Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault Geometry

Understanding the process of earthquake preparation is of utmost importance in mitigating the potential damage caused by seismic events. That is why the study of seismic precursors is fundamental. However, the community studying non-seismic precursors relies on measurements, methods, and theories th...

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Main Authors: Patricio Venegas-Aravena, Enrique G. Cordaro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Geosciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/13/8/243
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author Patricio Venegas-Aravena
Enrique G. Cordaro
author_facet Patricio Venegas-Aravena
Enrique G. Cordaro
author_sort Patricio Venegas-Aravena
collection DOAJ
description Understanding the process of earthquake preparation is of utmost importance in mitigating the potential damage caused by seismic events. That is why the study of seismic precursors is fundamental. However, the community studying non-seismic precursors relies on measurements, methods, and theories that lack a causal relationship with the earthquakes they claim to predict, generating skepticism among classical seismologists. Nonetheless, in recent years, a group has emerged that seeks to bridge the gap between these communities by applying fundamental laws of physics, such as the application of the second law of thermodynamics in multiscale systems. These systems, characterized by describing irreversible processes, are described by a global parameter called thermodynamic fractal dimension, denoted as <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>. A decrease in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> indicates that the system starts seeking to release excess energy on a macroscopic scale, increasing entropy. It has been found that the decrease in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> prior to major earthquakes is related to the increase in the size of microcracks and the emission of electromagnetic signals in localized zones, as well as the decrease in the ratio of large to small earthquakes known as the b-value. However, it is still necessary to elucidate how <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, which is also associated with the roughness of surfaces, relates to other rupture parameters such as residual energy, magnitude, or fracture energy. Hence, this work establishes analytical relationships among them. Particularly, it is found that larger magnitude earthquakes with higher residual energy are associated with smoother faults. This indicates that the pre-seismic processes, which give rise to both seismic and non-seismic precursor signals, must also be accompanied by changes in the geometric properties of faults. Therefore, it can be concluded that all types of precursors (seismic or non-seismic), changes in fault smoothness, and the occurrence of earthquakes are different manifestations of the same multiscale dissipative system.
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spelling doaj.art-0459c9dd68d04a6cb05d587f68bdcd0c2023-11-19T01:17:09ZengMDPI AGGeosciences2076-32632023-08-0113824310.3390/geosciences13080243Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault GeometryPatricio Venegas-Aravena0Enrique G. Cordaro1Department of Structural and Geotechnical Engineering, School of Engineering, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Vicuña Mackenna 4860, Macul, Santiago 8331150, ChileObservatorios de Radiación Cósmica y Geomagnetismo, Departamento de Física, FCFM, Universidad de Chile, Casilla 487-3, Santiago 8330015, ChileUnderstanding the process of earthquake preparation is of utmost importance in mitigating the potential damage caused by seismic events. That is why the study of seismic precursors is fundamental. However, the community studying non-seismic precursors relies on measurements, methods, and theories that lack a causal relationship with the earthquakes they claim to predict, generating skepticism among classical seismologists. Nonetheless, in recent years, a group has emerged that seeks to bridge the gap between these communities by applying fundamental laws of physics, such as the application of the second law of thermodynamics in multiscale systems. These systems, characterized by describing irreversible processes, are described by a global parameter called thermodynamic fractal dimension, denoted as <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>. A decrease in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> indicates that the system starts seeking to release excess energy on a macroscopic scale, increasing entropy. It has been found that the decrease in <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula> prior to major earthquakes is related to the increase in the size of microcracks and the emission of electromagnetic signals in localized zones, as well as the decrease in the ratio of large to small earthquakes known as the b-value. However, it is still necessary to elucidate how <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><mi>D</mi></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, which is also associated with the roughness of surfaces, relates to other rupture parameters such as residual energy, magnitude, or fracture energy. Hence, this work establishes analytical relationships among them. Particularly, it is found that larger magnitude earthquakes with higher residual energy are associated with smoother faults. This indicates that the pre-seismic processes, which give rise to both seismic and non-seismic precursor signals, must also be accompanied by changes in the geometric properties of faults. Therefore, it can be concluded that all types of precursors (seismic or non-seismic), changes in fault smoothness, and the occurrence of earthquakes are different manifestations of the same multiscale dissipative system.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/13/8/243b-valueelectromagnetic signalsmultiscale thermodynamicsearthquake precursor
spellingShingle Patricio Venegas-Aravena
Enrique G. Cordaro
Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault Geometry
Geosciences
b-value
electromagnetic signals
multiscale thermodynamics
earthquake precursor
title Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault Geometry
title_full Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault Geometry
title_fullStr Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault Geometry
title_full_unstemmed Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault Geometry
title_short Subduction as a Smoothing Machine: How Multiscale Dissipation Relates Precursor Signals to Fault Geometry
title_sort subduction as a smoothing machine how multiscale dissipation relates precursor signals to fault geometry
topic b-value
electromagnetic signals
multiscale thermodynamics
earthquake precursor
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/13/8/243
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