The Future of Afghan Democracy

The 2014 Afghan presidential and provincial council elections will have a critical effect on the future of Afghan democracy. At a minimum, they must be sufficiently credible to prevent severe division among elite political actors and ensure the survival of the current constitutional order. Yet there...

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Main Author: Scott Seward Smith
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Centre for Security Governance 2014-03-01
Series:Stability : International Journal of Security and Development
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.stabilityjournal.org/article/view/228
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author Scott Seward Smith
author_facet Scott Seward Smith
author_sort Scott Seward Smith
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description The 2014 Afghan presidential and provincial council elections will have a critical effect on the future of Afghan democracy. At a minimum, they must be sufficiently credible to prevent severe division among elite political actors and ensure the survival of the current constitutional order. Yet there are growing expectations that the election might not merely be an elite pact between powerful figures from Afghanistan’s recent past, but more fully represent popular aspirations, particularly those of the growing urban and youth population. In order for this to happen, they must also be held in accordance with the legal rules that guide them, rather than be characterized by manipulation of these rules and government interference. Despite the problems of fraud in the 2009 election, where government figures and the electoral institutions themselves were partly responsible for the significant fraud that took place, there are a number of reasons to expect that the 2014 election will be an improvement on 2009, both in terms of participation and organization. If the elections held in Afghanistan since 2001 have diminished hopes for Afghan democracy, it is partly because an electoral formalism was introduced in Afghanistan before other elements crucial to a functioning democracy—the rule of law, political parties, institutionalized governance—really existed. The 2014 elections may reveal the boundaries of an emerging democratic space in which these features are beginning to emerge and, more importantly, where their value is increasingly recognized by Afghans. If, in every political transition, the future grapples with the past, the 2014 elections in Afghanistan may be a decisive arena of that struggle.
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spelling doaj.art-0439a2bf68044065a4f493714ef044312022-12-22T00:30:17ZengCentre for Security GovernanceStability : International Journal of Security and Development2165-26272014-03-0131Art. 1210.5334/sta.dk98The Future of Afghan DemocracyScott Seward Smith0United States Institute of PeaceThe 2014 Afghan presidential and provincial council elections will have a critical effect on the future of Afghan democracy. At a minimum, they must be sufficiently credible to prevent severe division among elite political actors and ensure the survival of the current constitutional order. Yet there are growing expectations that the election might not merely be an elite pact between powerful figures from Afghanistan’s recent past, but more fully represent popular aspirations, particularly those of the growing urban and youth population. In order for this to happen, they must also be held in accordance with the legal rules that guide them, rather than be characterized by manipulation of these rules and government interference. Despite the problems of fraud in the 2009 election, where government figures and the electoral institutions themselves were partly responsible for the significant fraud that took place, there are a number of reasons to expect that the 2014 election will be an improvement on 2009, both in terms of participation and organization. If the elections held in Afghanistan since 2001 have diminished hopes for Afghan democracy, it is partly because an electoral formalism was introduced in Afghanistan before other elements crucial to a functioning democracy—the rule of law, political parties, institutionalized governance—really existed. The 2014 elections may reveal the boundaries of an emerging democratic space in which these features are beginning to emerge and, more importantly, where their value is increasingly recognized by Afghans. If, in every political transition, the future grapples with the past, the 2014 elections in Afghanistan may be a decisive arena of that struggle.http://www.stabilityjournal.org/article/view/228Afghanistandemocracyconstitutionstabilityrule of law
spellingShingle Scott Seward Smith
The Future of Afghan Democracy
Stability : International Journal of Security and Development
Afghanistan
democracy
constitution
stability
rule of law
title The Future of Afghan Democracy
title_full The Future of Afghan Democracy
title_fullStr The Future of Afghan Democracy
title_full_unstemmed The Future of Afghan Democracy
title_short The Future of Afghan Democracy
title_sort future of afghan democracy
topic Afghanistan
democracy
constitution
stability
rule of law
url http://www.stabilityjournal.org/article/view/228
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