Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries

Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and heart failure (HF) are increasing in prevalence. The independent association between NAFLD and downstream risk of HF and HF subtypes (HF with preserved ejection fraction and HF with reduced ejection fraction) is not well established. Methods an...

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Main Authors: Marat Fudim, Lin Zhong, Kershaw V. Patel, Rohan Khera, Manal F. Abdelmalek, Anna Mae Diehl, Robert W. McGarrah, Jeroen Molinger, Cynthia A. Moylan, Vishal N. Rao, Kara Wegermann, Ian J. Neeland, Ethan A. Halm, Sandeep R. Das, Ambarish Pandey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-11-01
Series:Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.121.021654
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author Marat Fudim
Lin Zhong
Kershaw V. Patel
Rohan Khera
Manal F. Abdelmalek
Anna Mae Diehl
Robert W. McGarrah
Jeroen Molinger
Cynthia A. Moylan
Vishal N. Rao
Kara Wegermann
Ian J. Neeland
Ethan A. Halm
Sandeep R. Das
Ambarish Pandey
author_facet Marat Fudim
Lin Zhong
Kershaw V. Patel
Rohan Khera
Manal F. Abdelmalek
Anna Mae Diehl
Robert W. McGarrah
Jeroen Molinger
Cynthia A. Moylan
Vishal N. Rao
Kara Wegermann
Ian J. Neeland
Ethan A. Halm
Sandeep R. Das
Ambarish Pandey
author_sort Marat Fudim
collection DOAJ
description Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and heart failure (HF) are increasing in prevalence. The independent association between NAFLD and downstream risk of HF and HF subtypes (HF with preserved ejection fraction and HF with reduced ejection fraction) is not well established. Methods and Results This was a retrospective, cohort study among Medicare beneficiaries. We selected Medicare beneficiaries without known prior diagnosis of HF. NAFLD was defined using presence of 1 inpatient or 2 outpatient claims using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD‐9‐CM), claims codes. Incident HF was defined using at least 1 inpatient or at least 2 outpatient HF claims during the follow‐up period (October 2015–December 2016). Among 870 535 Medicare patients, 3.2% (N=27 919) had a clinical diagnosis of NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD were more commonly women, were less commonly Black patients, and had a higher burden of comorbidities, such as diabetes, obesity, and kidney disease. Over a mean 14.3 months of follow‐up, patients with (versus without) baseline NAFLD had a significantly higher risk of new‐onset HF in unadjusted (6.4% versus 5.0%; P<0.001) and adjusted (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI], 1.23 [1.18–1.29]) analyses. Among HF subtypes, the association of NAFLD with downstream risk of HF was stronger for HF with preserved ejection fraction (adjusted HR [95% CI], 1.24 [1.14–1.34]) compared with HF with reduced ejection fraction (adjusted HR [95% CI], 1.09 [0.98–1.2]). Conclusions Patients with NAFLD are at an increased risk of incident HF, with a higher risk of developing HF with preserved ejection fraction versus HF with reduced ejection fraction. The persistence of an increased risk after adjustment for clinical and demographic factors suggests an epidemiological link between NAFLD and HF beyond the basis of shared risk factors that requires further investigation.
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spelling doaj.art-0348b254322045d6b98f37ff6e5d05af2022-12-22T02:50:58ZengWileyJournal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease2047-99802021-11-01102210.1161/JAHA.121.021654Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare BeneficiariesMarat Fudim0Lin Zhong1Kershaw V. Patel2Rohan Khera3Manal F. Abdelmalek4Anna Mae Diehl5Robert W. McGarrah6Jeroen Molinger7Cynthia A. Moylan8Vishal N. Rao9Kara Wegermann10Ian J. Neeland11Ethan A. Halm12Sandeep R. Das13Ambarish Pandey14Division of Cardiology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCDivision of Cardiology University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Dallas TXDepartment of Cardiology Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center Houston TXDivision of Cardiology Yale Medical Center New Haven CTDivision of Gastroenterology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCDivision of Gastroenterology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCDivision of Cardiology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCDivision of Cardiology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCDivision of Gastroenterology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCDivision of Cardiology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCDivision of Gastroenterology Duke University Medical Center Durham NCHarrington Heart and Vascular Institute University Hospitals Cleveland Medical CenterCase Western Reserve University School of Medicine Cleveland OHDivision of Cardiology University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Dallas TXDepartment of Internal Medicine Cardiology Division University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Dallas TXDepartment of Internal Medicine Cardiology Division University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Dallas TXBackground Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and heart failure (HF) are increasing in prevalence. The independent association between NAFLD and downstream risk of HF and HF subtypes (HF with preserved ejection fraction and HF with reduced ejection fraction) is not well established. Methods and Results This was a retrospective, cohort study among Medicare beneficiaries. We selected Medicare beneficiaries without known prior diagnosis of HF. NAFLD was defined using presence of 1 inpatient or 2 outpatient claims using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD‐9‐CM), claims codes. Incident HF was defined using at least 1 inpatient or at least 2 outpatient HF claims during the follow‐up period (October 2015–December 2016). Among 870 535 Medicare patients, 3.2% (N=27 919) had a clinical diagnosis of NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD were more commonly women, were less commonly Black patients, and had a higher burden of comorbidities, such as diabetes, obesity, and kidney disease. Over a mean 14.3 months of follow‐up, patients with (versus without) baseline NAFLD had a significantly higher risk of new‐onset HF in unadjusted (6.4% versus 5.0%; P<0.001) and adjusted (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI], 1.23 [1.18–1.29]) analyses. Among HF subtypes, the association of NAFLD with downstream risk of HF was stronger for HF with preserved ejection fraction (adjusted HR [95% CI], 1.24 [1.14–1.34]) compared with HF with reduced ejection fraction (adjusted HR [95% CI], 1.09 [0.98–1.2]). Conclusions Patients with NAFLD are at an increased risk of incident HF, with a higher risk of developing HF with preserved ejection fraction versus HF with reduced ejection fraction. The persistence of an increased risk after adjustment for clinical and demographic factors suggests an epidemiological link between NAFLD and HF beyond the basis of shared risk factors that requires further investigation.https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.121.021654heart failureheart failure with preserved ejection fractionheart failure with reduced ejection fractionnonalcoholic fatty liver disease
spellingShingle Marat Fudim
Lin Zhong
Kershaw V. Patel
Rohan Khera
Manal F. Abdelmalek
Anna Mae Diehl
Robert W. McGarrah
Jeroen Molinger
Cynthia A. Moylan
Vishal N. Rao
Kara Wegermann
Ian J. Neeland
Ethan A. Halm
Sandeep R. Das
Ambarish Pandey
Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries
Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
heart failure
heart failure with preserved ejection fraction
heart failure with reduced ejection fraction
nonalcoholic fatty liver disease
title Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries
title_full Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries
title_fullStr Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries
title_full_unstemmed Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries
title_short Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Heart Failure Among Medicare Beneficiaries
title_sort nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and risk of heart failure among medicare beneficiaries
topic heart failure
heart failure with preserved ejection fraction
heart failure with reduced ejection fraction
nonalcoholic fatty liver disease
url https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.121.021654
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