Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients

Abstract Objective Stroke is a significant cause of disability, rendering patients with inability to perform activities of daily living due to lack of functional recovery. Precise prognosis in the early stage after stroke could enable realistic goal-setting and efficient resource allocation. Predict...

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Main Authors: Dimitrios Athanasiadis, Eleftherios Stefas, Stylianos Protopsaltis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-12-01
Series:Bulletin of Faculty of Physical Therapy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s43161-022-00106-7
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author Dimitrios Athanasiadis
Eleftherios Stefas
Stylianos Protopsaltis
author_facet Dimitrios Athanasiadis
Eleftherios Stefas
Stylianos Protopsaltis
author_sort Dimitrios Athanasiadis
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective Stroke is a significant cause of disability, rendering patients with inability to perform activities of daily living due to lack of functional recovery. Precise prognosis in the early stage after stroke could enable realistic goal-setting and efficient resource allocation. Prediction algorithms have been tested and validated in the past, but they were using neurological biomarkers; thus, they were time-consuming, difficult to apply, expensive, and potentially harmful. The aim of this study was to create a new prediction algorithm that would not utilize any biomarkers. Methods A total of 127 stroke patients prospectively enrolled at day 3 after their stroke (mean age: 71, males n: 84, females n: 43). First, a sum of shoulder abduction and finger extension (SAFE) Medical Research Council (MRC) score was graded at day 3. Secondly, a binarized response was marked by the Mobilization and Simulation of Neuromuscular Tissue (MaSoNT) concept’s basic application on the upper limb. Third, the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score was assessed. All data from the patients were included in a Classification and Regression Tree analysis to predict upper limb function 3 months post-stroke according to the Action Research Arm Test score at week 12. Results The Classification And Regression Tree (CART) analysis was performed that combines three different scores in order to predict upper-limb recovery: the SAFE score, MaSoNT’s application response, and the NIHSS. The overall correct prediction of the new algorithm is 69% which is lower than previous algorithms, though not significantly. Conclusion This study offers basic data to support the validity of the APRAHL algorithm. The new algorithm is faster and easier, but less accurate. Future studies are needed to create new algorithms that do not involve neurological biomarkers so that they will cost less and be easily applicable by health professionals.
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spelling doaj.art-046b32e49f8b4ed5bc680f6648b51a762022-12-22T02:56:37ZengSpringerOpenBulletin of Faculty of Physical Therapy1110-66112536-96602022-12-0127111010.1186/s43161-022-00106-7Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patientsDimitrios Athanasiadis0Eleftherios Stefas1Stylianos Protopsaltis2Department of Physiotherapy and Occupational Therapy, Institute of Vocational Training (I.E.K.)Evexia Rehabilitation ClinicIatriki Askisi Rehabilitation ClinicAbstract Objective Stroke is a significant cause of disability, rendering patients with inability to perform activities of daily living due to lack of functional recovery. Precise prognosis in the early stage after stroke could enable realistic goal-setting and efficient resource allocation. Prediction algorithms have been tested and validated in the past, but they were using neurological biomarkers; thus, they were time-consuming, difficult to apply, expensive, and potentially harmful. The aim of this study was to create a new prediction algorithm that would not utilize any biomarkers. Methods A total of 127 stroke patients prospectively enrolled at day 3 after their stroke (mean age: 71, males n: 84, females n: 43). First, a sum of shoulder abduction and finger extension (SAFE) Medical Research Council (MRC) score was graded at day 3. Secondly, a binarized response was marked by the Mobilization and Simulation of Neuromuscular Tissue (MaSoNT) concept’s basic application on the upper limb. Third, the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score was assessed. All data from the patients were included in a Classification and Regression Tree analysis to predict upper limb function 3 months post-stroke according to the Action Research Arm Test score at week 12. Results The Classification And Regression Tree (CART) analysis was performed that combines three different scores in order to predict upper-limb recovery: the SAFE score, MaSoNT’s application response, and the NIHSS. The overall correct prediction of the new algorithm is 69% which is lower than previous algorithms, though not significantly. Conclusion This study offers basic data to support the validity of the APRAHL algorithm. The new algorithm is faster and easier, but less accurate. Future studies are needed to create new algorithms that do not involve neurological biomarkers so that they will cost less and be easily applicable by health professionals.https://doi.org/10.1186/s43161-022-00106-7StrokePrognosisMotorRecoveryTreatment goals
spellingShingle Dimitrios Athanasiadis
Eleftherios Stefas
Stylianos Protopsaltis
Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients
Bulletin of Faculty of Physical Therapy
Stroke
Prognosis
Motor
Recovery
Treatment goals
title Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients
title_full Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients
title_fullStr Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients
title_full_unstemmed Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients
title_short Alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb (APRAHL): a biomarker-free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients
title_sort alternative prognosis of recovery assessment for the hemiparetic limb aprahl a biomarker free algorithm that predicts recovery potential for stroke patients
topic Stroke
Prognosis
Motor
Recovery
Treatment goals
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s43161-022-00106-7
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