The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission Systems

Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) has been widely used in Nuclear Power Plants Risk Analysis and can be applied to Electric Power Systems to evaluate initiating events such as short circuits, transmission lines overflows or human operational / maintenance errors that could lead t...

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Main Author: José de Jesús Rivero Oliva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad Tecnológica de La Habana, José Antonio Echeverría 2019-01-01
Series:Revista Científica de Ingeniería Energética
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rie.cujae.edu.cu/index.php/RIE/article/view/554/619
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author José de Jesús Rivero Oliva
author_facet José de Jesús Rivero Oliva
author_sort José de Jesús Rivero Oliva
collection DOAJ
description Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) has been widely used in Nuclear Power Plants Risk Analysis and can be applied to Electric Power Systems to evaluate initiating events such as short circuits, transmission lines overflows or human operational / maintenance errors that could lead to catastrophic damages, including cascading failures and blackouts. The present paper is dedicated to a PSA application, showing how a combined Event Tree / Fault Tree model can perform a probabilistic evaluation of the risk derived from the failure to isolate a short circuit in a transmission line. The model quantification allowed identifying the most critical elements (circuit breakers, DC power systems and communication system devices) and selecting proper improvement measures leading to an 88% risk reduction. The quantification process was performed applying the EXCEL software version of the Advanced Combinatorial Method for solving complex fault trees (CSolv+).
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spelling doaj.art-03d3828e9ced47f886112d122c5f7ba82022-12-22T02:28:18ZengUniversidad Tecnológica de La Habana, José Antonio EcheverríaRevista Científica de Ingeniería Energética1815-59012019-01-014016372The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission SystemsJosé de Jesús Rivero Oliva0Centro de Tecnología Universidad Federal do Río Janeiro, BrasilProbabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) has been widely used in Nuclear Power Plants Risk Analysis and can be applied to Electric Power Systems to evaluate initiating events such as short circuits, transmission lines overflows or human operational / maintenance errors that could lead to catastrophic damages, including cascading failures and blackouts. The present paper is dedicated to a PSA application, showing how a combined Event Tree / Fault Tree model can perform a probabilistic evaluation of the risk derived from the failure to isolate a short circuit in a transmission line. The model quantification allowed identifying the most critical elements (circuit breakers, DC power systems and communication system devices) and selecting proper improvement measures leading to an 88% risk reduction. The quantification process was performed applying the EXCEL software version of the Advanced Combinatorial Method for solving complex fault trees (CSolv+). https://rie.cujae.edu.cu/index.php/RIE/article/view/554/619probabilistic safety assessment; event tree; fault tree; electric transmission systems
spellingShingle José de Jesús Rivero Oliva
The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission Systems
Revista Científica de Ingeniería Energética
probabilistic safety assessment; event tree; fault tree; electric transmission systems
title The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission Systems
title_full The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission Systems
title_fullStr The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission Systems
title_full_unstemmed The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission Systems
title_short The application of Probabilistic Safety Assessment to Electric Transmission Systems
title_sort application of probabilistic safety assessment to electric transmission systems
topic probabilistic safety assessment; event tree; fault tree; electric transmission systems
url https://rie.cujae.edu.cu/index.php/RIE/article/view/554/619
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