Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial Data

Background: Risk stratification in the diagnostic pathway of prostate cancer (PCa) can be used to reduce biopsies and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans, while maintaining the detection of clinically significant PCa (csPCa). The use of highly discriminating and well-calibrated models will genera...

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Main Authors: Sebastiaan Remmers, Veeru Kasivisvanathan, Jan F.M. Verbeek, Caroline M. Moore, Monique J. Roobol
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-02-01
Series:European Urology Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666168321033796
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author Sebastiaan Remmers
Veeru Kasivisvanathan
Jan F.M. Verbeek
Caroline M. Moore
Monique J. Roobol
author_facet Sebastiaan Remmers
Veeru Kasivisvanathan
Jan F.M. Verbeek
Caroline M. Moore
Monique J. Roobol
author_sort Sebastiaan Remmers
collection DOAJ
description Background: Risk stratification in the diagnostic pathway of prostate cancer (PCa) can be used to reduce biopsies and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans, while maintaining the detection of clinically significant PCa (csPCa). The use of highly discriminating and well-calibrated models will generate better clinical outcomes if context-dependent thresholds are used. Objective: To retrospectively assess the effect of the upfront use of the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator (RPCRC) developed in a screening cohort and the RPCRC-MRI developed in a clinical cohort while exploring the need to adapt thresholds in biopsy-naïve men in the PRECISION (Prostate Evaluation for Clinically Important Disease: Sampling Using Image Guidance or Not?) trial. Design, setting, and participants: In the transrectal ultrasonography arm, we evaluated 188 men; in the MRI arm, we evaluated 206 (for the reduction of MRI scans) and 137 (for the reduction of targeted biopsies) men. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Performance was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Results and limitations: The performance of the RPCRC was good. However, intercept adjustment was warranted. Net benefit was observed from a recalibrated probability of 32% for any PCa and 10% for csPCa. After recalibration and applying a threshold of 20% for any PCa or 10% for csPCa, 28% of all biopsies could have been reduced, missing five cases of csPCa. The uncalibrated RPCRC could reduce 35% of all MRI scans, with a threshold of 20% for any PCa or 4% for csPCa. In the MRI arm, performance was good without stressing recalibration. Net benefit was observed from a probability of 22% for any PCa and 7% for csPCa. With a threshold of 20% for any PCa or 4% for csPCa, 9% of all targeted biopsies could be reduced, missing one grade group 2 PCa. Conclusions: The performance of the RPCRC and RPCRC-MRI in men included in the PRECISION trial was good, but recalibration and adaptation of the risk threshold of the RPCRC are indicated to reach optimal performance. Patient summary: In this report, we show that risk stratification with the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator has added value in reducing harm, but adjustment to reflect the characteristics of the patient cohort is indicated.
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spelling doaj.art-04620efa683e4de4bbf4b95037f06b452022-12-22T04:16:18ZengElsevierEuropean Urology Open Science2666-16832022-02-013618Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial DataSebastiaan Remmers0Veeru Kasivisvanathan1Jan F.M. Verbeek2Caroline M. Moore3Monique J. Roobol4Department of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; Corresponding author. Department of Urology, Erasmus University Medical Center, P.O. Box 2040, Dr. Molewaterplein 40, 3015 GD, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. Tel. +31 10 703 2239; Fax: +31 10 703 5315.Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UKDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The NetherlandsDivision of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, UKDepartment of Urology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The NetherlandsBackground: Risk stratification in the diagnostic pathway of prostate cancer (PCa) can be used to reduce biopsies and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans, while maintaining the detection of clinically significant PCa (csPCa). The use of highly discriminating and well-calibrated models will generate better clinical outcomes if context-dependent thresholds are used. Objective: To retrospectively assess the effect of the upfront use of the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator (RPCRC) developed in a screening cohort and the RPCRC-MRI developed in a clinical cohort while exploring the need to adapt thresholds in biopsy-naïve men in the PRECISION (Prostate Evaluation for Clinically Important Disease: Sampling Using Image Guidance or Not?) trial. Design, setting, and participants: In the transrectal ultrasonography arm, we evaluated 188 men; in the MRI arm, we evaluated 206 (for the reduction of MRI scans) and 137 (for the reduction of targeted biopsies) men. Outcome measurements and statistical analysis: Performance was assessed by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Results and limitations: The performance of the RPCRC was good. However, intercept adjustment was warranted. Net benefit was observed from a recalibrated probability of 32% for any PCa and 10% for csPCa. After recalibration and applying a threshold of 20% for any PCa or 10% for csPCa, 28% of all biopsies could have been reduced, missing five cases of csPCa. The uncalibrated RPCRC could reduce 35% of all MRI scans, with a threshold of 20% for any PCa or 4% for csPCa. In the MRI arm, performance was good without stressing recalibration. Net benefit was observed from a probability of 22% for any PCa and 7% for csPCa. With a threshold of 20% for any PCa or 4% for csPCa, 9% of all targeted biopsies could be reduced, missing one grade group 2 PCa. Conclusions: The performance of the RPCRC and RPCRC-MRI in men included in the PRECISION trial was good, but recalibration and adaptation of the risk threshold of the RPCRC are indicated to reach optimal performance. Patient summary: In this report, we show that risk stratification with the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator has added value in reducing harm, but adjustment to reflect the characteristics of the patient cohort is indicated.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666168321033796Clinical decision-makingMagnetic resonance imagingNomogramsProbabilityProstatic neoplasmsRisk stratification
spellingShingle Sebastiaan Remmers
Veeru Kasivisvanathan
Jan F.M. Verbeek
Caroline M. Moore
Monique J. Roobol
Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial Data
European Urology Open Science
Clinical decision-making
Magnetic resonance imaging
Nomograms
Probability
Prostatic neoplasms
Risk stratification
title Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial Data
title_full Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial Data
title_fullStr Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial Data
title_full_unstemmed Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial Data
title_short Reducing Biopsies and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scans During the Diagnostic Pathway of Prostate Cancer: Applying the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator to the PRECISION Trial Data
title_sort reducing biopsies and magnetic resonance imaging scans during the diagnostic pathway of prostate cancer applying the rotterdam prostate cancer risk calculator to the precision trial data
topic Clinical decision-making
Magnetic resonance imaging
Nomograms
Probability
Prostatic neoplasms
Risk stratification
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666168321033796
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