Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural network

With the more complex investment environment of China’s power grid, the accurate prediction of the investment ability of power grid enterprises has become an important prerequisite for managers to make precise investment decisions. This paper first selects the factors affecting the investment capaci...

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Main Authors: Zhang Chengke, Liu Huideng, Zhu Yuning, Wang Yuzhu, Hu Zeping
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2022-01-01
Series:SHS Web of Conferences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.shs-conferences.org/articles/shsconf/pdf/2022/21/shsconf_emsd2022_01043.pdf
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author Zhang Chengke
Liu Huideng
Zhu Yuning
Wang Yuzhu
Hu Zeping
author_facet Zhang Chengke
Liu Huideng
Zhu Yuning
Wang Yuzhu
Hu Zeping
author_sort Zhang Chengke
collection DOAJ
description With the more complex investment environment of China’s power grid, the accurate prediction of the investment ability of power grid enterprises has become an important prerequisite for managers to make precise investment decisions. This paper first selects the factors affecting the investment capacity of the power grid from the internal and external environment, and establishes the index system of the factors affecting the investment capacity. Secondly, the path analysis is used to deeply explore the interaction relationship and influence degree of each index and investment capacity. Finally, the maximum investment capacity of the power network can be predicted based on the BP neural network prediction model. The results show that the BP neural network prediction model can achieve higher prediction accuracy when predicting the power grid investment capability.
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spelling doaj.art-044057fac4f740859216ac17b5d641fb2023-01-17T09:16:14ZengEDP SciencesSHS Web of Conferences2261-24242022-01-011510104310.1051/shsconf/202215101043shsconf_emsd2022_01043Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural networkZhang Chengke0Liu Huideng1Zhu Yuning2Wang Yuzhu3Hu Zeping4Chongqing Urban Power Supply Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power CompanyChongqing Urban Power Supply Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power CompanyChongqing Urban Power Supply Branch, State Grid Chongqing Electric Power CompanyNorth China Electric Power UniversityNorth China Electric Power UniversityWith the more complex investment environment of China’s power grid, the accurate prediction of the investment ability of power grid enterprises has become an important prerequisite for managers to make precise investment decisions. This paper first selects the factors affecting the investment capacity of the power grid from the internal and external environment, and establishes the index system of the factors affecting the investment capacity. Secondly, the path analysis is used to deeply explore the interaction relationship and influence degree of each index and investment capacity. Finally, the maximum investment capacity of the power network can be predicted based on the BP neural network prediction model. The results show that the BP neural network prediction model can achieve higher prediction accuracy when predicting the power grid investment capability.https://www.shs-conferences.org/articles/shsconf/pdf/2022/21/shsconf_emsd2022_01043.pdfindex systempath analysisbp neural networkpower grid investment capability
spellingShingle Zhang Chengke
Liu Huideng
Zhu Yuning
Wang Yuzhu
Hu Zeping
Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural network
SHS Web of Conferences
index system
path analysis
bp neural network
power grid investment capability
title Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural network
title_full Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural network
title_fullStr Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural network
title_full_unstemmed Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural network
title_short Grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and BP neural network
title_sort grid investment capability prediction based on path analysis and bp neural network
topic index system
path analysis
bp neural network
power grid investment capability
url https://www.shs-conferences.org/articles/shsconf/pdf/2022/21/shsconf_emsd2022_01043.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangchengke gridinvestmentcapabilitypredictionbasedonpathanalysisandbpneuralnetwork
AT liuhuideng gridinvestmentcapabilitypredictionbasedonpathanalysisandbpneuralnetwork
AT zhuyuning gridinvestmentcapabilitypredictionbasedonpathanalysisandbpneuralnetwork
AT wangyuzhu gridinvestmentcapabilitypredictionbasedonpathanalysisandbpneuralnetwork
AT huzeping gridinvestmentcapabilitypredictionbasedonpathanalysisandbpneuralnetwork