A Combinatorial Solution to Causal Compatibility

Within the field of causal inference, it is desirable to learn the structure of causal relationships holding between a system of variables from the correlations that these variables exhibit; a sub-problem of which is to certify whether or not a given causal hypothesis is compatible with the observed...

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Main Author: Fraser Thomas C.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2020-07-01
Series:Journal of Causal Inference
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2019-0013
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author Fraser Thomas C.
author_facet Fraser Thomas C.
author_sort Fraser Thomas C.
collection DOAJ
description Within the field of causal inference, it is desirable to learn the structure of causal relationships holding between a system of variables from the correlations that these variables exhibit; a sub-problem of which is to certify whether or not a given causal hypothesis is compatible with the observed correlations. A particularly challenging setting for assessing causal compatibility is in the presence of partial information; i.e. when some of the variables are hidden/latent. This paper introduces the possible worlds framework as a method for deciding causal compatibility in this difficult setting. We define a graphical object called a possible worlds diagram, which compactly depicts the set of all possible observations. From this construction, we demonstrate explicitly, using several examples, how to prove causal incompatibility. In fact, we use these constructions to prove causal incompatibility where no other techniques have been able to. Moreover, we prove that the possible worlds framework can be adapted to provide a complete solution to the possibilistic causal compatibility problem. Even more, we also discuss how to exploit graphical symmetries and cross-world consistency constraints in order to implement a hierarchy of necessary compatibility tests that we prove converges to sufficiency.
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spelling doaj.art-03413a7f60374465855a3212c8062fdb2022-12-21T22:38:59ZengDe GruyterJournal of Causal Inference2193-36772193-36852020-07-0181225310.1515/jci-2019-0013jci-2019-0013A Combinatorial Solution to Causal CompatibilityFraser Thomas C.0Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, N2L 2Y5Within the field of causal inference, it is desirable to learn the structure of causal relationships holding between a system of variables from the correlations that these variables exhibit; a sub-problem of which is to certify whether or not a given causal hypothesis is compatible with the observed correlations. A particularly challenging setting for assessing causal compatibility is in the presence of partial information; i.e. when some of the variables are hidden/latent. This paper introduces the possible worlds framework as a method for deciding causal compatibility in this difficult setting. We define a graphical object called a possible worlds diagram, which compactly depicts the set of all possible observations. From this construction, we demonstrate explicitly, using several examples, how to prove causal incompatibility. In fact, we use these constructions to prove causal incompatibility where no other techniques have been able to. Moreover, we prove that the possible worlds framework can be adapted to provide a complete solution to the possibilistic causal compatibility problem. Even more, we also discuss how to exploit graphical symmetries and cross-world consistency constraints in order to implement a hierarchy of necessary compatibility tests that we prove converges to sufficiency.https://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2019-0013causal inferencecausal compatibilityquantum non-classicality
spellingShingle Fraser Thomas C.
A Combinatorial Solution to Causal Compatibility
Journal of Causal Inference
causal inference
causal compatibility
quantum non-classicality
title A Combinatorial Solution to Causal Compatibility
title_full A Combinatorial Solution to Causal Compatibility
title_fullStr A Combinatorial Solution to Causal Compatibility
title_full_unstemmed A Combinatorial Solution to Causal Compatibility
title_short A Combinatorial Solution to Causal Compatibility
title_sort combinatorial solution to causal compatibility
topic causal inference
causal compatibility
quantum non-classicality
url https://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2019-0013
work_keys_str_mv AT fraserthomasc acombinatorialsolutiontocausalcompatibility
AT fraserthomasc combinatorialsolutiontocausalcompatibility