On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basin

We assess the significance of groundwater storage for seasonal streamflow forecasts by evaluating its contribution to interannual streamflow anomalies in the 29 tributary sub-basins of the Colorado River. Monthly and annual changes in total basin storage are simulated by two implementations of the V...

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Main Authors: E. A. Rosenberg, E. A. Clark, A. C. Steinemann, D. P. Lettenmaier
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2013-04-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1475/2013/hess-17-1475-2013.pdf
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author E. A. Rosenberg
E. A. Clark
A. C. Steinemann
D. P. Lettenmaier
author_facet E. A. Rosenberg
E. A. Clark
A. C. Steinemann
D. P. Lettenmaier
author_sort E. A. Rosenberg
collection DOAJ
description We assess the significance of groundwater storage for seasonal streamflow forecasts by evaluating its contribution to interannual streamflow anomalies in the 29 tributary sub-basins of the Colorado River. Monthly and annual changes in total basin storage are simulated by two implementations of the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrology model – the standard release of the model, and an alternate version that has been modified to include the SIMple Groundwater Model (SIMGM), which represents an unconfined aquifer underlying the soil column. These estimates are compared to those resulting from basin-scale water balances derived exclusively from observational data and changes in terrestrial water storage from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites. Changes in simulated groundwater storage are then compared to those derived via baseflow recession analysis for 72 reference-quality watersheds. Finally, estimates are statistically analyzed for relationships to interannual streamflow anomalies, and predictive capacities are compared across storage terms. We find that both model simulations result in similar estimates of total basin storage change, that these estimates compare favorably with those obtained from basin-scale water balances and GRACE data, and that baseflow recession analyses are consistent with simulated changes in groundwater storage. Statistical analyses reveal essentially no relationship between groundwater storage and interannual streamflow anomalies, suggesting that operational seasonal streamflow forecasts, which do not account for groundwater conditions implicitly or explicitly, are likely not detrimentally affected by this omission in the Colorado River basin.
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spelling doaj.art-053f85b5127c46469f2460c95f6c7f3c2022-12-21T18:26:06ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382013-04-011741475149110.5194/hess-17-1475-2013On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basinE. A. RosenbergE. A. ClarkA. C. SteinemannD. P. LettenmaierWe assess the significance of groundwater storage for seasonal streamflow forecasts by evaluating its contribution to interannual streamflow anomalies in the 29 tributary sub-basins of the Colorado River. Monthly and annual changes in total basin storage are simulated by two implementations of the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) macroscale hydrology model – the standard release of the model, and an alternate version that has been modified to include the SIMple Groundwater Model (SIMGM), which represents an unconfined aquifer underlying the soil column. These estimates are compared to those resulting from basin-scale water balances derived exclusively from observational data and changes in terrestrial water storage from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites. Changes in simulated groundwater storage are then compared to those derived via baseflow recession analysis for 72 reference-quality watersheds. Finally, estimates are statistically analyzed for relationships to interannual streamflow anomalies, and predictive capacities are compared across storage terms. We find that both model simulations result in similar estimates of total basin storage change, that these estimates compare favorably with those obtained from basin-scale water balances and GRACE data, and that baseflow recession analyses are consistent with simulated changes in groundwater storage. Statistical analyses reveal essentially no relationship between groundwater storage and interannual streamflow anomalies, suggesting that operational seasonal streamflow forecasts, which do not account for groundwater conditions implicitly or explicitly, are likely not detrimentally affected by this omission in the Colorado River basin.http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1475/2013/hess-17-1475-2013.pdf
spellingShingle E. A. Rosenberg
E. A. Clark
A. C. Steinemann
D. P. Lettenmaier
On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basin
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basin
title_full On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basin
title_fullStr On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basin
title_full_unstemmed On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basin
title_short On the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the Colorado River basin
title_sort on the contribution of groundwater storage to interannual streamflow anomalies in the colorado river basin
url http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1475/2013/hess-17-1475-2013.pdf
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