STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES

The objective on this paper is to compare the extreme rainfall characteristics, deduced from the best modelled probability distribution functions and the actual precipitation measurements, obtained at the Department of Meteorology and Climatology of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki meteorolo...

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Main Authors: Maria Douka, Theodore Karacostas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Geobalcanica Society 2018-09-01
Series:Acta Geobalcanica
Subjects:
Online Access:http://geobalcanica.org/wp-content/uploads/AGB/2018/AGB-2018-4-6.pdf
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author Maria Douka
Theodore Karacostas
author_facet Maria Douka
Theodore Karacostas
author_sort Maria Douka
collection DOAJ
description The objective on this paper is to compare the extreme rainfall characteristics, deduced from the best modelled probability distribution functions and the actual precipitation measurements, obtained at the Department of Meteorology and Climatology of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki meteorological station. To meet this objective, the proven best models for the simulation of the annual and seasonal extreme rainfall events at the Thessaloniki meteorological station, that is: Generalized Pareto, Johnson SB, log-Pearson and Fatigue Life (3P) probability distribution models, are appropriately applied to generate the extreme rainfall characteristics for the period 1947-2003. The measures of central tendency and variability, for regular and ordinal data, are calculated -in an annual and seasonal basis- in order to compare the two different approaches. Hence the deviations between and among the measured and the modelled values of rainfall: means, medians, standard deviations, variance, skewness and kurtosis, are compared to demonstrate any existent difference. The deviations between the projected and actual measures of central tendency values are discussed, with respect to the contribution on climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-05779c89296f49bd887e65c93a3bcf502023-02-10T12:43:53ZengGeobalcanica SocietyActa Geobalcanica1857-98332018-09-0142495610.18509/AGB.2018.06STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUESMaria Douka0Theodore Karacostas1Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, GreeceDepartment of Meteorology and Climatology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, GreeceThe objective on this paper is to compare the extreme rainfall characteristics, deduced from the best modelled probability distribution functions and the actual precipitation measurements, obtained at the Department of Meteorology and Climatology of the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki meteorological station. To meet this objective, the proven best models for the simulation of the annual and seasonal extreme rainfall events at the Thessaloniki meteorological station, that is: Generalized Pareto, Johnson SB, log-Pearson and Fatigue Life (3P) probability distribution models, are appropriately applied to generate the extreme rainfall characteristics for the period 1947-2003. The measures of central tendency and variability, for regular and ordinal data, are calculated -in an annual and seasonal basis- in order to compare the two different approaches. Hence the deviations between and among the measured and the modelled values of rainfall: means, medians, standard deviations, variance, skewness and kurtosis, are compared to demonstrate any existent difference. The deviations between the projected and actual measures of central tendency values are discussed, with respect to the contribution on climate change.http://geobalcanica.org/wp-content/uploads/AGB/2018/AGB-2018-4-6.pdfextreme rainfall measurementsextreme probability distributionsrainfall simulation
spellingShingle Maria Douka
Theodore Karacostas
STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES
Acta Geobalcanica
extreme rainfall measurements
extreme probability distributions
rainfall simulation
title STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES
title_full STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES
title_fullStr STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES
title_full_unstemmed STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES
title_short STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS AT THESSALONIKI, BASED UPON OBSERVED AND MODELLED VALUES
title_sort statistical characteristics of extreme precipitation events at thessaloniki based upon observed and modelled values
topic extreme rainfall measurements
extreme probability distributions
rainfall simulation
url http://geobalcanica.org/wp-content/uploads/AGB/2018/AGB-2018-4-6.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mariadouka statisticalcharacteristicsofextremeprecipitationeventsatthessalonikibaseduponobservedandmodelledvalues
AT theodorekaracostas statisticalcharacteristicsofextremeprecipitationeventsatthessalonikibaseduponobservedandmodelledvalues