A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer Games

The main purpose of this study was to develop and apply a neural network (NN) approach and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model for forecasting the attendance rates at soccer games. The models were designed based on the characteristics of the problem. Past real data was used. Train...

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Main Authors: Mehmet Şahin, Rızvan Erol
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2017-11-01
Series:Mathematical and Computational Applications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/22/4/43
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author Mehmet Şahin
Rızvan Erol
author_facet Mehmet Şahin
Rızvan Erol
author_sort Mehmet Şahin
collection DOAJ
description The main purpose of this study was to develop and apply a neural network (NN) approach and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model for forecasting the attendance rates at soccer games. The models were designed based on the characteristics of the problem. Past real data was used. Training data was used for training the models, and the testing data was used for evaluating the performance of the forecasting models. The obtained forecasting results were compared to the actual data and to each other. To evaluate the performance of the models, two statistical indicators, Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and mean absolute percent error (MAPE), were used. Based on the results, the proposed neural network approach and the ANFIS model were shown to be effective in forecasting attendance at soccer games. The neural network approach performed better than the ANFIS model. The main contribution of this study is to introduce two effective techniques for estimating attendance at sports games. This is the first attempt to use an ANFIS model for that purpose.
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spelling doaj.art-046967afd27b4e16b32ae44e6f1d8fea2022-12-22T01:12:55ZengMDPI AGMathematical and Computational Applications2297-87472017-11-012244310.3390/mca22040043mca22040043A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer GamesMehmet Şahin0Rızvan Erol1Department of Business Administration, Adiyaman University, 02040 Adiyaman, TurkeyDepartment of Industrial Engineering, Cukurova University, 01330 Adana, TurkeyThe main purpose of this study was to develop and apply a neural network (NN) approach and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model for forecasting the attendance rates at soccer games. The models were designed based on the characteristics of the problem. Past real data was used. Training data was used for training the models, and the testing data was used for evaluating the performance of the forecasting models. The obtained forecasting results were compared to the actual data and to each other. To evaluate the performance of the models, two statistical indicators, Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and mean absolute percent error (MAPE), were used. Based on the results, the proposed neural network approach and the ANFIS model were shown to be effective in forecasting attendance at soccer games. The neural network approach performed better than the ANFIS model. The main contribution of this study is to introduce two effective techniques for estimating attendance at sports games. This is the first attempt to use an ANFIS model for that purpose.https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/22/4/43neural networkssports attendanceoccupancy ratesports demand forecastingsports demand rateANFIS
spellingShingle Mehmet Şahin
Rızvan Erol
A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer Games
Mathematical and Computational Applications
neural networks
sports attendance
occupancy rate
sports demand forecasting
sports demand rate
ANFIS
title A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer Games
title_full A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer Games
title_fullStr A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer Games
title_full_unstemmed A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer Games
title_short A Comparative Study of Neural Networks and ANFIS for Forecasting Attendance Rate of Soccer Games
title_sort comparative study of neural networks and anfis for forecasting attendance rate of soccer games
topic neural networks
sports attendance
occupancy rate
sports demand forecasting
sports demand rate
ANFIS
url https://www.mdpi.com/2297-8747/22/4/43
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