Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics Theories

Scientific theories are a way of knowing man. The main difference between this method and other methods is the testability of its claims. Testability helps to correct scientific knowledge of error. In economics, this knowledge is created by using econometric methods and models. Assumptions Econometr...

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Main Authors: Mojtaba Rostami, Ali Farhadian, Mohammad Nabi Shahiki Tash, Abootaleb Kazemi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Semnan University 2020-11-01
Series:مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_4907_3d42c8c886c8b3a3ca2aaaa1d14db689.pdf
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author Mojtaba Rostami
Ali Farhadian
Mohammad Nabi Shahiki Tash
Abootaleb Kazemi
author_facet Mojtaba Rostami
Ali Farhadian
Mohammad Nabi Shahiki Tash
Abootaleb Kazemi
author_sort Mojtaba Rostami
collection DOAJ
description Scientific theories are a way of knowing man. The main difference between this method and other methods is the testability of its claims. Testability helps to correct scientific knowledge of error. In economics, this knowledge is created by using econometric methods and models. Assumptions Econometric models are called auxiliary assumptions. Two fundamental problems in econometrics that challenge testability; ignoring auxiliary assumptions and statistically significant. The Duhem (1904) stated that if the auxiliary assumptions are inconsistent with the reality falsity method will be questioned. In the present study, the Duhem problem in the EMH and financial data structure has been investigated. In another section, the use and interpretation of statistical significance is studied, which is usually evaluated with an index called p < /em>-value. While the p < /em>-value can be a good statistical metric, it is often misused and misinterpreted. As a result, some reputable scientific journals have banned the use of p < /em>-values. To make good use of this criterion in the econometric methodology, the recommendations of the American Statistical Association in this field have been discussed. In order to deal with the role of auxiliary assumptions, it is necessary to specify tests and pay attention to the data structure.
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spelling doaj.art-0451cb938e5548b5a333ca7bfe6e2d1c2024-02-23T18:41:46ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502020-11-015412114510.22075/jem.2021.21126.14954907Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics TheoriesMojtaba Rostami0Ali Farhadian1Mohammad Nabi Shahiki Tash2Abootaleb Kazemi3Ph.D. in EconomicsAsistant Professor in Mangemanet, Kashan UniversityAssociate Professor in Economics, USBPh.D. in EconomicsScientific theories are a way of knowing man. The main difference between this method and other methods is the testability of its claims. Testability helps to correct scientific knowledge of error. In economics, this knowledge is created by using econometric methods and models. Assumptions Econometric models are called auxiliary assumptions. Two fundamental problems in econometrics that challenge testability; ignoring auxiliary assumptions and statistically significant. The Duhem (1904) stated that if the auxiliary assumptions are inconsistent with the reality falsity method will be questioned. In the present study, the Duhem problem in the EMH and financial data structure has been investigated. In another section, the use and interpretation of statistical significance is studied, which is usually evaluated with an index called p < /em>-value. While the p < /em>-value can be a good statistical metric, it is often misused and misinterpreted. As a result, some reputable scientific journals have banned the use of p < /em>-values. To make good use of this criterion in the econometric methodology, the recommendations of the American Statistical Association in this field have been discussed. In order to deal with the role of auxiliary assumptions, it is necessary to specify tests and pay attention to the data structure.https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_4907_3d42c8c886c8b3a3ca2aaaa1d14db689.pdfeconometricsfalsifiabilityduhem problemstatistical significancep-value
spellingShingle Mojtaba Rostami
Ali Farhadian
Mohammad Nabi Shahiki Tash
Abootaleb Kazemi
Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics Theories
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
econometrics
falsifiability
duhem problem
statistical significance
p-value
title Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics Theories
title_full Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics Theories
title_fullStr Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics Theories
title_full_unstemmed Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics Theories
title_short Errors of Econometric Methodology in the Study of Economics Theories
title_sort errors of econometric methodology in the study of economics theories
topic econometrics
falsifiability
duhem problem
statistical significance
p-value
url https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_4907_3d42c8c886c8b3a3ca2aaaa1d14db689.pdf
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AT mohammadnabishahikitash errorsofeconometricmethodologyinthestudyofeconomicstheories
AT abootalebkazemi errorsofeconometricmethodologyinthestudyofeconomicstheories