CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim Data

Reliability prediction has been studied in many industries for managing stocks and reducing quality assurance costs and production costs. Particularly, in the automotive industry, reliability prediction is performed based on two automobile reliability perspectives, time and mileage. To maximize cost...

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Main Authors: Hyun Joon Park, Taehyeong Kim, Young Seok Kim, Jinhong Min, Ki Woo Sung, Sung Won Han
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9863836/
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author Hyun Joon Park
Taehyeong Kim
Young Seok Kim
Jinhong Min
Ki Woo Sung
Sung Won Han
author_facet Hyun Joon Park
Taehyeong Kim
Young Seok Kim
Jinhong Min
Ki Woo Sung
Sung Won Han
author_sort Hyun Joon Park
collection DOAJ
description Reliability prediction has been studied in many industries for managing stocks and reducing quality assurance costs and production costs. Particularly, in the automotive industry, reliability prediction is performed based on two automobile reliability perspectives, time and mileage. To maximize cost savings, researchers attempted reliability prediction with short-term inputs. However, limited information on short-term inputs resulted in unsatisfactory prediction results for the long warranty periods. Additionally, the overall evaluation metrics could not reflect the pattern-wise performance, such as the increasing failure patterns. This study proposes Complementary Reliability perspective Transformer (CRFormer) based on Transformer encoder to achieve enriched representations from a short-term input sequence. CRFormer fuses different automobile reliability perspective information and automobile features to compensate for the limited information on short-term input. The performance of CRFormer is evaluated based on automobile claim data accumulated over 16 years. Results showed that compared to previous methods in terms of overall, pattern-wise, and pattern similarity evaluation metrics, CRFormer achieved outstanding performance in time and mileage reliability prediction. Lastly, visualization results and survival analysis based on accurate model prediction can be used to support decision-making to reduce quality assurance costs and production costs.
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spelling doaj.art-02f8041d8971418cb76c18abc53572d22022-12-22T03:07:42ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-0110884578846810.1109/ACCESS.2022.32004729863836CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim DataHyun Joon Park0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5308-6675Taehyeong Kim1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3499-9444Young Seok Kim2Jinhong Min3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9261-9235Ki Woo Sung4Sung Won Han5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0040-3542School of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul, Seongbuk-gu, Republic of KoreaSchool of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul, Seongbuk-gu, Republic of KoreaSchool of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul, Seongbuk-gu, Republic of KoreaSchool of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul, Seongbuk-gu, Republic of KoreaAutomotive Research and Development Division, Hyundai Motor Group, Advanced Durability Development Team, Namyang, South KoreaSchool of Industrial and Management Engineering, Korea University, Seoul, Seongbuk-gu, Republic of KoreaReliability prediction has been studied in many industries for managing stocks and reducing quality assurance costs and production costs. Particularly, in the automotive industry, reliability prediction is performed based on two automobile reliability perspectives, time and mileage. To maximize cost savings, researchers attempted reliability prediction with short-term inputs. However, limited information on short-term inputs resulted in unsatisfactory prediction results for the long warranty periods. Additionally, the overall evaluation metrics could not reflect the pattern-wise performance, such as the increasing failure patterns. This study proposes Complementary Reliability perspective Transformer (CRFormer) based on Transformer encoder to achieve enriched representations from a short-term input sequence. CRFormer fuses different automobile reliability perspective information and automobile features to compensate for the limited information on short-term input. The performance of CRFormer is evaluated based on automobile claim data accumulated over 16 years. Results showed that compared to previous methods in terms of overall, pattern-wise, and pattern similarity evaluation metrics, CRFormer achieved outstanding performance in time and mileage reliability prediction. Lastly, visualization results and survival analysis based on accurate model prediction can be used to support decision-making to reduce quality assurance costs and production costs.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9863836/Attention mechanismautomobilereliability predictiontransformer
spellingShingle Hyun Joon Park
Taehyeong Kim
Young Seok Kim
Jinhong Min
Ki Woo Sung
Sung Won Han
CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim Data
IEEE Access
Attention mechanism
automobile
reliability prediction
transformer
title CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim Data
title_full CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim Data
title_fullStr CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim Data
title_full_unstemmed CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim Data
title_short CRFormer: Complementary Reliability Perspective Transformer for Automotive Components Reliability Prediction Based on Claim Data
title_sort crformer complementary reliability perspective transformer for automotive components reliability prediction based on claim data
topic Attention mechanism
automobile
reliability prediction
transformer
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9863836/
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AT taehyeongkim crformercomplementaryreliabilityperspectivetransformerforautomotivecomponentsreliabilitypredictionbasedonclaimdata
AT youngseokkim crformercomplementaryreliabilityperspectivetransformerforautomotivecomponentsreliabilitypredictionbasedonclaimdata
AT jinhongmin crformercomplementaryreliabilityperspectivetransformerforautomotivecomponentsreliabilitypredictionbasedonclaimdata
AT kiwoosung crformercomplementaryreliabilityperspectivetransformerforautomotivecomponentsreliabilitypredictionbasedonclaimdata
AT sungwonhan crformercomplementaryreliabilityperspectivetransformerforautomotivecomponentsreliabilitypredictionbasedonclaimdata