Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning Methods

Microfinance is a way to fight poverty, and therefore is of high social significance. The microfinance sector in Russia is progressing. However, the engagement of microfinance organizations in illegal financial transactions associated with fraud, illegal creditors, money laundering, significantly li...

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Main Author: Yu. M. Beketnova
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Government of the Russian Federation, Financial University 2020-12-01
Series:Финансы: теория и практика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/1090
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author Yu. M. Beketnova
author_facet Yu. M. Beketnova
author_sort Yu. M. Beketnova
collection DOAJ
description Microfinance is a way to fight poverty, and therefore is of high social significance. The microfinance sector in Russia is progressing. However, the engagement of microfinance organizations in illegal financial transactions associated with fraud, illegal creditors, money laundering, significantly limits their potential and has negative impact on their development. The aim of the paper is to study the possibilities to automate detection of unscrupulous microfinance organizations based on machine learning methods in order to promptly identify and suppress illegal activities by regulatory authorities. The author cites common fraudulent schemes involving microfinance organizations, including a scheme for cashing out maternity capital, a fraudulent lending scheme against real estate. The author carried out a comparative analysis of the results obtained by classification methods — the logistic regression method, decision trees (algorithms of two-class decision forest, Adaboost), support vector machine (algorithm of two-class support vector machine), neural network methods (algorithm of two-class neural network), Bayesian networks (algorithm of two-class Bayes network). The two-class support vector machine provided the most accurate results. The author analysed the data on microfinance institutions published by the Bank of Russia, the MFOs themselves, and banki.ru. The author concludes that the research results can be of further use by the Bank of Russia and Rosfinmonitoring to automate detection of unscrupulous microfinance organizations.
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spelling doaj.art-03f3725e8e37458496d6d69581f7c0ae2023-03-13T07:49:30ZrusGovernment of the Russian Federation, Financial UniversityФинансы: теория и практика2587-56712587-70892020-12-01246385010.26794/2587-5671-2020-24-6-38-50813Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning MethodsYu. M. Beketnova0Финансовый университетMicrofinance is a way to fight poverty, and therefore is of high social significance. The microfinance sector in Russia is progressing. However, the engagement of microfinance organizations in illegal financial transactions associated with fraud, illegal creditors, money laundering, significantly limits their potential and has negative impact on their development. The aim of the paper is to study the possibilities to automate detection of unscrupulous microfinance organizations based on machine learning methods in order to promptly identify and suppress illegal activities by regulatory authorities. The author cites common fraudulent schemes involving microfinance organizations, including a scheme for cashing out maternity capital, a fraudulent lending scheme against real estate. The author carried out a comparative analysis of the results obtained by classification methods — the logistic regression method, decision trees (algorithms of two-class decision forest, Adaboost), support vector machine (algorithm of two-class support vector machine), neural network methods (algorithm of two-class neural network), Bayesian networks (algorithm of two-class Bayes network). The two-class support vector machine provided the most accurate results. The author analysed the data on microfinance institutions published by the Bank of Russia, the MFOs themselves, and banki.ru. The author concludes that the research results can be of further use by the Bank of Russia and Rosfinmonitoring to automate detection of unscrupulous microfinance organizations.https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/1090микрофинансовые организациифинансовый мониторингметоды машинного обученияалгоритмы классификации
spellingShingle Yu. M. Beketnova
Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning Methods
Финансы: теория и практика
микрофинансовые организации
финансовый мониторинг
методы машинного обучения
алгоритмы классификации
title Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning Methods
title_full Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning Methods
title_fullStr Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning Methods
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning Methods
title_short Analysis of Possibilities to Automate Detection of Unscrupulous Microfinance Organizations based on Machine learning Methods
title_sort analysis of possibilities to automate detection of unscrupulous microfinance organizations based on machine learning methods
topic микрофинансовые организации
финансовый мониторинг
методы машинного обучения
алгоритмы классификации
url https://financetp.fa.ru/jour/article/view/1090
work_keys_str_mv AT yumbeketnova analysisofpossibilitiestoautomatedetectionofunscrupulousmicrofinanceorganizationsbasedonmachinelearningmethods