Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in China

This study explores the inherent linkage mechanism between environmental pollution and economic growth using a non-linear MS (M)–VAR (p) model. The results indicate that, first, the growth rates of China's gross domestic product (GDP) and SO2 emissions are in a state of significant inertia. Sec...

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Main Authors: Chao Yan, Huixuan Li, Zhigang Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.930780/full
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author Chao Yan
Huixuan Li
Zhigang Li
author_facet Chao Yan
Huixuan Li
Zhigang Li
author_sort Chao Yan
collection DOAJ
description This study explores the inherent linkage mechanism between environmental pollution and economic growth using a non-linear MS (M)–VAR (p) model. The results indicate that, first, the growth rates of China's gross domestic product (GDP) and SO2 emissions are in a state of significant inertia. Second, when the system was in a medium-growth regime, the growth rates of SO2 emissions and GDP had a positive correlation, characterized by lower probability and weaker durability. Third, when the system was in a high- or low-growth regime, their growth rates were negatively correlated, characterized by higher probability and stronger durability. Overall, economic growth increases environmental pollution emissions, which intensifies as well as inhibits economic growth. The correlation and sustainability of SO2 emissions and GDP are closely related to the regional status of the entire system. This study is helpful in analyzing the reasons for the nonlinear linkage mechanism between environmental pollution and economic growth.
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spelling doaj.art-051e07fe40534f949737b91a3a8bcd9d2022-12-22T03:35:39ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Public Health2296-25652022-11-011010.3389/fpubh.2022.930780930780Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in ChinaChao Yan0Huixuan Li1Zhigang Li2Center for Quantitative Economics, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaCenter for Quantitative Economics, Jilin University, Changchun, ChinaFaculty of Professional Finance and Accountancy, Shanghai Business School, Shanghai, ChinaThis study explores the inherent linkage mechanism between environmental pollution and economic growth using a non-linear MS (M)–VAR (p) model. The results indicate that, first, the growth rates of China's gross domestic product (GDP) and SO2 emissions are in a state of significant inertia. Second, when the system was in a medium-growth regime, the growth rates of SO2 emissions and GDP had a positive correlation, characterized by lower probability and weaker durability. Third, when the system was in a high- or low-growth regime, their growth rates were negatively correlated, characterized by higher probability and stronger durability. Overall, economic growth increases environmental pollution emissions, which intensifies as well as inhibits economic growth. The correlation and sustainability of SO2 emissions and GDP are closely related to the regional status of the entire system. This study is helpful in analyzing the reasons for the nonlinear linkage mechanism between environmental pollution and economic growth.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.930780/fullenvironmental pollutioneconomic growthMS (M)–VAR (p) modelSO2 emissionsGDP
spellingShingle Chao Yan
Huixuan Li
Zhigang Li
Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in China
Frontiers in Public Health
environmental pollution
economic growth
MS (M)–VAR (p) model
SO2 emissions
GDP
title Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in China
title_full Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in China
title_fullStr Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in China
title_full_unstemmed Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in China
title_short Environmental pollution and economic growth: Evidence of SO2 emissions and GDP in China
title_sort environmental pollution and economic growth evidence of so2 emissions and gdp in china
topic environmental pollution
economic growth
MS (M)–VAR (p) model
SO2 emissions
GDP
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.930780/full
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AT zhigangli environmentalpollutionandeconomicgrowthevidenceofso2emissionsandgdpinchina