Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real Options

The first part of this paper describes the nuclear fuel cycle. It is divided into three parts. The first part, called Front-End, covers all activities connected with fuel procurement and fabrication. The middle part of the cycle includes fuel reload design activities and the operation of the fuel in...

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Main Author: L. Havlíček
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: CTU Central Library 2008-01-01
Series:Acta Polytechnica
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/ap/article/view/991
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author L. Havlíček
author_facet L. Havlíček
author_sort L. Havlíček
collection DOAJ
description The first part of this paper describes the nuclear fuel cycle. It is divided into three parts. The first part, called Front-End, covers all activities connected with fuel procurement and fabrication. The middle part of the cycle includes fuel reload design activities and the operation of the fuel in the reactor. Back-End comprises all activities ensuring safe separation of spent fuel and radioactive waste from the environment. The individual stages of the fuel cycle are strongly interrelated. Overall economic optimization is very difficult. Generally, NPV is used for an economic evaluation in the nuclear fuel cycle. However the high volatility of uranium prices in the Front-End, and the large uncertainty of both economic and technical parameters in the Back-End, make the use of NPV difficult. The real option method is able to evaluate the value added by flexibility of decision making by a company under conditions of uncertainty. The possibility of applying this method to the nuclear fuel cycle evaluation is studied.
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spelling doaj.art-0536727752e248708bbc93b492a2c2622022-12-22T01:26:53ZengCTU Central LibraryActa Polytechnica1210-27091805-23632008-01-01483991Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real OptionsL. HavlíčekThe first part of this paper describes the nuclear fuel cycle. It is divided into three parts. The first part, called Front-End, covers all activities connected with fuel procurement and fabrication. The middle part of the cycle includes fuel reload design activities and the operation of the fuel in the reactor. Back-End comprises all activities ensuring safe separation of spent fuel and radioactive waste from the environment. The individual stages of the fuel cycle are strongly interrelated. Overall economic optimization is very difficult. Generally, NPV is used for an economic evaluation in the nuclear fuel cycle. However the high volatility of uranium prices in the Front-End, and the large uncertainty of both economic and technical parameters in the Back-End, make the use of NPV difficult. The real option method is able to evaluate the value added by flexibility of decision making by a company under conditions of uncertainty. The possibility of applying this method to the nuclear fuel cycle evaluation is studied.https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/ap/article/view/991nuclear fuel cyclefront-endback-endeconomic evaluationevaluation methodsNPVuncertaintyflexibilityreal options
spellingShingle L. Havlíček
Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real Options
Acta Polytechnica
nuclear fuel cycle
front-end
back-end
economic evaluation
evaluation methods
NPV
uncertainty
flexibility
real options
title Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real Options
title_full Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real Options
title_fullStr Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real Options
title_full_unstemmed Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real Options
title_short Nuclear Fuel Cycle Evaluation and Real Options
title_sort nuclear fuel cycle evaluation and real options
topic nuclear fuel cycle
front-end
back-end
economic evaluation
evaluation methods
NPV
uncertainty
flexibility
real options
url https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/ap/article/view/991
work_keys_str_mv AT lhavlicek nuclearfuelcycleevaluationandrealoptions