Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South Korea

Market diversification is one of the keys to success in the new era of world trade. Highly competitive countries have accomplished positive and sustained growth rates by not depending on a single market for their exports and imports. In Mexico, on the contrary, 80% of exports and 45% of imports conc...

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Main Authors: Luis Quintana-Romero, Nam Kwon Mun, Roldán Andrés-Rosales, José Álvarez-García
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-10-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/10/1708
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author Luis Quintana-Romero
Nam Kwon Mun
Roldán Andrés-Rosales
José Álvarez-García
author_facet Luis Quintana-Romero
Nam Kwon Mun
Roldán Andrés-Rosales
José Álvarez-García
author_sort Luis Quintana-Romero
collection DOAJ
description Market diversification is one of the keys to success in the new era of world trade. Highly competitive countries have accomplished positive and sustained growth rates by not depending on a single market for their exports and imports. In Mexico, on the contrary, 80% of exports and 45% of imports concentrate in the United States. The South Korean market represents an opportunity for the Mexican economy, as the relationship between the two countries has strengthened in recent decades. This opportunity would promote greater economic growth for both countries if they reached a Free Trade Agreement, as we show in this work. The aim of this research is to assess the complementarity between these countries and estimate their external long-term equilibrium using the Thirlwall trade restriction model. Results confirm the existence of trade complementarity between the two economies and show that these are able to achieve long-term equilibrium in the external sector. Additionally, the Mexican economy would not face balance of payment constraints for growth when trading with South Korea, as it currently does with the United States.
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spelling doaj.art-04320a31a3384e3da01bb0d861ea29512023-11-20T16:02:04ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902020-10-01810170810.3390/math8101708Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South KoreaLuis Quintana-Romero0Nam Kwon Mun1Roldán Andrés-Rosales2José Álvarez-García3Department of Economics, Facultad de Estudios Superiores Acatlán UNAM, Estado de Mexico 53150, MexicoDepartment of Latin American Studies, GSIAS, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, Seoul 130-791, KoreaDepartment of Administration, Facultad de Estudios Superiores Cuatitlán UNAM, Estado de Mexico 54714, MexicoFinancial Economy and Accounting Department, Faculty of Business, Finance and Tourism, University of Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, SpainMarket diversification is one of the keys to success in the new era of world trade. Highly competitive countries have accomplished positive and sustained growth rates by not depending on a single market for their exports and imports. In Mexico, on the contrary, 80% of exports and 45% of imports concentrate in the United States. The South Korean market represents an opportunity for the Mexican economy, as the relationship between the two countries has strengthened in recent decades. This opportunity would promote greater economic growth for both countries if they reached a Free Trade Agreement, as we show in this work. The aim of this research is to assess the complementarity between these countries and estimate their external long-term equilibrium using the Thirlwall trade restriction model. Results confirm the existence of trade complementarity between the two economies and show that these are able to achieve long-term equilibrium in the external sector. Additionally, the Mexican economy would not face balance of payment constraints for growth when trading with South Korea, as it currently does with the United States.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/10/1708international tradeexportsimportsThirlwall lawcointegrationeconomic growth
spellingShingle Luis Quintana-Romero
Nam Kwon Mun
Roldán Andrés-Rosales
José Álvarez-García
Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South Korea
Mathematics
international trade
exports
imports
Thirlwall law
cointegration
economic growth
title Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South Korea
title_full Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South Korea
title_fullStr Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South Korea
title_full_unstemmed Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South Korea
title_short Trade Complementarity and the Balance of Payments Constraint Hypothesis: A New Free Trade Agreement between Mexico and South Korea
title_sort trade complementarity and the balance of payments constraint hypothesis a new free trade agreement between mexico and south korea
topic international trade
exports
imports
Thirlwall law
cointegration
economic growth
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/10/1708
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