Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, Altai

The glacier recession of the North-Chuya ridge, Altai, after the maximum of the Little Ice Age (LIA) is estimated based on remote sensing and in situ studies of the Bolshoi Maashei glacier. The glacier area decreased from 304.9 ± 23.49 km<sup>2</sup> at the LIA maximum to 140.24 ± 16.19...

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Main Authors: Dmitry Ganyushkin, Dmitry Bantcev, Ekaterina Derkach, Anna Agatova, Roman Nepop, Semyon Griga, Valeria Rasputina, Oleg Ostanin, Galina Dyakova, Galina Pryakhina, Kirill Chistyakov, Yuri Kurochkin, Yuliya Gorbunova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Remote Sensing
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/8/2186
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author Dmitry Ganyushkin
Dmitry Bantcev
Ekaterina Derkach
Anna Agatova
Roman Nepop
Semyon Griga
Valeria Rasputina
Oleg Ostanin
Galina Dyakova
Galina Pryakhina
Kirill Chistyakov
Yuri Kurochkin
Yuliya Gorbunova
author_facet Dmitry Ganyushkin
Dmitry Bantcev
Ekaterina Derkach
Anna Agatova
Roman Nepop
Semyon Griga
Valeria Rasputina
Oleg Ostanin
Galina Dyakova
Galina Pryakhina
Kirill Chistyakov
Yuri Kurochkin
Yuliya Gorbunova
author_sort Dmitry Ganyushkin
collection DOAJ
description The glacier recession of the North-Chuya ridge, Altai, after the maximum of the Little Ice Age (LIA) is estimated based on remote sensing and in situ studies of the Bolshoi Maashei glacier. The glacier area decreased from 304.9 ± 23.49 km<sup>2</sup> at the LIA maximum to 140.24 ± 16.19 km<sup>2</sup> in 2000 and 120.02 ± 16.19 km<sup>2</sup> in 2021. The average equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) rise after the LIA was 207 m. The reduction of glaciers was caused by the warming trend, most rapid in the 1990s, and by the decrease in precipitation after the mid-1980s. The volume of glaciers decreased from approximately 16.5 km<sup>3</sup> in the LIA maximum to 5.6–5.8 km<sup>3</sup> by 2021. From the LIA maximum to 2022, the Bolshoi Maashei glacier decreased from 17.49 km<sup>2</sup> to 6.25 km<sup>2</sup>, and the lower point rose from 2160 m to 2225 m. After the LIA, the glacial snout retreat was about 1 km. The fastest retreat of the glacier terminus was estimated in 2010–2022 as 14.0 m a<sup>−1</sup> on average. The glacier mass balance index was calculated, with the results showing a strong negative trend from the mid-1980s until now. Strong melt rates caused the increase in the area of the Maashei lake, which could lead to the weakening of its dam, and prepared for its failure in 2012. The current climatic tendencies are unfavorable for the glaciers.
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spelling doaj.art-035a4190d4b54c12bac9ce3609ac17532023-11-17T21:13:14ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922023-04-01158218610.3390/rs15082186Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, AltaiDmitry Ganyushkin0Dmitry Bantcev1Ekaterina Derkach2Anna Agatova3Roman Nepop4Semyon Griga5Valeria Rasputina6Oleg Ostanin7Galina Dyakova8Galina Pryakhina9Kirill Chistyakov10Yuri Kurochkin11Yuliya Gorbunova12Institute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Geology and Mineralogy, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IGM SB RAS), Koptyuga av., 3, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaInstitute of Geology and Mineralogy, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IGM SB RAS), Koptyuga av., 3, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Geography, Altai State University, pr. Lenina 61, Room 511, 656049 Barnaul, RussiaInstitute of Geography, Altai State University, pr. Lenina 61, Room 511, 656049 Barnaul, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaInstitute of Earth Science, Saint-Petersburg State University, Universitetskaya nab. 7/9, 199034 Saint-Petersburg, RussiaThe glacier recession of the North-Chuya ridge, Altai, after the maximum of the Little Ice Age (LIA) is estimated based on remote sensing and in situ studies of the Bolshoi Maashei glacier. The glacier area decreased from 304.9 ± 23.49 km<sup>2</sup> at the LIA maximum to 140.24 ± 16.19 km<sup>2</sup> in 2000 and 120.02 ± 16.19 km<sup>2</sup> in 2021. The average equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) rise after the LIA was 207 m. The reduction of glaciers was caused by the warming trend, most rapid in the 1990s, and by the decrease in precipitation after the mid-1980s. The volume of glaciers decreased from approximately 16.5 km<sup>3</sup> in the LIA maximum to 5.6–5.8 km<sup>3</sup> by 2021. From the LIA maximum to 2022, the Bolshoi Maashei glacier decreased from 17.49 km<sup>2</sup> to 6.25 km<sup>2</sup>, and the lower point rose from 2160 m to 2225 m. After the LIA, the glacial snout retreat was about 1 km. The fastest retreat of the glacier terminus was estimated in 2010–2022 as 14.0 m a<sup>−1</sup> on average. The glacier mass balance index was calculated, with the results showing a strong negative trend from the mid-1980s until now. Strong melt rates caused the increase in the area of the Maashei lake, which could lead to the weakening of its dam, and prepared for its failure in 2012. The current climatic tendencies are unfavorable for the glaciers.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/8/2186Altaiglacierremote sensingobservationsretreatLIA
spellingShingle Dmitry Ganyushkin
Dmitry Bantcev
Ekaterina Derkach
Anna Agatova
Roman Nepop
Semyon Griga
Valeria Rasputina
Oleg Ostanin
Galina Dyakova
Galina Pryakhina
Kirill Chistyakov
Yuri Kurochkin
Yuliya Gorbunova
Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, Altai
Remote Sensing
Altai
glacier
remote sensing
observations
retreat
LIA
title Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, Altai
title_full Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, Altai
title_fullStr Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, Altai
title_full_unstemmed Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, Altai
title_short Post-Little Ice Age Glacier Recession in the North-Chuya Ridge and Dynamics of the Bolshoi Maashei Glacier, Altai
title_sort post little ice age glacier recession in the north chuya ridge and dynamics of the bolshoi maashei glacier altai
topic Altai
glacier
remote sensing
observations
retreat
LIA
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/15/8/2186
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