STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES
The objective on this paper is to compare the extreme rainfall characteristics, deduced from the best modelled probability distribution functions and the actual precipitation measurements, obtained at the Department of Meteorology and Climatology of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki meteorolo...
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Format: | Article |
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Geobalcanica Society
2018-09-01
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Series: | Acta Geobalcanica |
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Online Access: | http://geobalcanica.org/wp-content/uploads/AGB/2018/AGB-2018-4-6.pdf |
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author | Maria Douka Theodore Karacostas |
author_facet | Maria Douka Theodore Karacostas |
author_sort | Maria Douka |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The objective on this paper is to compare the extreme rainfall characteristics, deduced from the best modelled probability distribution functions and the actual precipitation measurements, obtained at the Department of Meteorology and Climatology of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki meteorological station. To meet this objective, the proven best models for the simulation of the annual and seasonal extreme rainfall events at the Thessaloniki meteorological station, that is: Generalized Pareto, Johnson SB, log-Pearson and Fatigue Life (3P) probability distribution models, are appropriately applied
to generate the extreme rainfall characteristics for the period 1947-2003. The measures of central tendency and variability, for regular and ordinal data, are calculated -in an annual and seasonal basis- in order to compare the two different approaches. Hence the deviations between and among the measured and the modelled values of rainfall: means, medians, standard deviations, variance, skewness and kurtosis, are compared to demonstrate any existent difference. The deviations between the projected and actual measures of central tendency values are discussed, with respect to the contribution on climate change. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-10T16:01:02Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-05779c89296f49bd887e65c93a3bcf50 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1857-9833 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-10T16:01:02Z |
publishDate | 2018-09-01 |
publisher | Geobalcanica Society |
record_format | Article |
series | Acta Geobalcanica |
spelling | doaj.art-05779c89296f49bd887e65c93a3bcf502023-02-10T12:43:53ZengGeobalcanica SocietyActa Geobalcanica1857-98332018-09-0142495610.18509/AGB.2018.06STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUESMaria Douka0Theodore Karacostas1Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, GreeceDepartment of Meteorology and Climatology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, GreeceThe objective on this paper is to compare the extreme rainfall characteristics, deduced from the best modelled probability distribution functions and the actual precipitation measurements, obtained at the Department of Meteorology and Climatology of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki meteorological station. To meet this objective, the proven best models for the simulation of the annual and seasonal extreme rainfall events at the Thessaloniki meteorological station, that is: Generalized Pareto, Johnson SB, log-Pearson and Fatigue Life (3P) probability distribution models, are appropriately applied to generate the extreme rainfall characteristics for the period 1947-2003. The measures of central tendency and variability, for regular and ordinal data, are calculated -in an annual and seasonal basis- in order to compare the two different approaches. Hence the deviations between and among the measured and the modelled values of rainfall: means, medians, standard deviations, variance, skewness and kurtosis, are compared to demonstrate any existent difference. The deviations between the projected and actual measures of central tendency values are discussed, with respect to the contribution on climate change.http://geobalcanica.org/wp-content/uploads/AGB/2018/AGB-2018-4-6.pdfextreme rainfall measurementsextreme probability distributionsrainfall simulation |
spellingShingle | Maria Douka Theodore Karacostas STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES Acta Geobalcanica extreme rainfall measurements extreme probability distributions rainfall simulation |
title | STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES |
title_full | STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES |
title_fullStr | STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES |
title_full_unstemmed | STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES |
title_short | STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES |
title_sort | statistical characteristics of extreme precipitation events at thessaloniki based upon observed and modelled values |
topic | extreme rainfall measurements extreme probability distributions rainfall simulation |
url | http://geobalcanica.org/wp-content/uploads/AGB/2018/AGB-2018-4-6.pdf |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mariadouka statisticalcharacteristicsofextremeprecipitationeventsatthessalonikibaseduponobservedandmodelledvalues AT theodorekaracostas statisticalcharacteristicsofextremeprecipitationeventsatthessalonikibaseduponobservedandmodelledvalues |