Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal Sewers

Groundwater elevations in coastal cities will be affected by climate-change-induced sea level rise (SLR) and wastewater collection systems will experience increased groundwater infiltration (GWI) due to greater submergence of sewer pipes. Commercial sewer hydraulics models consider GWI to be a const...

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Main Authors: Elise Budd, Roger W Babcock, Daniele Spirandelli, Suwan Shen, Adrienne Fung
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-03-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/3/923
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author Elise Budd
Roger W Babcock
Daniele Spirandelli
Suwan Shen
Adrienne Fung
author_facet Elise Budd
Roger W Babcock
Daniele Spirandelli
Suwan Shen
Adrienne Fung
author_sort Elise Budd
collection DOAJ
description Groundwater elevations in coastal cities will be affected by climate-change-induced sea level rise (SLR) and wastewater collection systems will experience increased groundwater infiltration (GWI) due to greater submergence of sewer pipes. Commercial sewer hydraulics models consider GWI to be a constant quantity estimated via a low-flow monitoring campaign and are incapable of predicting future flows due to changes in GW elevations. A global sensitivity analyses conducted for a two-dimensional GWI pipe flow model found the most important input parameters are groundwater head and surrounding soil hydraulic conductivity. Two case studies were conducted considering a range of pipe defect severity to estimate increases in GWI associated with predictions of future SLR. The findings are that SLR will begin to have noticeable impacts in terms of increased average dry weather flow (ADWF) as soon as 2030 (3−10%) and will increase dramatically in the future (10−29% by 2050, and 50% or more by 2100). Daily and seasonal tide ranges affect the normal diurnal flow variations by between 3% and 10%. The estimation methodology and case studies described here illustrate the coming future importance of SLR effects on GWI in coastal collection systems that should be included in facilities planning and design.
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spelling doaj.art-03c284f68e2a4383bde42924ced4030a2022-12-22T03:50:51ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412020-03-0112392310.3390/w12030923w12030923Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal SewersElise Budd0Roger W Babcock1Daniele Spirandelli2Suwan Shen3Adrienne Fung4Civil & Environmental Engineering Department and Water Resources Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 2540 Dole St, Honolulu, HI 96822, USACivil & Environmental Engineering Department and Water Resources Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 2540 Dole St, Honolulu, HI 96822, USAUrban and Regional Planning, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 2540 Dole St, Honolulu, HI 96822, USAUrban and Regional Planning, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 2540 Dole St, Honolulu, HI 96822, USAAECOM, 1001 Bishop St, Suite 1600, Honolulu, HI 96813, USAGroundwater elevations in coastal cities will be affected by climate-change-induced sea level rise (SLR) and wastewater collection systems will experience increased groundwater infiltration (GWI) due to greater submergence of sewer pipes. Commercial sewer hydraulics models consider GWI to be a constant quantity estimated via a low-flow monitoring campaign and are incapable of predicting future flows due to changes in GW elevations. A global sensitivity analyses conducted for a two-dimensional GWI pipe flow model found the most important input parameters are groundwater head and surrounding soil hydraulic conductivity. Two case studies were conducted considering a range of pipe defect severity to estimate increases in GWI associated with predictions of future SLR. The findings are that SLR will begin to have noticeable impacts in terms of increased average dry weather flow (ADWF) as soon as 2030 (3−10%) and will increase dramatically in the future (10−29% by 2050, and 50% or more by 2100). Daily and seasonal tide ranges affect the normal diurnal flow variations by between 3% and 10%. The estimation methodology and case studies described here illustrate the coming future importance of SLR effects on GWI in coastal collection systems that should be included in facilities planning and design.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/3/923coastal wastewater infrastructuregroundwater infiltration modelingsea-level risesensitivity analysis
spellingShingle Elise Budd
Roger W Babcock
Daniele Spirandelli
Suwan Shen
Adrienne Fung
Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal Sewers
Water
coastal wastewater infrastructure
groundwater infiltration modeling
sea-level rise
sensitivity analysis
title Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal Sewers
title_full Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal Sewers
title_fullStr Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal Sewers
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal Sewers
title_short Sensitivity Analysis of a Groundwater Infiltration Model and Sea-Level Rise Applications for Coastal Sewers
title_sort sensitivity analysis of a groundwater infiltration model and sea level rise applications for coastal sewers
topic coastal wastewater infrastructure
groundwater infiltration modeling
sea-level rise
sensitivity analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/12/3/923
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