various policies to reduce climate change. Building energy accounts for 40% of the world’s energy consumption and accounts for 33% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions. This study applied the LEAP (Long-range energy alternatives planning) model and Bass diffusion method for predicting the total energy consumption and GHG (Greenhouse Gas) emissions from the residential and commercial building sector of Sejong City in South Korea. Then, using the Bass diffusion model, three scenarios were analyzed (REST: Renewable energy supply target, BES: Building energy saving, BEP: Building energy policy) for GHG reduction. The GHG emissions for Sejong City for 2015–2030 were analyzed, and the past and future GHG emissions of the city were predicted in a Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario. In the REST scenario, the GHG emissions would attain a 24.5% reduction and, in the BES scenario, the GHG emissions would attain 12.81% reduction by 2030. Finally, the BEP scenario shows the potential for a 19.81% GHG reduction. These results could be used to guide the planning and development of the new city.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/20/5514greenhouse gas (GHG)CO<sub>2</sub> emissionlong-range energy alternatives planning system (LEAP)renewable energy supply targetbuilding energy savingbuilding energy policy |
| spellingShingle | Seo-Hoon Kim SungJin Lee Seol-Yee Han Jong-Hun Kim Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South Korea Energies greenhouse gas (GHG) CO<sub>2</sub> emission long-range energy alternatives planning system (LEAP) renewable energy supply target building energy saving building energy policy |
| title | Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South Korea |
| title_full | Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South Korea |
| title_fullStr | Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South Korea |
| title_full_unstemmed | Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South Korea |
| title_short | Scenario Analysis for GHG Emission Reduction Potential of the Building Sector for New City in South Korea |
| title_sort | scenario analysis for ghg emission reduction potential of the building sector for new city in south korea |
| topic | greenhouse gas (GHG) CO<sub>2</sub> emission long-range energy alternatives planning system (LEAP) renewable energy supply target building energy saving building energy policy |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/20/5514 |
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