Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear Deterrence

The deterrence system has developed with the evolution of the international system and has experienced new forms. Facing the unstable and unpredictable challenges of the future, along with asymmetric threats in a nonlinear mechanism, is required to design a new analytical apparatus of deterrence and...

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Main Author: Farhad Ghasemi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2022-01-01
Series:Faṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat
Subjects:
Online Access:https://qpss.atu.ac.ir/article_13864_c8049e3ca49321d914a8325ec4d71555.pdf
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author Farhad Ghasemi
author_facet Farhad Ghasemi
author_sort Farhad Ghasemi
collection DOAJ
description The deterrence system has developed with the evolution of the international system and has experienced new forms. Facing the unstable and unpredictable challenges of the future, along with asymmetric threats in a nonlinear mechanism, is required to design a new analytical apparatus of deterrence and its conceptual and theoretical reconstruction. It forms the main purpose of the present article. In this regard, the fundamental question arises as to how in this model of the emerging international system, deterrence can be reconstructed conceptually and theoretically? The author intends to reconstruct it by using the method of deductive inference and focusing on theories of complexity and chaos, especially its basic principles such as the networked structure of the system, nonlinearity, sensitive dependence, and cascading failure. This study focuses on the dynamics of power and the mechanisms that turn it into a threat through nonlinear logic and its mechanisms and the principles emphasized by the theory of complexity and chaos. The author introduces nonlinear network deterrence to the field of strategic studies as an innovative and new concept. This pattern is a start point of the sixth wave of deterrence in International Relations. It will provide a new model for designing Iran's deterrence.
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spelling doaj.art-0521747518e643ababfb49411b3399fc2024-01-02T11:08:02ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University PressFaṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat2345-61402476-62082022-01-01103914117410.22054/qpss.2021.61565.286313864Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear DeterrenceFarhad Ghasemi0Associate Professor, International Relations, University of Tehran, Tehran, IranThe deterrence system has developed with the evolution of the international system and has experienced new forms. Facing the unstable and unpredictable challenges of the future, along with asymmetric threats in a nonlinear mechanism, is required to design a new analytical apparatus of deterrence and its conceptual and theoretical reconstruction. It forms the main purpose of the present article. In this regard, the fundamental question arises as to how in this model of the emerging international system, deterrence can be reconstructed conceptually and theoretically? The author intends to reconstruct it by using the method of deductive inference and focusing on theories of complexity and chaos, especially its basic principles such as the networked structure of the system, nonlinearity, sensitive dependence, and cascading failure. This study focuses on the dynamics of power and the mechanisms that turn it into a threat through nonlinear logic and its mechanisms and the principles emphasized by the theory of complexity and chaos. The author introduces nonlinear network deterrence to the field of strategic studies as an innovative and new concept. This pattern is a start point of the sixth wave of deterrence in International Relations. It will provide a new model for designing Iran's deterrence.https://qpss.atu.ac.ir/article_13864_c8049e3ca49321d914a8325ec4d71555.pdfdeterrencenonlinear network deterrencemultilayer network deterrencecomplexitychaoscomplex and chaotic international system
spellingShingle Farhad Ghasemi
Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear Deterrence
Faṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat
deterrence
nonlinear network deterrence
multilayer network deterrence
complexity
chaos
complex and chaotic international system
title Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear Deterrence
title_full Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear Deterrence
title_fullStr Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear Deterrence
title_full_unstemmed Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear Deterrence
title_short Theoretical Requirements of Deterrence in Complex-Chaotic International Systems: A Step towards a New Theory of Nonlinear Deterrence
title_sort theoretical requirements of deterrence in complex chaotic international systems a step towards a new theory of nonlinear deterrence
topic deterrence
nonlinear network deterrence
multilayer network deterrence
complexity
chaos
complex and chaotic international system
url https://qpss.atu.ac.ir/article_13864_c8049e3ca49321d914a8325ec4d71555.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT farhadghasemi theoreticalrequirementsofdeterrenceincomplexchaoticinternationalsystemsasteptowardsanewtheoryofnonlineardeterrence