Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern Spain

Knowledge of the spatial distribution of rare or endangered species is of key importance to assess conservation status at different geographic scales and to develop conservation and recovery programs. In this paper we review and update the distribution of three species of Lycaenid butterflies in And...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Obregón, R., Fernández Haeger, J., Jordano, D.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona 2016-03-01
Series:Animal Biodiversity and Conservation
Subjects:
Online Access:http://abc.museucienciesjournals.cat/files/ABC_39-1_pp_115-128-color.pdf
_version_ 1828788547473113088
author Obregón, R.
Fernández Haeger, J.
Jordano, D.
author_facet Obregón, R.
Fernández Haeger, J.
Jordano, D.
author_sort Obregón, R.
collection DOAJ
description Knowledge of the spatial distribution of rare or endangered species is of key importance to assess conservation status at different geographic scales and to develop conservation and recovery programs. In this paper we review and update the distribution of three species of Lycaenid butterflies in Andalusia (southern Spain): Cupido carswelli, C. lorquinii, and C. osiris. Cupido carswelli is endemic in south east Spain and is considered a vulnerable species in the Red Book of Invertebrates of Andalusia. Cupido lorquinii is an Iberian–Maghrebian endemism, found in the southern half of the Iberian peninsula. Cupido osiris, widely distributed in Europe and Central Asia, has its southern limit of distribution in Andalusia. We modeled the potential current distribution of these species in Andalusia, using Maxent. Their potential distribution was mainly conditioned by the presence of their host plants and, to a lesser extent, by climatic variables: rainfall during the warmest and coldest quarters of the year and annual mean temperature. AUC test values, sensitivity, and specificity for the three models were high, confirming the accuracy of the models and their high predictive values. We also modeled the potential future distributions of the three species under the climate change scenario A2a. Our results predict a significant reduction in the potential distribution for C. lorquinii —which has a wider distribution in Andalusia than the other two species— and for the more localized species, C. osiris and C. carswelli. This expected decline in the south of the Iberian peninsula highlights the pressing need to design and implement specific conservation plans for these species.
first_indexed 2024-12-12T00:54:46Z
format Article
id doaj.art-0388317598f54295aa5832c3404e7d4d
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1578-665X
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-12T00:54:46Z
publishDate 2016-03-01
publisher Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona
record_format Article
series Animal Biodiversity and Conservation
spelling doaj.art-0388317598f54295aa5832c3404e7d4d2022-12-22T00:43:54ZengMuseu de Ciències Naturals de BarcelonaAnimal Biodiversity and Conservation1578-665X2016-03-01391115128Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern SpainObregón, R.Fernández Haeger, J.Jordano, D.Knowledge of the spatial distribution of rare or endangered species is of key importance to assess conservation status at different geographic scales and to develop conservation and recovery programs. In this paper we review and update the distribution of three species of Lycaenid butterflies in Andalusia (southern Spain): Cupido carswelli, C. lorquinii, and C. osiris. Cupido carswelli is endemic in south east Spain and is considered a vulnerable species in the Red Book of Invertebrates of Andalusia. Cupido lorquinii is an Iberian–Maghrebian endemism, found in the southern half of the Iberian peninsula. Cupido osiris, widely distributed in Europe and Central Asia, has its southern limit of distribution in Andalusia. We modeled the potential current distribution of these species in Andalusia, using Maxent. Their potential distribution was mainly conditioned by the presence of their host plants and, to a lesser extent, by climatic variables: rainfall during the warmest and coldest quarters of the year and annual mean temperature. AUC test values, sensitivity, and specificity for the three models were high, confirming the accuracy of the models and their high predictive values. We also modeled the potential future distributions of the three species under the climate change scenario A2a. Our results predict a significant reduction in the potential distribution for C. lorquinii —which has a wider distribution in Andalusia than the other two species— and for the more localized species, C. osiris and C. carswelli. This expected decline in the south of the Iberian peninsula highlights the pressing need to design and implement specific conservation plans for these species.http://abc.museucienciesjournals.cat/files/ABC_39-1_pp_115-128-color.pdfModelingGlobal ChangeCupidoLepidopteraIberian peninsula
spellingShingle Obregón, R.
Fernández Haeger, J.
Jordano, D.
Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern Spain
Animal Biodiversity and Conservation
Modeling
Global Change
Cupido
Lepidoptera
Iberian peninsula
title Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern Spain
title_full Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern Spain
title_fullStr Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern Spain
title_full_unstemmed Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern Spain
title_short Effects of climate change on three species of Cupido (Lepidoptera, Lycaenidae) with different biogeographic distribution in Andalusia, southern Spain
title_sort effects of climate change on three species of cupido lepidoptera lycaenidae with different biogeographic distribution in andalusia southern spain
topic Modeling
Global Change
Cupido
Lepidoptera
Iberian peninsula
url http://abc.museucienciesjournals.cat/files/ABC_39-1_pp_115-128-color.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT obregonr effectsofclimatechangeonthreespeciesofcupidolepidopteralycaenidaewithdifferentbiogeographicdistributioninandalusiasouthernspain
AT fernandezhaegerj effectsofclimatechangeonthreespeciesofcupidolepidopteralycaenidaewithdifferentbiogeographicdistributioninandalusiasouthernspain
AT jordanod effectsofclimatechangeonthreespeciesofcupidolepidopteralycaenidaewithdifferentbiogeographicdistributioninandalusiasouthernspain