Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.

<h4>Background</h4>Reasonable and accurate forecasting of outpatient visits helps hospital managers optimize the allocation of medical resources, facilitates fine hospital management, and is of great significance in improving hospital efficiency and treatment capacity.<h4>Methods&l...

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Main Authors: Yijia Wang, Xianglong Yi, Mei Luo, Zhe Wang, Long Qin, Xijian Hu, Kai Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0290541
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author Yijia Wang
Xianglong Yi
Mei Luo
Zhe Wang
Long Qin
Xijian Hu
Kai Wang
author_facet Yijia Wang
Xianglong Yi
Mei Luo
Zhe Wang
Long Qin
Xijian Hu
Kai Wang
author_sort Yijia Wang
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>Reasonable and accurate forecasting of outpatient visits helps hospital managers optimize the allocation of medical resources, facilitates fine hospital management, and is of great significance in improving hospital efficiency and treatment capacity.<h4>Methods</h4>Based on conjunctivitis outpatient data from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University Ophthalmology from 2017/1/1 to 2019/12/31, this paper built and evaluated Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models for outpatient visits prediction.<h4>Results</h4>In predicting the number of conjunctivitis visits over the next 31 days, the LSTM model had a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.86 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.39, the GRU model has an RMSE of 2.60 and an MAE of 1.99.<h4>Conclusions</h4>The GRU method can better predict trends in hospital outpatient flow over time, thus providing decision support for medical staff and outpatient management.
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spelling doaj.art-02fb1640c806487ea57a6fbd0c27e9df2023-09-28T05:31:28ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-01189e029054110.1371/journal.pone.0290541Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.Yijia WangXianglong YiMei LuoZhe WangLong QinXijian HuKai Wang<h4>Background</h4>Reasonable and accurate forecasting of outpatient visits helps hospital managers optimize the allocation of medical resources, facilitates fine hospital management, and is of great significance in improving hospital efficiency and treatment capacity.<h4>Methods</h4>Based on conjunctivitis outpatient data from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University Ophthalmology from 2017/1/1 to 2019/12/31, this paper built and evaluated Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models for outpatient visits prediction.<h4>Results</h4>In predicting the number of conjunctivitis visits over the next 31 days, the LSTM model had a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.86 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.39, the GRU model has an RMSE of 2.60 and an MAE of 1.99.<h4>Conclusions</h4>The GRU method can better predict trends in hospital outpatient flow over time, thus providing decision support for medical staff and outpatient management.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0290541
spellingShingle Yijia Wang
Xianglong Yi
Mei Luo
Zhe Wang
Long Qin
Xijian Hu
Kai Wang
Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.
PLoS ONE
title Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.
title_full Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.
title_fullStr Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.
title_short Prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in Xinjiang based on LSTM and GRU models.
title_sort prediction of outpatients with conjunctivitis in xinjiang based on lstm and gru models
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0290541
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